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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Nico Collins WR

HOU vs TEN ·

76.5 Rec Yds O -112U -112
Hit rate · This season 50%1/2 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
96.5
Graph avg
96.5
Graph median
96.575–118
Over the close
100%2/2
2026 per game
Targets9.0â–²+1.1
Rec7.0â–²+2.4
Rec Yds96.5â–²+25.4
Rec TD1.5â–²+1.1
Snaps47.5â–¼-3.5
Snap %70.5%â–¼-5.4
Nico Collins receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 76.5.
  1. 2026
    75
  2. 118
  3. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 76.5

  • Home 56% 9/16 · avg 86.8
  • Away 50% 8/16 · avg 72.0
  • vs TEN 75% 3/4 · avg 75.2

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

  • O 56.5 100% 2/2
  • O 66.5 100% 2/2
  • O 76.5 Today 50% 1/2
  • O 86.5 50% 1/2
  • O 96.5 50% 1/2

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs TEN

What TEN allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds161.7#8
  • Receptions11.5#11
  • Targets16.3#26
  • Yds/Target9.9#1
  • Rec TD1.0#10

WRs vs TEN · 2026

Each main WR who faced TEN this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+3.1
Avg diff %+3%
Beat their average62% (5/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Zay Flowers118117.0+1%
Oct 04 Rashod Bateman4641.7+10%
Sep 27 Malik Nabers2660.7-57%
Sep 27 Malachi Fields1935.7-47%
Sep 20 DeVonta Smith11759.0+98%
Sep 20 Dontayvion Wicks7441.0+80%
Sep 13 Garrett Wilson7963.7+24%
Sep 13 Isaiah Williams742.7-84%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

HOU offense

HOU offense: Share of HOU pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%9.3 yds3%23.0 yds8%8.5 yds
Short24%4.9 yds22%9.0 yds36%5.7 yds

Share of HOU pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

TEN defense

TEN defense: Throws TEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%11.7 yds#124%24.2 yds#38%14.8 yds#5
Short33%6.5 yds#716%9.4 yds#332%5.8 yds#14

Throws TEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep11%10.8 yds7%31.6 yds16%9.8 yds
Short16%4.6 yds27%11.3 yds22%8.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · HOU 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of HOU targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Nico Collins WR29.01828.9%
2Xavier Hutchinson WR46.52619.4%
3Dalton Schultz TE46.82717.3%
4Jared Wayne WR34.01210.9%
5Kayshon Boutte WR43.2139.7%
6Jaylin Noel WR43.0128.7%
7Foster Moreau TE42.297.3%
8Woody Marks RB42.295.6%
9David Montgomery RB41.875.0%
10Lewis Bond WR11.014.0%

Game log · 2 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 76.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs DAL118Over72.538 (69%)
2026-09-131vs BUF75Under69.557 (72%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 77.5Underdog 79.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 8m ago.