NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Jonnu Smith TE

GB vs DAL · Sun Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET

14.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · Last 20 55%11/20 Odds imply —

Season avg: 28.3
Graph avg: 14.6
Graph median: 16.5-1–50
Over the close: 29%4/14

2026 per game

Targets2.3▼-0.8

Rec1.7▼-0.6

Rec Yds28.3▲+16.1

Rec TD0.0▼-0.1

Snaps22.3▼-9.1

Snap %34.0%▼-18.7

14.5

2025

27

Sep 14
23

Sep 21
6

Sep 28
18

Oct 12
28

Oct 16
17

Oct 26
25

Nov 02
4

Nov 09
0

Nov 16
21

Nov 23
6

Nov 30
0

Dec 07
12

Dec 15
0

Dec 21
18

Dec 28
2

Jan 04
-1

Jan 12
2026

50

Sep 13
16

Sep 24
19

Oct 04
?

Oct 19

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 14.5

Home 58% 11/19 · avg 26.4
Away 84% 16/19 · avg 36.2
vs DAL No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 4.5 70% 14/20
O 9.5 60% 12/20
O 14.5 Today 55% 11/20
O 19.5 30% 6/20
O 24.5 20% 4/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs DAL

What DAL allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds43.8#22
Receptions4.2#27
Targets4.8#31
Yds/Target9.1#2
Rec TD0.4#15

TEs vs DAL · 2026

Each main TE who faced DAL this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-7.7

Avg diff %+519%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 08	Cade Otton	25	39.2	-36%
Oct 04	Dalton Schultz	9	58.8	-85%
Sep 27	Mark Andrews	24	38.2	-37%
Sep 20	Colson Yankoff	14	0.5	+2700%
Sep 13	Isaiah Likely	78	51.5	+51%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

GB offense

GB offense: Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%12.4 yds	5%19.9 yds	10%15.4 yds
Short	27%5.8 yds	16%6.1 yds	35%4.8 yds

Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

DAL defense

DAL defense: Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%13.5 yds#9	2%24.3 yds#1	9%10.6 yds#19
Short	27%7.4 yds#2	16%10.1 yds#1	37%6.7 yds#3

Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%0.0 yds	0%	4%43.0 yds
Short	17%-0.2 yds	30%5.9 yds	39%4.3 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of GB targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Matthew Golden WR	5	8.8	44	24.0%
2	Christian Watson WR	5	8.0	40	22.7%
3	Tucker Kraft TE	5	5.8	29	16.1%
4	Pierre Strong RB	1	4.0	4	12.9%
5	Jayden Reed WR	2	4.0	8	10.5%
6	MarShawn Lloyd RB	5	2.6	13	7.7%
7	Skyy Moore WR	5	2.8	14	7.3%
8	Mark Redman TE	1	2.0	2	6.7%
9	Jonnu Smith TE	3	2.3	7	5.6%
10	Bo Melton WR	5	1.6	8	4.8%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 14.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	@ TB	19	Over	6.5	13 (22%)
2026-09-24	3	vs ATL	16	Over	8.5	22 (33%)
2026-09-13	1	@ MIN	50	Over	—	32 (47%)
2026-01-12	19 (P)	vs HOU	-1	Under	0.5	30 (53%)
2026-01-04	18	vs BAL	2	Under	0.5	33 (44%)
2025-12-28	17	@ CLE	18	Over	18.5	27 (41%)
2025-12-21	16	@ DET	0	Under	0.5	28 (38%)
2025-12-15	15	vs MIA	12	Under	12.5	19 (29%)
2025-12-07	14	@ BAL	0	Under	10.5	27 (52%)
2025-11-30	13	vs BUF	6	Under	10.5	23 (53%)
2025-11-23	12	@ CHI	21	Over	15.5	35 (49%)
2025-11-16	11	vs CIN	0	Under	10.5	35 (54%)
2025-11-09	10	@ LAC	4	Under	22.5	35 (67%)
2025-11-02	9	vs IND	25	Over	25.5	25 (40%)
2025-10-26	8	vs GB	17	Over	—	38 (60%)
2025-10-16	7	@ CIN	28	Over	30.5	40 (70%)
2025-10-12	6	vs CLE	18	Over	—	41 (69%)
2025-09-28	4	vs MIN	6	Under	—	13 (25%)
2025-09-21	3	@ NE	23	Over	—	45 (83%)
2025-09-14	2	vs SEA	27	Over	—	35 (56%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 6.5Underdog 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Underdog, updated 7m ago.