NFL Prop Research

RJ

Roschon Johnson RB

CHI vs ATL · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

4.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · Last 20 40%8/20 Odds imply —

Season avg

13.7

Graph avg

5.7

Graph median

0.00–34

Over the close

100%1/1

2026 per game

Carries3.0▲+2.7

Rush Yds7.3▲+4.5

Rush TD0.0+0.0

Targets2.7▲+2.7

Rec2.0▲+2.0

Rec Yds13.7▲+13.7

Snaps18.5▲+16.5

Snap %25.0%▲+22.0

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

• Home 46% 5/11 · avg 5.0
• Away 36% 4/11 · avg 8.2
• vs ATL No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

• O 4.5 Today 40% 8/20
• O 9.5 20% 4/20
• O 14.5 15% 3/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs ATL

What ATL allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rush Yds87.9#20
• Yds/Carry4.5#10
• Rush TD0.3#32
• Targets6.0#10
• Rec Yds25.0#27

RBs vs ATL · 2026

Each main RB who faced ATL this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.4

Avg diff %+314%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	BAL Derrick Henry	18	11.0	+64%
Oct 05	NO Alvin Kamara	35	2.0	+1650%
Sep 24	GB MarShawn Lloyd	7	12.0	-42%
Sep 20	CAR Chuba Hubbard	11	24.3	-55%
Sep 13	PIT Jaylen Warren	27	50.8	-47%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CHI offense

CHI offense: Share of CHI pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%13.8 yds	6%12.2 yds	8%6.7 yds
Short	22%5.8 yds	24%6.7 yds	32%5.6 yds

Share of CHI pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ATL defense

ATL defense: Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	11%8.8 yds#23	2%18.7 yds#8	10%11.2 yds#15
Short	32%6.2 yds#9	15%5.8 yds#26	30%4.8 yds#26

Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

Target share · CHI 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of CHI targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Luther Burden III WR	5	7.0	35	21.9%
2	Kalif Raymond WR	5	5.4	27	17.7%
3	Rome Odunze WR	5	5.8	29	17.5%
4	Colston Loveland TE	5	4.6	23	14.2%
5	D'Andre Swift RB	5	3.2	16	9.7%
6	Roschon Johnson RB	3	2.7	8	6.9%
7	Cole Kmet TE	5	1.8	9	5.9%
8	Kyle Monangai RB	4	1.2	5	4.4%
9	Sam Roush TE	4	1.2	5	4.0%
10	Jahdae Walker WR	2	1.0	2	3.2%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 4.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ GB	34	Over	0.5	27 (39%)
2026-10-04	4	vs NYJ	7	Over	—	10 (11%)
2026-09-13	1	@ CAR	0	Under	—	—
2025-11-16	11	@ MIN	0	Under	—	—
2025-10-19	7	vs NO	0	Under	—	1 (1%)
2025-10-13	6	@ WAS	0	Under	—	3 (5%)
2025-09-28	4	@ LV	0	Under	—	—
2025-09-21	3	vs DAL	0	Under	—	—
2025-09-14	2	@ DET	0	Under	—	—
2025-01-05	18	@ GB	16	Over	—	13 (21%)
2024-12-26	17	vs SEA	0	Under	—	20 (33%)
2024-12-22	16	vs DET	0	Under	—	17 (27%)
2024-11-28	13	@ DET	0	Under	—	2 (3%)
2024-11-24	12	vs MIN	10	Over	—	29 (38%)
2024-11-17	11	vs GB	8	Over	—	30 (42%)
2024-11-10	10	vs NE	5	Over	—	20 (33%)
2024-11-03	9	@ ARI	8	Over	—	28 (38%)
2024-10-27	8	@ WAS	0	Under	—	17 (27%)
2024-10-13	6	vs JAX	25	Over	—	18 (27%)
2024-10-06	5	vs CAR	0	Under	—	23 (31%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 2.5Underdog 4.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Underdog, updated 3m ago.