NFL Prop Research

BA

Braelon Allen RB

NYJ vs NE · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

14.5 Rec Yds O -113U -111

BookCaesars · 14.5ESPN BET · 14.5FanDuel · 14.5DraftKings · 14.5Fanatics · 15.5BetMGM · 15.5Bally Bet · 15.5

Hit rate · Last 20 15%3/20 Odds imply 50.2% Over

Season avg

3.8

Graph avg

5.6

Graph median

1.00–38

Over the close

29%2/7

2026 per game

Carries11.4▲+6.9

Rush Yds47.2▲+28.2

Rush TD0.4▲+0.2

Targets2.2▲+1.5

Rec1.4▲+0.9

Rec Yds3.8▼-0.5

Snaps34.8▲+20.3

Snap %60.6%▲+37.4

Splits all logged games · over 14.5

• Home 8% 1/12 · avg 5.2
• Away 29% 4/14 · avg 8.7
• vs NE 0% 0/2 · avg 6.5

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

• O 4.5 40% 8/20
• O 9.5 15% 3/20
• O 14.5 Today 15% 3/20
• O 19.5 5% 1/20
• O 24.5 5% 1/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs NE

What NE allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rush Yds68.8#31
• Yds/Carry3.5#29
• Rush TD0.4#27
• Targets5.6#13
• Rec Yds31.8#17

RBs vs NE · 2026

Each main RB who faced NE this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-14.3

Avg diff %-37%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	LV Ashton Jeanty	50	41.2	+21%
Oct 04	BUF Ty Johnson	9	61.0	-85%
Sep 27	JAX Bhayshul Tuten	17	15.2	+11%
Sep 20	PIT Jaylen Warren	34	49.0	-31%
Sep 09	SEA George Holani	0	15.2	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NYJ offense

NYJ offense: Share of NYJ pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%9.0 yds	2%21.2 yds	6%12.7 yds
Short	37%5.3 yds	10%4.5 yds	40%5.0 yds

Share of NYJ pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NE defense

NE defense: Throws NE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%6.6 yds#29	4%10.5 yds#31	4%10.0 yds#22
Short	32%5.2 yds#27	17%7.7 yds#12	36%4.4 yds#31

Throws NE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 7 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	43%1.3 yds	0%	57%3.5 yds

Last 7 games · Yds/target

Target share · NYJ 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NYJ targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Garrett Wilson WR	5	8.4	42	30.1%
2	Adonai Mitchell WR	2	7.5	15	23.2%
3	Kenyon Sadiq TE	5	4.2	21	16.1%
4	Mason Taylor TE	2	3.0	6	11.7%
5	Isaiah Williams WR	5	2.8	14	10.7%
6	Breece Hall RB	3	3.3	10	10.3%
7	Tim Patrick WR	1	3.0	3	10.3%
8	Braelon Allen RB	5	2.2	11	8.5%
9	Jeremy Ruckert TE	3	2.7	8	7.9%
10	Sterling Shepard WR	2	1.0	2	4.7%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 14.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs CLE	0	Under	13.5	60 (86%)
2026-10-04	4	@ CHI	8	Under	11.5	30 (94%)
2026-09-27	3	@ DET	3	Under	2.5	34 (52%)
2026-09-20	2	vs GB	8	Under	3.5	23 (31%)
2026-09-13	1	@ TEN	0	Under	9.5	27 (40%)
2025-09-29	4	@ MIA	0	Under	10.5	6 (10%)
2025-09-21	3	@ TB	17	Over	—	23 (33%)
2025-09-14	2	vs BUF	0	Under	—	9 (19%)
2025-09-07	1	vs PIT	0	Under	1.5	20 (31%)
2025-01-05	18	vs MIA	8	Under	—	14 (22%)
2024-12-29	17	@ BUF	0	Under	—	19 (30%)
2024-12-22	16	vs LA	5	Under	—	10 (14%)
2024-12-15	15	@ JAX	0	Under	—	10 (17%)
2024-12-08	14	@ MIA	38	Over	—	37 (54%)
2024-12-01	13	vs SEA	16	Over	—	19 (28%)
2024-11-17	11	vs IND	0	Under	—	9 (18%)
2024-11-10	10	@ ARI	7	Under	—	14 (24%)
2024-10-31	9	vs HOU	0	Under	—	17 (29%)
2024-10-27	8	@ NE	0	Under	—	19 (31%)
2024-10-20	7	@ PIT	2	Under	—	5 (9%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 14.5Underdog 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 14m ago.