NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Drake London WR

ATL vs CHI · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

89.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 20 50%10/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 97.6
Graph avg: 88.0
Graph median: 87.04–194
Over the close: 53%9/17

2026 per game

Targets7.2▼-2.1

Rec5.4▼-0.3

Rec Yds97.6▲+21.0

Rec TD0.0▼-0.6

Snaps56.4▼-2.7

Snap %88.0%▼-2.7

89.5

2024

59

Dec 22
106

Dec 29
187

Jan 05
2025

55

Sep 07
49

Sep 14
55

Sep 21
110

Sep 28
158

Oct 13
42

Oct 19
118

Nov 02
104

Nov 09
119

Nov 16
27

Dec 21
4

Dec 29
78

Jan 04
2026

29

Sep 13
51

Sep 20
194

Sep 24
96

Oct 05
118

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 89.5

Home 35% 6/17 · avg 83.2
Away 35% 6/17 · avg 74.3
vs CHI No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 69.5 55% 11/20
O 79.5 50% 10/20
O 89.5 Today 50% 10/20
O 99.5 45% 9/20
O 109.5 35% 7/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs CHI

What CHI allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds182.7#2
Receptions12.3#7
Targets18.8#11
Yds/Target9.7#2
Rec TD1.1#7

WRs vs CHI · 2026

Each main WR who faced CHI this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+9.2

Avg diff %+42%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Christian Watson	143	82.8	+73%
Oct 11	Matthew Golden	123	68.5	+80%
Oct 04	Garrett Wilson	27	86.8	-69%
Oct 04	Isaiah Williams	73	19.5	+274%
Sep 28	DeVonta Smith	65	85.0	-24%
Sep 28	Dontayvion Wicks	32	57.0	-44%
Sep 20	Justin Jefferson	55	67.7	-19%
Sep 20	Jordan Addison	21	47.3	-56%
Sep 13	Tetairoa McMillan	75	103.3	-27%
Sep 13	Jalen Coker	138	42.0	+229%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

ATL offense

ATL offense: Share of ATL pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%10.1 yds	3%11.8 yds	9%11.8 yds
Short	33%6.4 yds	19%6.6 yds	29%5.6 yds

Share of ATL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

CHI defense

CHI defense: Throws CHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%12.1 yds#12	4%21.1 yds#5	9%15.2 yds#5
Short	31%4.9 yds#30	19%8.5 yds#6	30%6.2 yds#6

Throws CHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	17%16.1 yds	4%22.3 yds	13%17.8 yds
Short	28%6.2 yds	16%15.1 yds	22%6.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of ATL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Drake London WR	5	7.2	36	28.6%
2	Bijan Robinson RB	5	5.0	25	21.0%
3	Jahan Dotson WR	5	3.4	17	13.7%
4	Kyle Pitts TE	5	3.0	15	11.3%
5	Austin Hooper TE	3	2.3	7	8.9%
6	Zachariah Branch WR	5	1.6	8	6.2%
7	Olamide Zaccheaus WR	5	1.4	7	5.7%
8	Charlie Woerner TE	3	1.3	4	4.7%
9	Brian Robinson RB	5	0.8	4	2.9%
10	Chris Blair WR	4	0.8	3	2.4%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 89.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs BAL	118	Over	80.5	63 (98%)
2026-10-05	4	@ NO	96	Over	80.5	51 (89%)
2026-09-24	3	@ GB	194	Over	66.5	66 (93%)
2026-09-20	2	vs CAR	51	Under	56.5	43 (62%)
2026-09-13	1	@ PIT	29	Under	54.5	59 (98%)
2026-01-04	18	vs NO	78	Under	78.5	59 (94%)
2025-12-29	17	vs LA	4	Under	10.5	52 (98%)
2025-12-21	16	@ ARI	27	Under	27.5	53 (69%)
2025-11-16	11	vs CAR	119	Over	113.5	61 (92%)
2025-11-09	10	@ IND	104	Over	95.5	62 (98%)
2025-11-02	9	@ NE	118	Over	62.5	55 (98%)
2025-10-19	7	@ SF	42	Under	48.5	64 (98%)
2025-10-13	6	vs BUF	158	Over	150.5	68 (97%)
2025-09-28	4	vs WAS	110	Over	101.5	55 (85%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CAR	55	Under	61.5	57 (86%)
2025-09-14	2	@ MIN	49	Under	28.5	56 (85%)
2025-09-07	1	vs TB	55	Under	82.5	67 (88%)
2025-01-05	18	vs CAR	187	Over	—	78 (99%)
2024-12-29	17	@ WAS	106	Over	—	62 (97%)
2024-12-22	16	vs NYG	59	Under	—	49 (73%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 89.5Underdog 89.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 15m ago.