NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Bo Melton WR

GB vs DAL · Sun Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET

14.5 Rec Yds O -110U -114

Hit rate · All 25%8/32 Odds imply 49.6% Over

Season avg: 6.0
Graph avg: 7.6
Graph median: 0.00–45
Over the close: 25%1/4

2026 per game

Targets1.6▲+0.6

Rec0.8▲+0.5

Rec Yds6.0▼-2.2

Rec TD0.0▼-0.1

Snaps15.8▲+6.8

Snap %25.2%▲+9.6

14.5

2024

0

Sep 06
0

Sep 15
0

Sep 22
28

Sep 29
12

Oct 06
6

Oct 13
8

Oct 20
0

Oct 27
19

Nov 03
0

Nov 24
0

Dec 23
18

Dec 29
0

Jan 05
16

Jan 12
2025

0

Sep 07
0

Sep 28
0

Oct 12
0

Oct 19
0

Oct 26
28

Nov 10
0

Nov 16
0

Nov 27
45

Dec 07
0

Dec 14
0

Dec 20
34

Dec 27
0

Jan 04
2026

10

Sep 13
0

Sep 20
0

Sep 24
0

Oct 04
20

Oct 11
?

Oct 19

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 14.5

Home 40% 6/15 · avg 12.5
Away 12% 2/17 · avg 3.3
vs DAL 0% 0/1 · avg 0.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 4.5 38% 12/32
O 9.5 31% 10/32
O 14.5 Today 25% 8/32
O 19.5 16% 5/32
O 24.5 12% 4/32

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs DAL

What DAL allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds170.3#5
Receptions11.9#12
Targets17.6#15
Yds/Target9.7#3
Rec TD1.0#10

WRs vs DAL · 2026

Each main WR who faced DAL this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+2.2

Avg diff %+4%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 08	Emeka Egbuka	38	38.5	-1%
Oct 08	Chris Godwin Jr.	37	35.5	+4%
Oct 04	Nico Collins	118	65.5	+80%
Oct 04	Xavier Hutchinson	46	46.2	-1%
Sep 27	Zay Flowers	84	107.0	-21%
Sep 27	Rashod Bateman	37	49.0	-24%
Sep 20	Terry McLaurin	50	51.0	-2%
Sep 20	Stefon Diggs	47	41.0	+15%
Sep 13	Malik Nabers	69	65.0	+6%
Sep 13	Malachi Fields	25	30.2	-17%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

GB offense

GB offense: Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%12.4 yds	5%19.9 yds	10%15.4 yds
Short	27%5.8 yds	16%6.1 yds	35%4.8 yds

Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

DAL defense

DAL defense: Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%13.5 yds#9	2%24.3 yds#1	9%10.6 yds#19
Short	27%7.4 yds#2	16%10.1 yds#1	37%6.7 yds#3

Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	19%0.0 yds	12%22.5 yds	6%34.0 yds
Short	38%3.7 yds	6%8.0 yds	19%0.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of GB targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Matthew Golden WR	5	8.8	44	24.0%
2	Christian Watson WR	5	8.0	40	22.7%
3	Tucker Kraft TE	5	5.8	29	16.1%
4	Pierre Strong RB	1	4.0	4	12.9%
5	Jayden Reed WR	2	4.0	8	10.5%
6	MarShawn Lloyd RB	5	2.6	13	7.7%
7	Skyy Moore WR	5	2.8	14	7.3%
8	Mark Redman TE	1	2.0	2	6.7%
9	Jonnu Smith TE	3	2.3	7	5.6%
10	Bo Melton WR	5	1.6	8	4.8%

Game log · 32 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 14.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs CHI	20	Over	0.5	30 (49%)
2026-10-04	4	@ TB	0	Under	0.5	11 (18%)
2026-09-24	3	vs ATL	0	Under	0.5	21 (32%)
2026-09-20	2	@ NYJ	0	Under	0.5	9 (15%)
2026-09-13	1	@ MIN	10	Under	—	8 (12%)
2026-01-04	18	@ MIN	0	Under	—	13 (25%)
2025-12-27	17	vs BAL	34	Over	—	17 (36%)
2025-12-20	16	@ CHI	0	Under	—	1 (1%)
2025-12-14	15	@ DEN	0	Under	—	9 (14%)
2025-12-07	14	vs CHI	45	Over	—	9 (17%)
2025-11-27	13	@ DET	0	Under	—	11 (17%)
2025-11-16	11	@ NYG	0	Under	—	2 (4%)
2025-11-10	10	vs PHI	28	Over	—	26 (38%)
2025-10-26	8	@ PIT	0	Under	—	1 (2%)
2025-10-19	7	@ ARI	0	Under	—	—
2025-10-12	6	vs CIN	0	Under	—	1 (2%)
2025-09-28	4	@ DAL	0	Under	—	—
2025-09-07	1	vs DET	0	Under	—	—
2025-01-12	19 (P)	@ PHI	16	Over	—	32 (48%)
2025-01-05	18	vs CHI	0	Under	—	26 (40%)
2024-12-29	17	@ MIN	18	Over	—	16 (25%)
2024-12-23	16	vs NO	0	Under	—	22 (32%)
2024-11-24	12	vs SF	0	Under	—	23 (32%)
2024-11-03	9	vs DET	19	Over	—	11 (17%)
2024-10-27	8	@ JAX	0	Under	—	12 (17%)
2024-10-20	7	vs HOU	8	Under	—	8 (14%)
2024-10-13	6	vs ARI	6	Under	—	27 (37%)
2024-10-06	5	@ LA	12	Under	—	29 (49%)
2024-09-29	4	vs MIN	28	Over	—	11 (14%)
2024-09-22	3	@ TEN	0	Under	—	17 (27%)
2024-09-15	2	vs IND	0	Under	—	16 (23%)
2024-09-06	1	@ PHI	0	Under	—	8 (12%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 14.5PrizePicks 16.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 9m ago.