Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players
Michael Mayer TE
LV vs BUF ·
27.5 Rec Yds
O -116U -108
- Season avg
- 34.2
- Graph avg
- 34.2
- Graph median
- 32.02–82
- Over the close
- 40%2/5
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 27.5
- Home 36% 5/14 · avg 29.4
- Away 20% 3/15 · avg 16.2
- vs BUF No games
Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared
- O 17.5 80% 4/5
- O 22.5 80% 4/5
- O 27.5 Today 60% 3/5
- O 32.5 20% 1/5
- O 37.5 20% 1/5
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · TEs vs BUF
What BUF allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rec Yds38.0#28
- Receptions4.1#30
- Targets6.7#23
- Yds/Target5.7#29
- Rec TD0.3#21
TEs vs BUF · 2026
Each main TE who faced BUF this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 |
Tyler Higbee | 83 | 47.0 | +77% |
| Oct 04 |
Eli Raridon | 12 | 29.7 | -60% |
| Sep 27 |
Oronde Gadsden II | 0 | 21.5 | -100% |
| Sep 17 |
Sam LaPorta | 52 | 66.0 | -21% |
| Sep 13 |
Dalton Schultz | 35 | 52.2 | -33% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
LV offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 8%14.5 yds | 3%5.3 yds | 5%7.0 yds |
| Short | 30%5.6 yds | 19%7.0 yds | 35%5.8 yds |
Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
BUF defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 7%11.5 yds#14 | 4%8.1 yds#32 | 9%9.2 yds#25 |
| Short | 30%5.5 yds#22 | 16%6.5 yds#20 | 35%5.4 yds#16 |
Throws BUF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 2%21.0 yds | 0% | 6%7.7 yds |
| Short | 19%3.3 yds | 29%9.9 yds | 44%6.2 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · LV 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of LV targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock Bowers TE | 3 | 11.3 | 34 | 31.3% |
| 2 | Ashton Jeanty RB | 5 | 6.0 | 30 | 17.6% |
| 3 | Tre Tucker WR | 5 | 5.6 | 28 | 16.4% |
| 4 | Michael Mayer TE | 5 | 5.0 | 25 | 14.3% |
| 5 | Jalen Nailor WR | 3 | 3.7 | 11 | 12.5% |
| 6 | Jack Bech WR | 2 | 3.0 | 6 | 10.3% |
| 7 | Cody White WR | 5 | 2.8 | 14 | 8.0% |
| 8 | Malik Benson WR | 5 | 1.6 | 8 | 5.0% |
| 9 | Ian Thomas TE | 3 | 1.3 | 4 | 3.5% |
| 10 | Deven Thompkins WR | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 2.8% |
Game log · 5 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Rec Yds | vs 27.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | 5 | @ NE | 2 | Under | 28.5 | 39 (65%) |
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | vs KC | 82 | Over | 25.5 | 74 (88%) |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | @ NO | 32 | Over | 21.5 | 61 (87%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | @ LAC | 23 | Under | 44.5 | 53 (84%) |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | vs MIA | 32 | Over | 39.5 | 55 (81%) |
Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 27.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.
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