NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Javonte Williams RB

DAL vs GB · Sun Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET

13.5 Rec Yds O -108U -116

Hit rate · All 46%18/39 Odds imply 49.2% Over

Season avg: 18.8
Graph avg: 15.2
Graph median: 10.00–50
Over the close: 36%5/14

2026 per game

Carries14.8▼-0.9

Rush Yds55.2▼-19.9

Rush TD1.2▲+0.5

Targets4.0▲+0.8

Rec3.4▲+1.2

Rec Yds18.8▲+10.2

Snaps50.0▲+1.9

Snap %77.2%▲+8.2

13.5

2024

0

Sep 08
48

Sep 15
29

Sep 22
3

Sep 29
50

Oct 06
13

Oct 13
23

Oct 17
8

Oct 27
42

Nov 03
6

Nov 10
28

Nov 17
6

Nov 24
3

Dec 02
8

Dec 15
29

Dec 19
0

Dec 28
50

Jan 05
14

Jan 12
2025

10

Sep 04
33

Sep 14
16

Sep 21
15

Sep 28
4

Oct 05
5

Oct 12
2

Oct 19
8

Oct 26
0

Nov 03
0

Nov 17
14

Nov 23
21

Nov 27
0

Dec 04
0

Dec 14
9

Dec 21
0

Dec 25
2026

31

Sep 13
20

Sep 20
5

Sep 27
21

Oct 04
17

Oct 08
?

Oct 19

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 13.5

Home 53% 10/19 · avg 18.1
Away 40% 8/20 · avg 12.3
vs GB 100% 1/1 · avg 15.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 3.5 74% 29/39
O 8.5 54% 21/39
O 13.5 Today 46% 18/39
O 18.5 33% 13/39
O 23.5 23% 9/39

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs GB

What GB allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds113.5#5
Yds/Carry4.3#15
Rush TD1.5#1
Targets4.8#24
Rec Yds33.3#14

RBs vs GB · 2026

Each main RB who faced GB this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.5

Avg diff %+5%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	D'Andre Swift	30	21.0	+43%
Oct 04	Bucky Irving	0	17.8	-100%
Sep 24	Bijan Robinson	19	33.2	-43%
Sep 20	Breece Hall	63	19.5	+223%
Sep 13	Aaron Jones	0	18.0	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

DAL offense

DAL offense: Share of DAL pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.5 yds	5%21.2 yds	5%14.8 yds
Short	34%6.3 yds	16%5.7 yds	33%5.8 yds

Share of DAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

GB defense

GB defense: Throws GB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%14.1 yds#7	3%11.0 yds#30	7%7.5 yds#28
Short	26%5.3 yds#23	20%6.3 yds#23	34%6.1 yds#7

Throws GB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	34%4.9 yds	20%4.1 yds	46%3.1 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of DAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	CeeDee Lamb WR	5	10.2	51	27.3%
2	George Pickens WR	5	8.2	41	22.2%
3	Ryan Flournoy WR	5	5.4	27	14.8%
4	Javonte Williams RB	5	4.0	20	11.2%
5	Jake Ferguson TE	5	4.2	21	11.1%
6	Jonathan Mingo WR	3	2.3	7	5.8%
7	KaVontae Turpin WR	5	1.4	7	3.6%
8	Brevyn Spann-Ford TE	5	1.2	6	3.3%
9	Luke Schoonmaker TE	3	1.0	3	2.7%
10	Tyler Goodson RB	2	1.0	2	2.4%

Game log · 39 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 13.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-08	5	vs TB	17	Over	14.5	51 (85%)
2026-10-04	4	@ HOU	21	Over	13.5	58 (74%)
2026-09-27	3	vs BAL	5	Under	14.5	56 (76%)
2026-09-20	2	vs WAS	20	Over	13.5	44 (80%)
2026-09-13	1	@ NYG	31	Over	10.5	41 (71%)
2025-12-25	17	@ WAS	0	Under	8.5	25 (27%)
2025-12-21	16	vs LAC	9	Under	9.5	33 (57%)
2025-12-14	15	vs MIN	0	Under	10.5	20 (29%)
2025-12-04	14	@ DET	0	Under	10.5	65 (79%)
2025-11-27	13	vs KC	21	Over	20.5	56 (78%)
2025-11-23	12	vs PHI	14	Over	14.5	58 (78%)
2025-11-17	11	@ LV	0	Under	10.5	52 (78%)
2025-11-03	9	vs ARI	0	Under	—	58 (87%)
2025-10-26	8	@ DEN	8	Under	10.5	53 (72%)
2025-10-19	7	vs WAS	2	Under	10.5	46 (69%)
2025-10-12	6	@ CAR	5	Under	—	47 (85%)
2025-10-05	5	@ NYJ	4	Under	—	46 (77%)
2025-09-28	4	vs GB	15	Over	—	55 (80%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CHI	16	Over	—	44 (59%)
2025-09-14	2	vs NYG	33	Over	—	64 (72%)
2025-09-04	1	@ PHI	10	Under	—	47 (77%)
2025-01-12	19 (P)	@ BUF	14	Over	—	31 (74%)
2025-01-05	18	vs KC	50	Over	—	23 (31%)
2024-12-28	17	@ CIN	0	Under	—	22 (37%)
2024-12-19	16	@ LAC	29	Over	—	33 (52%)
2024-12-15	15	vs IND	8	Under	—	34 (54%)
2024-12-02	13	vs CLE	3	Under	—	30 (45%)
2024-11-24	12	@ LV	6	Under	—	38 (56%)
2024-11-17	11	vs ATL	28	Over	—	32 (52%)
2024-11-10	10	@ KC	6	Under	—	17 (29%)
2024-11-03	9	@ BAL	42	Over	—	39 (54%)
2024-10-27	8	vs CAR	8	Under	—	42 (58%)
2024-10-17	7	@ NO	23	Over	—	41 (63%)
2024-10-13	6	vs LAC	13	Under	—	37 (67%)
2024-10-06	5	vs LV	50	Over	—	40 (63%)
2024-09-29	4	@ NYJ	3	Under	—	35 (57%)
2024-09-22	3	@ TB	29	Over	—	35 (51%)
2024-09-15	2	vs PIT	48	Over	—	40 (66%)
2024-09-08	1	@ SEA	0	Under	—	36 (52%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 14.5Underdog 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 10m ago.