NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Devaughn Vele WR

NO vs NYG · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

43.5 Rec Yds O -112U -112

Hit rate · Last 20 30%6/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 50.4
Graph avg: 33.0
Graph median: 26.50–93
Over the close: 64%7/11

2026 per game

Targets7.4▲+3.1

Rec5.0▲+2.2

Rec Yds50.4▲+17.8

Rec TD0.4▲+0.2

Snaps64.2▲+21.1

Snap %92.0%▲+30.0

43.5

2024

16

Dec 02
0

Dec 15
21

Dec 19
27

Dec 28
50

Jan 05
0

Jan 12
2025

13

Sep 07
3

Sep 14
13

Oct 05
10

Oct 26
15

Nov 09
37

Nov 23
93

Nov 30
40

Dec 07
69

Dec 14
2026

69

Sep 13
64

Sep 20
39

Sep 27
54

Oct 05
26

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 43.5

Home 33% 5/15 · avg 33.5
Away 31% 4/13 · avg 39.8
vs NYG 0% 0/1 · avg 13.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 33.5 45% 9/20
O 38.5 40% 8/20
O 43.5 Today 30% 6/20
O 48.5 30% 6/20
O 53.5 25% 5/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs NYG

What NYG allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds127.3#25
Receptions10.3#23
Targets16.5#25
Yds/Target7.7#21
Rec TD0.9#15

WRs vs NYG · 2026

Each main WR who faced NYG this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+6.7

Avg diff %+20%

Beat their average50% (5/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Terry McLaurin	62	47.0	+32%
Oct 11	Antonio Williams	31	31.0	+0%
Oct 04	Michael Wilson	95	48.2	+97%
Oct 04	Marvin Harrison Jr.	12	24.3	-51%
Sep 27	Carnell Tate	58	54.0	+7%
Sep 27	Wan'Dale Robinson	57	29.8	+92%
Sep 21	Davante Adams	195	61.5	+217%
Sep 21	Konata Mumpfield	12	33.3	-64%
Sep 13	CeeDee Lamb	44	115.8	-62%
Sep 13	George Pickens	28	81.8	-66%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NO offense

NO offense: Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%7.6 yds	3%18.2 yds	7%13.7 yds
Short	32%5.7 yds	15%8.7 yds	33%5.5 yds

Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYG defense

NYG defense: Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%7.6 yds#27	2%21.6 yds#4	8%8.9 yds#26
Short	30%5.9 yds#15	15%8.2 yds#9	36%6.0 yds#9

Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	11%4.9 yds	4%15.3 yds	8%9.6 yds
Short	35%6.0 yds	18%10.2 yds	24%7.3 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of NO targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Chris Olave WR	5	10.8	54	27.9%
2	Devaughn Vele WR	5	7.4	37	19.7%
3	Juwan Johnson TE	5	6.4	32	16.8%
4	Alvin Kamara RB	4	4.0	16	11.1%
5	Travis Etienne RB	3	4.3	13	9.5%
6	Bryce Lance WR	5	3.2	16	8.3%
7	Noah Fant TE	4	3.2	13	7.4%
8	Kendre Miller RB	4	1.5	6	3.5%
9	Kevin Austin Jr. WR	1	1.0	1	3.1%
10	CJ Donaldson RB	5	1.0	5	2.5%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 43.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs MIN	26	Under	40.5	43 (96%)
2026-10-05	4	vs ATL	54	Over	45.5	66 (89%)
2026-09-27	3	vs LV	39	Under	48.5	65 (88%)
2026-09-20	2	@ BAL	64	Over	43.5	65 (96%)
2026-09-13	1	@ DET	69	Over	39.5	82 (91%)
2025-12-14	15	vs CAR	69	Over	35.5	38 (55%)
2025-12-07	14	@ TB	40	Under	36.5	54 (93%)
2025-11-30	13	@ MIA	93	Over	30.5	63 (88%)
2025-11-23	12	vs ATL	37	Under	26.5	71 (89%)
2025-11-09	10	@ CAR	15	Under	15.5	59 (87%)
2025-10-26	8	vs TB	10	Under	10.5	37 (51%)
2025-10-05	5	vs NYG	13	Under	—	25 (38%)
2025-09-14	2	vs SF	3	Under	—	24 (34%)
2025-09-07	1	vs ARI	13	Under	—	17 (23%)
2025-01-12	19 (P)	@ BUF	0	Under	—	22 (52%)
2025-01-05	18	vs KC	50	Over	—	38 (51%)
2024-12-28	17	@ CIN	27	Under	—	30 (50%)
2024-12-19	16	@ LAC	21	Under	—	36 (56%)
2024-12-15	15	vs IND	0	Under	—	38 (60%)
2024-12-02	13	vs CLE	16	Under	—	31 (47%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 43.5Underdog 49.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 8m ago.