NFL Prop Research

JH

Justice Hill RB

BAL vs CLE · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

9.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

BookBetMGM · 9.5FanDuel · 9.5Bally Bet · 9.5Fanatics · 10.5

Hit rate · Last 20 60%12/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg

9.8

Graph avg

15.7

Graph median

12.00–61

Over the close

33%5/15

2026 per game

Carries3.6▲+1.8

Rush Yds26.6▲+17.3

Rush TD0.0▼-0.2

Targets2.0▼-0.7

Rec1.4▼-0.7

Rec Yds9.8▼-7.1

Snaps27.6▲+5.7

Snap %42.0%▲+4.9

Splits all logged games · over 9.5

• Home 62% 10/16 · avg 18.4
• Away 62% 10/16 · avg 20.4
• vs CLE 100% 2/2 · avg 16.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

• O 4.5 75% 15/20
• O 9.5 Today 60% 12/20
• O 14.5 35% 7/20
• O 19.5 25% 5/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs CLE

What CLE allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rush Yds122.2#2
• Yds/Carry5.1#1
• Rush TD0.8#10
• Targets5.2#19
• Rec Yds19.9#31

RBs vs CLE · 2026

Each main RB who faced CLE this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-4.0

Avg diff %-24%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	NYJ Braelon Allen	0	4.8	-100%
Oct 01	PIT Jaylen Warren	33	49.2	-33%
Sep 27	CAR Chuba Hubbard	28	18.7	+50%
Sep 20	TB Bucky Irving	1	17.5	-94%
Sep 13	JAX Bhayshul Tuten	22	14.0	+57%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

BAL offense

BAL offense: Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%19.9 yds	3%14.1 yds	7%14.9 yds
Short	27%6.6 yds	24%9.8 yds	31%5.3 yds

Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

CLE defense

CLE defense: Throws CLE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%7.8 yds#26	5%16.4 yds#13	7%6.2 yds#30
Short	30%4.7 yds#31	14%7.0 yds#15	37%6.1 yds#8

Throws CLE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	3%0.0 yds	0%	0%
Short	31%6.2 yds	25%7.0 yds	41%6.1 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · BAL 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of BAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Zay Flowers WR	4	7.8	31	29.6%
2	Mark Andrews TE	5	6.0	30	22.8%
3	Rashod Bateman WR	5	4.2	21	15.3%
4	Ja'Kobi Lane WR	1	3.0	3	12.5%
5	Chris Moore WR	3	2.0	6	7.9%
6	Matthew Hibner TE	3	1.7	5	7.0%
7	Justice Hill RB	5	2.0	10	6.9%
8	Elijah Sarratt WR	1	2.0	2	6.9%
9	Derrick Henry RB	5	1.8	9	6.6%
10	Devontez Walker WR	4	1.8	7	6.3%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 9.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ ATL	5	Under	8.5	35 (46%)
2026-10-04	4	vs TEN	22	Over	10.5	24 (38%)
2026-09-27	3	@ DAL	0	Under	13.5	21 (33%)
2026-09-20	2	vs NO	12	Over	13.5	27 (47%)
2026-09-13	1	@ IND	10	Over	11.5	31 (46%)
2025-11-23	12	vs NYJ	0	Under	10.5	16 (25%)
2025-11-09	10	@ MIN	12	Over	15.5	19 (27%)
2025-10-30	9	@ MIA	13	Over	17.5	11 (20%)
2025-10-26	8	vs CHI	0	Under	13.5	19 (31%)
2025-10-12	6	vs LA	28	Over	15.5	35 (45%)
2025-10-05	5	vs HOU	9	Under	15.5	13 (30%)
2025-09-28	4	@ KC	41	Over	36.5	32 (58%)
2025-09-22	3	vs DET	45	Over	10.5	29 (51%)
2025-09-14	2	vs CLE	18	Over	12.5	22 (39%)
2025-09-07	1	@ BUF	3	Under	10.5	23 (45%)
2025-01-19	20 (P)	@ BUF	7	Under	—	24 (41%)
2025-01-11	19 (P)	vs PIT	13	Over	—	29 (39%)
2024-12-21	16	vs PIT	0	Under	—	7 (11%)
2024-12-15	15	@ NYG	61	Over	—	22 (37%)
2024-12-01	13	vs PHI	15	Over	—	36 (50%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 9.5Underdog 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 10m ago.