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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Chase Brown RB

CIN vs MIA ·

19.5 Rec Yds
Hit rate · All 49%18/37 Odds imply —
Season avg
25.8
Graph avg
24.3
Graph median
18.0-8–75
Over the close
35%7/20
2026 per game
Carries14.5â–²+0.9
Rush Yds51.8â–¼-8.2
Rush TD0.2â–¼-0.1
Targets6.0â–²+0.8
Rec5.2â–²+1.2
Rec Yds25.8+0.0
Snaps47.0â–²+3.6
Snap %72.8%â–²+6.2
Chase Brown receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 19.5.
  1. 2024
    12
  2. 0
  3. 7
  4. 12
  5. 8
  6. 11
  7. 9
  8. 2
  9. 37
  10. 52
  11. 57
  12. 30
  13. 65
  14. 16
  15. 18
  16. 24
  17. 2025
    8
  18. 18
  19. 17
  20. 31
  21. 21
  22. 7
  23. -8
  24. 32
  25. 75
  26. 28
  27. 23
  28. 35
  29. 12
  30. 37
  31. 43
  32. 40
  33. 18
  34. 2026
    22
  35. 2
  36. 8
  37. 71
  38. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 19.5

  • Home 58% 11/19 · avg 25.6
  • Away 39% 7/18 · avg 22.9
  • vs MIA 100% 1/1 · avg 43.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 9.5 73% 27/37
  • O 14.5 62% 23/37
  • O 19.5 Today 49% 18/37
  • O 24.5 38% 14/37
  • O 29.5 35% 13/37

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs MIA

What MIA allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds98.0#14
  • Yds/Carry4.3#18
  • Rush TD1.0#7
  • Targets5.7#10
  • Rec Yds36.8#8

RBs vs MIA · 2026

Each main RB who faced MIA this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+5.1
Avg diff %+46%
Beat their average75% (3/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Aaron Jones3411.3+200%
Sep 27 Kenneth Walker III327.0-89%
Sep 20 Christian McCaffrey4326.3+63%
Sep 13 Ashton Jeanty4540.0+12%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CIN offense

CIN offense: Share of CIN pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%13.4 yds3%14.9 yds7%11.7 yds
Short32%5.5 yds20%8.2 yds34%6.2 yds

Share of CIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

MIA defense

MIA defense: Throws MIA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%12.1 yds#114%14.5 yds#198%11.2 yds#14
Short29%6.5 yds#615%8.6 yds#537%6.3 yds#6

Throws MIA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep0% 0% 2%0.0 yds
Short44%3.7 yds16%9.3 yds38%5.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · CIN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of CIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Tee Higgins WR49.83924.8%
2Ja'Marr Chase WR47.02819.7%
3Chase Brown RB46.02415.0%
4Mitchell Tinsley WR17.0713.2%
5Mike Gesicki TE35.01512.7%
6Erick All TE13.039.7%
7Dohnte Meyers WR44.0169.2%
8Drew Sample TE22.557.1%
9Andrei Iosivas WR22.046.0%
10Samaje Perine RB42.085.5%

Game log · 37 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 19.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs JAX71Over19.560 (79%)
2026-09-273@ PIT8Under21.540 (70%)
2026-09-202@ HOU2Under19.542 (70%)
2026-09-131vs TB22Over23.546 (72%)
2026-01-0418vs CLE18Under19.538 (56%)
2025-12-2817vs ARI40Over40.547 (61%)
2025-12-2116@ MIA43Over21.537 (61%)
2025-12-1415vs BAL37Over22.547 (62%)
2025-12-0714@ BUF12Under15.540 (67%)
2025-11-2713@ BAL35Over35.550 (60%)
2025-11-2312vs NE23Over32.558 (89%)
2025-11-1611@ PIT28Over30.554 (82%)
2025-11-029vs CHI75Over14.565 (96%)
2025-10-268vs NYJ32Over30.532 (54%)
2025-10-167vs PIT-8Under10.548 (63%)
2025-10-126@ GB7Under—35 (54%)
2025-10-055vs DET21Over21.533 (53%)
2025-09-294@ DEN31Over31.535 (73%)
2025-09-213@ MIN17Under15.531 (55%)
2025-09-142vs JAX18Under10.549 (71%)
2025-09-071@ CLE8Under10.539 (75%)
2024-12-2817vs DEN24Over—73 (81%)
2024-12-2216vs CLE18Under—55 (98%)
2024-12-1515@ TEN16Under—64 (93%)
2024-12-0914@ DAL65Over—59 (83%)
2024-12-0113vs PIT30Over—50 (81%)
2024-11-1711@ LAC57Over—68 (83%)
2024-11-0710@ BAL52Over—71 (87%)
2024-11-039vs LV37Over—59 (80%)
2024-10-278vs PHI2Under—28 (48%)
2024-10-207@ CLE9Under—32 (58%)
2024-10-136@ NYG11Under—33 (62%)
2024-10-065vs BAL8Under—22 (33%)
2024-09-294@ CAR12Under—27 (40%)
2024-09-233vs WAS7Under—15 (24%)
2024-09-152@ KC0Under—13 (20%)
2024-09-081vs NE12Under—17 (33%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 19.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 12m ago.