NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Hunter Henry TE

NE vs NYJ · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

32.5 Rec Yds O -115U -115

Hit rate · All 60%25/42 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 35.4
Graph avg: 41.2
Graph median: 39.50–115
Over the close: 38%10/26

2026 per game

Targets3.8▼-1.1

Rec3.0▼-0.3

Rec Yds35.4▼-6.5

Rec TD0.2▼-0.2

Snaps49.0▼-1.8

Snap %73.0%▼-5.6

32.5

2024

9

Sep 19
12

Sep 29
32

Oct 06
41

Oct 13
92

Oct 20
45

Oct 27
56

Nov 03
14

Nov 10
63

Nov 17
44

Nov 24
75

Dec 01
25

Dec 15
39

Dec 22
0

Dec 28
2025

66

Sep 07
9

Sep 14
90

Sep 21
39

Sep 28
46

Oct 05
27

Oct 12
33

Oct 19
7

Oct 26
51

Nov 02
9

Nov 09
45

Nov 13
115

Nov 23
73

Dec 01
18

Dec 14
35

Dec 21
49

Dec 28
56

Jan 04
64

Jan 11
5

Jan 18
12

Jan 25
31

Feb 08
2026

26

Sep 09
40

Sep 20
5

Sep 27
62

Oct 04
44

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Showing the latest 40 of 42 games.

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 32.5

Home 71% 15/21 · avg 47.3
Away 48% 10/21 · avg 35.1
vs NYJ 75% 3/4 · avg 37.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 22.5 71% 30/42
O 27.5 64% 27/42
O 32.5 Today 60% 25/42
O 37.5 55% 23/42
O 42.5 45% 19/42

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs NYJ

What NYJ allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds58.0#10
Receptions5.7#11
Targets7.4#13
Yds/Target7.8#9
Rec TD0.3#22

TEs vs NYJ · 2026

Each main TE who faced NYJ this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-5.8

Avg diff %+77%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Harold Fannin Jr.	4	38.2	-90%
Oct 04	Colston Loveland	57	13.2	+330%
Sep 27	Sam LaPorta	44	68.0	-35%
Sep 20	Tucker Kraft	15	49.2	-70%
Sep 13	Gunnar Helm	28	8.0	+250%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NE offense

NE offense: Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	13%10.4 yds	3%10.5 yds	11%13.6 yds
Short	31%5.8 yds	15%7.4 yds	27%6.1 yds

Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYJ defense

NYJ defense: Throws NYJ faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%10.0 yds#17	4%14.6 yds#18	8%13.0 yds#8
Short	32%5.6 yds#20	20%6.9 yds#16	28%6.2 yds#5

Throws NYJ faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%18.5 yds	0%	5%8.0 yds
Short	20%7.6 yds	36%6.4 yds	28%9.5 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of NE targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Mack Hollins WR	4	5.0	20	16.7%
2	Romeo Doubs WR	5	4.6	23	15.3%
3	DeMario Douglas WR	5	4.4	22	14.6%
4	Hunter Henry TE	5	3.8	19	13.4%
5	A.J. Brown WR	1	4.0	4	12.9%
6	Rhamondre Stevenson RB	5	3.8	19	12.5%
7	Efton Chism III WR	4	3.2	13	10.5%
8	Reggie Gilliam RB	1	2.0	2	9.5%
9	Eli Raridon TE	4	2.2	9	7.4%
10	Kyle Williams WR	5	2.0	10	7.0%

Game log · 42 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 32.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs LV	44	Over	37.5	48 (64%)
2026-10-04	4	@ BUF	62	Over	30.5	49 (64%)
2026-09-27	3	@ JAX	5	Under	41.5	44 (70%)
2026-09-20	2	vs PIT	40	Over	39.5	50 (91%)
2026-09-09	1	@ SEA	26	Under	33.5	54 (76%)
2026-02-08	22 (P)	vs SEA	31	Under	39.5	51 (72%)
2026-01-25	21 (P)	@ DEN	12	Under	40.5	44 (69%)
2026-01-18	20 (P)	vs HOU	5	Under	39.5	47 (72%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	vs LAC	64	Over	64.5	56 (88%)
2026-01-04	18	vs MIA	56	Over	51.5	34 (58%)
2025-12-28	17	@ NYJ	49	Over	30.5	43 (65%)
2025-12-21	16	@ BAL	35	Over	40.5	60 (81%)
2025-12-14	15	vs BUF	18	Under	40.5	45 (87%)
2025-12-01	13	vs NYG	73	Over	45.5	49 (75%)
2025-11-23	12	@ CIN	115	Over	40.5	56 (79%)
2025-11-13	11	vs NYJ	45	Over	45.5	63 (94%)
2025-11-09	10	@ TB	9	Under	9.5	53 (87%)
2025-11-02	9	vs ATL	51	Over	30.5	51 (75%)
2025-10-26	8	vs CLE	7	Under	33.5	52 (76%)
2025-10-19	7	@ TEN	33	Over	36.5	44 (68%)
2025-10-12	6	@ NO	27	Under	42.5	53 (83%)
2025-10-05	5	@ BUF	46	Over	50.5	52 (87%)
2025-09-28	4	vs CAR	39	Over	40.5	37 (76%)
2025-09-21	3	vs PIT	90	Over	36.5	60 (81%)
2025-09-14	2	@ MIA	9	Under	39.5	51 (85%)
2025-09-07	1	vs LV	66	Over	46.5	66 (93%)
2024-12-28	17	vs LAC	0	Under	—	30 (57%)
2024-12-22	16	@ BUF	39	Over	—	61 (84%)
2024-12-15	15	@ ARI	25	Under	—	41 (80%)
2024-12-01	13	vs IND	75	Over	—	56 (78%)
2024-11-24	12	@ MIA	44	Over	—	57 (83%)
2024-11-17	11	vs LA	63	Over	—	67 (88%)
2024-11-10	10	@ CHI	14	Under	—	57 (89%)
2024-11-03	9	@ TEN	56	Over	—	60 (87%)
2024-10-27	8	vs NYJ	45	Over	—	57 (85%)
2024-10-20	7	@ JAX	92	Over	—	52 (87%)
2024-10-13	6	vs HOU	41	Over	—	47 (71%)
2024-10-06	5	vs MIA	32	Under	—	56 (93%)
2024-09-29	4	@ SF	12	Under	—	50 (78%)
2024-09-19	3	@ NYJ	9	Under	—	33 (63%)
2024-09-15	2	vs SEA	109	Over	—	57 (84%)
2024-09-08	1	@ CIN	18	Under	—	54 (83%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 30.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: BetMGM, updated 5m ago.