NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Darnell Mooney WR

NYG vs NO · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

19.5 Rec Yds O -112U -112

Hit rate · All 75%27/36 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 21.8
Graph avg: 42.9
Graph median: 34.50–142
Over the close: 35%7/20

2026 per game

Targets3.4▼-1.4

Rec1.6▼-0.5

Rec Yds21.8▼-7.7

Rec TD0.0▼-0.1

Snaps40.8▼-11.1

Snap %58.6%▼-23.3

19.5

2024

15

Sep 08
88

Sep 16
66

Sep 22
56

Sep 29
105

Oct 03
38

Oct 13
46

Oct 20
86

Oct 27
88

Nov 03
96

Nov 10
27

Nov 17
20

Dec 01
142

Dec 08
0

Dec 16
82

Dec 22
37

Dec 29
2025

20

Sep 14
44

Sep 21
15

Sep 28
68

Oct 19
11

Oct 26
15

Nov 02
17

Nov 09
34

Nov 16
74

Nov 23
25

Nov 30
6

Dec 07
35

Dec 11
24

Dec 21
35

Dec 29
20

Jan 04
2026

27

Sep 13
48

Sep 21
20

Sep 27
0

Oct 04
14

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 19.5

Home 71% 12/17 · avg 38.0
Away 79% 15/19 · avg 47.3
vs NO 100% 4/4 · avg 61.5

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 9.5 92% 33/36
O 14.5 86% 31/36
O 19.5 Today 75% 27/36
O 24.5 61% 22/36
O 29.5 53% 19/36

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs NO

What NO allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds121.9#27
Receptions9.8#26
Targets16.4#26
Yds/Target7.4#26
Rec TD0.9#13

WRs vs NO · 2026

Each main WR who faced NO this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+3.8

Avg diff %+36%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Justin Jefferson	79	59.7	+32%
Oct 11	Tai Felton	27	7.0	+286%
Oct 05	Drake London	96	98.0	-2%
Oct 05	Jahan Dotson	54	23.8	+127%
Sep 27	Tre Tucker	43	57.8	-26%
Sep 27	Cody White	4	26.0	-85%
Sep 20	Rashod Bateman	88	36.2	+143%
Sep 20	Chris Moore	6	28.5	-79%
Sep 13	Amon-Ra St. Brown	67	76.2	-12%
Sep 13	Jameson Williams	45	57.8	-22%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NYG offense

NYG offense: Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.2 yds	4%10.9 yds	8%6.3 yds
Short	33%5.8 yds	22%6.1 yds	26%5.5 yds

Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NO defense

NO defense: Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%9.7 yds#21	2%15.0 yds#16	8%11.9 yds#13
Short	32%6.6 yds#8	12%5.9 yds#25	38%4.6 yds#28

Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	18%10.3 yds	8%0.0 yds	10%4.5 yds
Short	33%5.2 yds	13%6.2 yds	18%5.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of NYG targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Isaiah Likely TE	5	9.6	48	29.8%
2	Malik Nabers WR	5	9.2	46	26.9%
3	Malachi Fields WR	5	3.4	17	11.3%
4	Darnell Mooney WR	5	3.4	17	10.2%
5	Devin Singletary RB	2	2.5	5	8.5%
6	Cam Skattebo RB	5	2.4	12	8.2%
7	Theo Johnson TE	4	2.2	9	6.3%
8	Patrick Ricard RB	2	1.5	3	5.2%
9	Odell Beckham Jr. WR	1	1.0	1	4.8%
10	Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB	5	0.6	3	1.2%

Game log · 36 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 19.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ WAS	14	Under	17.5	58 (65%)
2026-10-04	4	vs ARI	0	Under	20.5	37 (55%)
2026-09-27	3	vs TEN	20	Over	17.5	28 (44%)
2026-09-21	2	@ LA	48	Over	19.5	42 (72%)
2026-09-13	1	vs DAL	27	Over	20.5	39 (57%)
2026-01-04	18	vs NO	20	Over	20.5	52 (83%)
2025-12-29	17	vs LA	35	Over	35.5	37 (70%)
2025-12-21	16	@ ARI	24	Over	10.5	54 (70%)
2025-12-11	15	@ TB	35	Over	35.5	65 (92%)
2025-12-07	14	vs SEA	6	Under	42.5	49 (77%)
2025-11-30	13	@ NYJ	25	Over	25.5	66 (96%)
2025-11-23	12	@ NO	74	Over	47.5	37 (66%)
2025-11-16	11	vs CAR	34	Over	33.5	61 (92%)
2025-11-09	10	@ IND	17	Under	20.5	57 (90%)
2025-11-02	9	@ NE	15	Under	15.5	56 (100%)
2025-10-26	8	vs MIA	11	Under	56.5	45 (90%)
2025-10-19	7	@ SF	68	Over	50.5	54 (83%)
2025-09-28	4	vs WAS	15	Under	29.5	29 (45%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CAR	44	Over	44.5	59 (89%)
2025-09-14	2	@ MIN	20	Over	20.5	57 (86%)
2024-12-29	17	@ WAS	37	Over	—	62 (97%)
2024-12-22	16	vs NYG	82	Over	—	60 (90%)
2024-12-16	15	@ LV	0	Under	—	53 (91%)
2024-12-08	14	@ MIN	142	Over	—	70 (95%)
2024-12-01	13	vs LAC	20	Over	—	76 (94%)
2024-11-17	11	@ DEN	27	Over	—	34 (58%)
2024-11-10	10	@ NO	96	Over	—	77 (99%)
2024-11-03	9	vs DAL	88	Over	—	57 (100%)
2024-10-27	8	@ TB	86	Over	—	58 (94%)
2024-10-20	7	vs SEA	46	Over	—	64 (88%)
2024-10-13	6	@ CAR	38	Over	—	67 (96%)
2024-10-03	5	vs TB	105	Over	—	85 (98%)
2024-09-29	4	vs NO	56	Over	—	54 (96%)
2024-09-22	3	vs KC	66	Over	—	57 (93%)
2024-09-16	2	@ PHI	88	Over	—	61 (100%)
2024-09-08	1	vs PIT	15	Under	—	53 (95%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 19.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 8m ago.