NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Chuba Hubbard RB

CAR vs PHI · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

16.5 Rec Yds O -108U -116

Hit rate · All 31%11/35 Odds imply 49.2% Over

Season avg: 21.0
Graph avg: 14.0
Graph median: 11.0-2–55
Over the close: 37%7/19

2026 per game

Carries15.2▲+6.1

Rush Yds76.5▲+41.7

Rush TD0.8▲+0.6

Targets2.8▲+0.1

Rec2.5▲+0.5

Rec Yds21.0▲+6.2

Snaps54.8▲+25.2

Snap %76.0%▲+29.2

16.5

2024

0

Sep 08
12

Sep 15
55

Sep 22
17

Sep 29
-2

Oct 06
11

Oct 13
0

Oct 20
15

Oct 27
0

Nov 03
16

Nov 10
2

Nov 24
0

Dec 01
15

Dec 08
17

Dec 15
13

Dec 22
2025

32

Sep 07
39

Sep 14
3

Sep 21
20

Sep 28
24

Oct 19
0

Oct 26
0

Nov 02
1

Nov 09
7

Nov 16
27

Nov 24
41

Nov 30
9

Dec 14
7

Dec 21
6

Dec 28
7

Jan 03
13

Jan 10
2026

38

Sep 13
11

Sep 20
28

Sep 27
7

Oct 04
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 16.5

Home 22% 4/18 · avg 11.3
Away 41% 7/17 · avg 16.9
vs PHI 0% 0/1 · avg 15.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 6.5 69% 24/35
O 11.5 49% 17/35
O 16.5 Today 31% 11/35
O 21.5 23% 8/35
O 26.5 20% 7/35

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs PHI

What PHI allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds87.0#22
Yds/Carry3.7#24
Rush TD0.6#20
Targets6.4#7
Rec Yds34.9#10

RBs vs PHI · 2026

Each main RB who faced PHI this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+5.8

Avg diff %+45%

Beat their average60% (3/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Bhayshul Tuten	24	13.5	+78%
Oct 04	Kyren Williams	67	33.2	+102%
Sep 28	D'Andre Swift	4	27.5	-85%
Sep 20	Tyjae Spears	29	9.8	+197%
Sep 13	Rachaad White	5	16.0	-69%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CAR offense

CAR offense: Share of CAR pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%9.2 yds	4%16.7 yds	6%17.1 yds
Short	33%5.0 yds	15%8.5 yds	34%5.1 yds

Share of CAR pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PHI defense

PHI defense: Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%10.4 yds#15	3%21.6 yds#3	7%11.8 yds#14
Short	33%5.7 yds#17	20%6.3 yds#22	32%5.2 yds#23

Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	38%2.1 yds	21%15.4 yds	42%7.1 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of CAR targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Tetairoa McMillan WR	4	9.8	39	26.9%
2	Jalen Coker WR	3	7.3	22	21.4%
3	Darren Waller TE	4	4.8	19	12.4%
4	Tommy Tremble TE	4	3.8	15	10.2%
5	Xavier Legette WR	2	3.0	6	9.2%
6	John Metchie III WR	3	3.3	10	8.2%
7	Chuba Hubbard RB	4	2.8	11	7.4%
8	Brycen Tremayne WR	4	2.2	9	5.5%
9	Mitchell Evans TE	4	1.8	7	4.7%
10	Jonathon Brooks RB	2	1.5	3	4.5%

Game log · 35 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 16.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	vs DET	7	Under	18.5	63 (84%)
2026-09-27	3	@ CLE	28	Over	14.5	65 (84%)
2026-09-20	2	@ ATL	11	Under	12.5	43 (65%)
2026-09-13	1	vs CHI	38	Over	9.5	48 (71%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	vs LA	13	Under	13.5	41 (61%)
2026-01-03	18	@ TB	7	Under	9.5	23 (45%)
2025-12-28	17	vs SEA	6	Under	6.5	20 (38%)
2025-12-21	16	vs TB	7	Under	7.5	22 (41%)
2025-12-14	15	@ NO	9	Under	12.5	24 (42%)
2025-11-30	13	vs LA	41	Over	45.5	38 (59%)
2025-11-24	12	@ SF	27	Over	4.5	16 (35%)
2025-11-16	11	@ ATL	7	Under	0.5	15 (19%)
2025-11-09	10	vs NO	1	Under	2.5	11 (21%)
2025-11-02	9	@ GB	0	Under	—	13 (22%)
2025-10-26	8	vs BUF	0	Under	10.5	35 (57%)
2025-10-19	7	@ NYJ	24	Over	6.5	38 (54%)
2025-09-28	4	@ NE	20	Over	25.5	35 (51%)
2025-09-21	3	vs ATL	3	Under	10.5	36 (62%)
2025-09-14	2	@ ARI	39	Over	15.5	63 (74%)
2025-09-07	1	@ JAX	32	Over	9.5	43 (67%)
2024-12-22	16	vs ARI	13	Under	—	57 (84%)
2024-12-15	15	vs DAL	17	Over	—	52 (95%)
2024-12-08	14	@ PHI	15	Under	—	69 (97%)
2024-12-01	13	vs TB	0	Under	—	55 (79%)
2024-11-24	12	vs KC	2	Under	—	55 (89%)
2024-11-10	10	vs NYG	16	Under	—	53 (88%)
2024-11-03	9	vs NO	0	Under	—	42 (79%)
2024-10-27	8	@ DEN	15	Under	—	45 (74%)
2024-10-20	7	@ WAS	0	Under	—	36 (84%)
2024-10-13	6	vs ATL	11	Under	—	54 (82%)
2024-10-06	5	@ CHI	-2	Under	—	39 (65%)
2024-09-29	4	vs CIN	17	Over	—	52 (74%)
2024-09-22	3	@ LV	55	Over	—	43 (58%)
2024-09-15	2	vs LAC	12	Under	—	28 (58%)
2024-09-08	1	@ NO	0	Under	—	32 (54%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 16.5Underdog 17.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 9m ago.