NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Tommy Tremble TE

CAR vs PHI · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

14.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · Last 10 40%4/10 Odds imply —

Season avg: 20.5
Graph avg: 16.9
Graph median: 12.52–41
Over the close: 50%5/10

2026 per game

Targets3.8▲+1.2

Rec2.8▲+0.9

Rec Yds20.5▲+3.6

Rec TD0.0▼-0.1

Snaps37.5▼-2.0

Snap %52.8%▼-8.9

14.5

2025

2

Nov 30
13

Dec 14
6

Dec 21
6

Dec 28
38

Jan 03
22

Jan 10
2026

25

Sep 13
4

Sep 20
41

Sep 27
12

Oct 04
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 14.5

Home 53% 8/15 · avg 19.4
Away 47% 7/15 · avg 19.7
vs PHI 0% 0/1 · avg 3.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 4.5 80% 8/10
O 9.5 60% 6/10
O 14.5 Today 40% 4/10
O 19.5 40% 4/10
O 24.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs PHI

What PHI allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds34.3#31
Receptions4.3#25
Targets5.9#29
Yds/Target5.8#28
Rec TD0.1#31

TEs vs PHI · 2026

Each main TE who faced PHI this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+7.4

Avg diff %+22%

Beat their average80% (4/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Brenton Strange	68	41.8	+63%
Oct 04	Tyler Higbee	67	52.3	+28%
Sep 28	Colston Loveland	31	19.8	+57%
Sep 20	Gunnar Helm	13	11.8	+11%
Sep 13	Chig Okonkwo	16	32.5	-51%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CAR offense

CAR offense: Share of CAR pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%9.2 yds	4%16.7 yds	6%17.1 yds
Short	33%5.0 yds	15%8.5 yds	34%5.1 yds

Share of CAR pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PHI defense

PHI defense: Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%10.4 yds#15	3%21.6 yds#3	7%11.8 yds#14
Short	33%5.7 yds#17	20%6.3 yds#22	32%5.2 yds#23

Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	3%0.0 yds	3%0.0 yds	0%
Short	33%6.4 yds	10%9.3 yds	50%5.1 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of CAR targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Tetairoa McMillan WR	4	9.8	39	26.9%
2	Jalen Coker WR	3	7.3	22	21.4%
3	Darren Waller TE	4	4.8	19	12.4%
4	Tommy Tremble TE	4	3.8	15	10.2%
5	Xavier Legette WR	2	3.0	6	9.2%
6	John Metchie III WR	3	3.3	10	8.2%
7	Chuba Hubbard RB	4	2.8	11	7.4%
8	Brycen Tremayne WR	4	2.2	9	5.5%
9	Mitchell Evans TE	4	1.8	7	4.7%
10	Jonathon Brooks RB	2	1.5	3	4.5%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 14.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	vs DET	12	Under	13.5	38 (51%)
2026-09-27	3	@ CLE	41	Over	10.5	37 (48%)
2026-09-20	2	@ ATL	4	Under	13.5	37 (56%)
2026-09-13	1	vs CHI	25	Over	10.5	38 (56%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	vs LA	22	Over	22.5	54 (81%)
2026-01-03	18	@ TB	38	Over	16.5	46 (90%)
2025-12-28	17	vs SEA	6	Under	6.5	41 (77%)
2025-12-21	16	vs TB	6	Under	0.5	23 (43%)
2025-12-14	15	@ NO	13	Under	11.5	28 (49%)
2025-11-30	13	vs LA	2	Under	10.5	36 (56%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 13.5Underdog 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Underdog, updated 7m ago.