NFL Prop Research

NH

Najee Harris RB

NYG vs NO · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

14.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · All 40%10/25 Odds imply —

Season avg

1.2

Graph avg

14.2

Graph median

7.00–54

Over the close

33%1/3

2026 per game

Carries6.8▲+1.8

Rush Yds24.2▲+3.9

Rush TD0.0+0.0

Targets0.2▼-0.8

Rec0.2▼-0.8

Rec Yds1.2▼-7.1

Snaps12.5▼-1.8

Snap %18.0%▼-3.7

Splits all logged games · over 14.5

• Home 42% 5/12 · avg 10.8
• Away 38% 5/13 · avg 17.2
• vs NO No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

• O 4.5 68% 17/25
• O 9.5 44% 11/25
• O 14.5 Today 40% 10/25
• O 19.5 28% 7/25
• O 24.5 20% 5/25

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs NO

What NO allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rush Yds108.4#8
• Yds/Carry4.3#16
• Rush TD1.2#3
• Targets4.5#29
• Rec Yds26.2#25

RBs vs NO · 2026

Each main RB who faced NO this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-14.2

Avg diff %-31%

Beat their average20% (1/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	MIN Aaron Jones	4	17.0	-76%
Oct 05	ATL Bijan Robinson	2	37.5	-95%
Sep 27	LV Ashton Jeanty	37	44.5	-17%
Sep 20	BAL Derrick Henry	19	10.8	+77%
Sep 13	DET Jahmyr Gibbs	30	53.2	-44%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NYG offense

NYG offense: Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.2 yds	4%10.9 yds	8%6.3 yds
Short	33%5.8 yds	22%6.1 yds	26%5.5 yds

Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NO defense

NO defense: Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%9.7 yds#21	2%15.0 yds#16	8%11.9 yds#13
Short	32%6.6 yds#8	12%5.9 yds#25	38%4.6 yds#28

Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 3 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	25%11.0 yds	50%7.0 yds	25%5.0 yds

Last 3 games · Yds/target

Target share · NYG 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NYG targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Isaiah Likely TE	5	9.6	48	29.8%
2	Malik Nabers WR	5	9.2	46	26.9%
3	Malachi Fields WR	5	3.4	17	11.3%
4	Darnell Mooney WR	5	3.4	17	10.2%
5	Devin Singletary RB	2	2.5	5	8.5%
6	Cam Skattebo RB	5	2.4	12	8.2%
7	Theo Johnson TE	4	2.2	9	6.3%
8	Patrick Ricard RB	2	1.5	3	5.2%
9	Odell Beckham Jr. WR	1	1.0	1	4.8%
10	Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB	5	0.6	3	1.2%

Game log · 25 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 14.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ WAS	5	Under	0.5	16 (18%)
2026-10-04	4	vs ARI	0	Under	2.5	12 (18%)
2026-09-27	3	vs TEN	0	Under	0.5	14 (22%)
2026-09-21	2	@ LA	0	Under	—	8 (14%)
2025-09-21	3	vs DEN	0	Under	—	11 (13%)
2025-09-15	2	@ LV	20	Over	—	20 (34%)
2025-09-05	1	vs KC	5	Under	—	12 (18%)
2025-01-11	19 (P)	@ BAL	41	Over	—	21 (46%)
2025-01-04	18	vs CIN	20	Over	—	30 (49%)
2024-12-25	17	vs KC	7	Under	—	34 (45%)
2024-12-21	16	@ BAL	0	Under	—	17 (28%)
2024-12-15	15	@ PHI	7	Under	—	14 (33%)
2024-12-08	14	vs CLE	0	Under	—	27 (42%)
2024-12-01	13	@ CIN	54	Over	—	36 (52%)
2024-11-21	12	@ CLE	13	Under	—	27 (39%)
2024-11-17	11	vs BAL	30	Over	—	45 (58%)
2024-11-10	10	@ WAS	0	Under	—	37 (47%)
2024-10-28	8	vs NYG	17	Over	—	39 (59%)
2024-10-20	7	vs NYJ	0	Under	—	33 (49%)
2024-10-13	6	@ LV	16	Over	—	31 (46%)
2024-10-06	5	vs DAL	35	Over	—	43 (74%)
2024-09-29	4	@ IND	54	Over	—	48 (69%)
2024-09-22	3	vs LAC	16	Over	—	40 (59%)
2024-09-15	2	@ DEN	5	Under	—	30 (45%)
2024-09-08	1	@ ATL	9	Under	—	38 (56%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 0.5Underdog 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Underdog, updated 7m ago.