NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Oronde Gadsden TE

LAC vs KC · Sun Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET

13.5 Rec Yds O -115U -109

Hit rate · All 76%16/21 Odds imply 50.6% Over

Season avg: 17.2
Graph avg: 37.1
Graph median: 30.00–164
Over the close: 39%7/18

2026 per game

Targets3.2▼-1.3

Rec1.8▼-1.4

Rec Yds17.2▼-26.2

Rec TD0.2+0.0

Snaps31.4▼-9.5

Snap %46.4%▼-15.1

13.5

2025

46

Sep 21
16

Sep 28
14

Oct 05
68

Oct 12
164

Oct 19
77

Oct 23
68

Nov 02
13

Nov 09
41

Nov 16
27

Nov 30
7

Dec 08
61

Dec 14
7

Dec 21
32

Dec 27
23

Jan 04
30

Jan 11
2026

32

Sep 13
18

Sep 20
0

Sep 27
36

Oct 04
0

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 13.5

Home 73% 8/11 · avg 39.1
Away 80% 8/10 · avg 35.0
vs KC 100% 1/1 · avg 61.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 3.5 90% 19/21
O 8.5 81% 17/21
O 13.5 Today 76% 16/21
O 18.5 62% 13/21
O 23.5 57% 12/21

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs KC

What KC allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds59.4#8
Receptions6.3#6
Targets8.4#6
Yds/Target7.1#17
Rec TD0.5#11

TEs vs KC · 2026

Each main TE who faced KC this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-10.8

Avg diff %-13%

Beat their average25% (1/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Brock Bowers	86	113.0	-24%
Sep 27	Greg Dulcich	55	24.0	+129%
Sep 20	Tyler Warren	21	48.0	-56%
Sep 14	Nate Adkins	0	20.0	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LAC offense

LAC offense: Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%13.7 yds	1%17.0 yds	8%7.0 yds
Short	28%6.3 yds	15%6.2 yds	39%4.6 yds

Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

KC defense

KC defense: Throws KC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%9.3 yds#22	4%14.1 yds#20	5%8.0 yds#27
Short	30%5.6 yds#19	14%6.2 yds#24	37%5.3 yds#18

Throws KC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%12.5 yds	3%27.0 yds	6%0.0 yds
Short	30%8.1 yds	18%7.0 yds	36%5.3 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of LAC targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Tre Harris WR	5	5.0	25	18.0%
2	Quentin Johnston WR	4	4.8	19	16.5%
3	David Njoku TE	2	4.0	8	15.0%
4	Ladd McConkey WR	4	4.2	17	14.8%
5	Brenen Thompson WR	1	3.0	3	11.5%
6	Oronde Gadsden II TE	5	3.2	16	11.0%
7	Keaton Mitchell RB	5	2.8	14	10.3%
8	Charlie Kolar TE	3	2.3	7	10.2%
9	Kimani Vidal RB	4	2.0	8	7.1%
10	Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR	3	1.7	5	6.8%

Game log · 21 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 13.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs DEN	0	Under	32.5	39 (58%)
2026-10-04	4	@ SEA	36	Over	27.5	39 (55%)
2026-09-27	3	@ BUF	0	Under	37.5	39 (57%)
2026-09-20	2	vs LV	18	Over	12.5	30 (44%)
2026-09-13	1	vs ARI	32	Over	—	10 (18%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	@ NE	30	Over	16.5	27 (45%)
2026-01-04	18	@ DEN	23	Over	—	33 (46%)
2025-12-27	17	vs HOU	32	Over	7.5	46 (73%)
2025-12-21	16	@ DAL	7	Under	7.5	38 (59%)
2025-12-14	15	@ KC	61	Over	61.5	34 (52%)
2025-12-08	14	vs PHI	7	Under	7.5	46 (62%)
2025-11-30	13	vs LV	27	Over	27.5	47 (70%)
2025-11-16	11	@ JAX	41	Over	25.5	42 (88%)
2025-11-09	10	vs PIT	13	Under	54.5	38 (52%)
2025-11-02	9	@ TEN	68	Over	68.5	52 (80%)
2025-10-23	8	vs MIN	77	Over	80.5	56 (77%)
2025-10-19	7	vs IND	164	Over	164.5	60 (79%)
2025-10-12	6	@ MIA	68	Over	54.5	47 (73%)
2025-10-05	5	vs WAS	14	Over	10.5	36 (54%)
2025-09-28	4	@ NYG	16	Over	16.5	30 (48%)
2025-09-21	3	vs DEN	46	Over	—	22 (26%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 13.5Underdog 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 8m ago.