NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Rachaad White RB

WAS vs NYG · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

9.5 Rec Yds O -109U -115

Hit rate · All 61%22/36 Odds imply 49.4% Over

Season avg: 17.0
Graph avg: 18.8
Graph median: 15.5-6–75
Over the close: 30%6/20

2026 per game

Carries7.3▼-0.4

Rush Yds33.3▼-0.3

Rush TD0.0▼-0.2

Targets3.0▲+0.4

Rec3.0▲+0.6

Rec Yds17.0▲+4.2

Snaps32.0▼-1.8

Snap %45.3%▼-5.7

2024

75

Sep 08
5

Sep 15
18

Sep 22
35

Sep 29
-6

Oct 03
71

Oct 21
38

Oct 27
16

Nov 04
39

Nov 10
10

Nov 24
2

Dec 01
19

Dec 08
17

Dec 15
50

Dec 22
4

Dec 29
14

Jan 12
2025

2

Sep 07
1

Sep 15
2

Sep 21
29

Sep 28
30

Oct 05
21

Oct 12
6

Oct 20
26

Oct 26
16

Nov 09
11

Nov 16
4

Nov 23
22

Nov 30
2

Dec 07
6

Dec 11
15

Dec 21
7

Dec 28
18

Jan 03
2026

5

Sep 13
40

Sep 20
6

Sep 27
?

Oct 11

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 9.5

Home 72% 13/18 · avg 24.2
Away 50% 9/18 · avg 13.4
vs NYG 100% 1/1 · avg 10.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 4.5 78% 28/36
O 9.5 Today 61% 22/36
O 14.5 53% 19/36
O 19.5 33% 12/36

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs NYG

What NYG allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds110.2#8
Yds/Carry5.1#1
Rush TD0.7#14
Targets4.8#23
Rec Yds26.6#23

RBs vs NYG · 2026

Each main RB who faced NYG this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-15.6

Avg diff %-59%

Beat their average25% (1/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Jeremiyah Love	-8	14.7	-155%
Sep 27	Tyjae Spears	0	13.3	-100%
Sep 21	Kyren Williams	12	53.7	-78%
Sep 13	Javonte Williams	31	15.8	+97%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

WAS offense

WAS offense: Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%13.0 yds	4%13.5 yds	12%5.9 yds
Short	30%5.2 yds	14%5.8 yds	33%5.4 yds

Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYG defense

NYG defense: Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%8.2 yds#25	3%15.8 yds#17	8%10.5 yds#18
Short	30%5.8 yds#15	16%7.6 yds#12	35%5.8 yds#11

Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	41%7.4 yds	18%6.8 yds	41%3.4 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of WAS targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Stefon Diggs WR	4	7.8	31	24.3%
2	Terry McLaurin WR	3	7.3	22	23.4%
3	Antonio Williams WR	4	4.8	19	14.5%
4	Chig Okonkwo TE	2	3.5	7	10.7%
5	Dyami Brown WR	4	3.2	13	9.7%
6	Rachaad White RB	3	3.0	9	9.3%
7	John Bates TE	2	2.0	4	6.8%
8	Treylon Burks WR	3	2.0	6	6.0%
9	Austin Ekeler RB	1	2.0	2	5.6%
10	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB	4	1.8	7	5.2%

Game log · 36 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 9.5	Close	Snaps
2026-09-27	3	vs SEA	6	Under	15.5	30 (43%)
2026-09-20	2	@ DAL	40	Over	11.5	37 (52%)
2026-09-13	1	@ PHI	5	Under	14.5	29 (41%)
2026-01-03	18	vs CAR	18	Over	23.5	22 (33%)
2025-12-28	17	@ MIA	7	Under	7.5	32 (48%)
2025-12-21	16	@ CAR	15	Over	8.5	25 (39%)
2025-12-11	15	vs ATL	6	Under	8.5	29 (42%)
2025-12-07	14	vs NO	2	Under	10.5	36 (49%)
2025-11-30	13	vs ARI	22	Over	10.5	23 (38%)
2025-11-23	12	@ LA	4	Under	10.5	42 (60%)
2025-11-16	11	@ BUF	11	Over	14.5	42 (60%)
2025-11-09	10	vs NE	16	Over	10.5	50 (72%)
2025-10-26	8	@ NO	26	Over	21.5	32 (55%)
2025-10-20	7	@ DET	6	Under	6.5	62 (90%)
2025-10-12	6	vs SF	21	Over	25.5	41 (77%)
2025-10-05	5	@ SEA	30	Over	30.5	49 (80%)
2025-09-28	4	vs PHI	29	Over	7.5	30 (42%)
2025-09-21	3	vs NYJ	2	Under	8.5	20 (28%)
2025-09-15	2	@ HOU	1	Under	5.5	25 (31%)
2025-09-07	1	@ ATL	2	Under	11.5	14 (24%)
2025-01-12	19 (P)	vs WAS	14	Over	—	18 (37%)
2024-12-29	17	vs CAR	4	Under	—	28 (36%)
2024-12-22	16	@ DAL	50	Over	—	36 (50%)
2024-12-15	15	@ LAC	17	Over	—	37 (51%)
2024-12-08	14	vs LV	19	Over	—	47 (76%)
2024-12-01	13	@ CAR	2	Under	—	42 (53%)
2024-11-24	12	@ NYG	10	Over	—	32 (49%)
2024-11-10	10	vs SF	39	Over	—	37 (61%)
2024-11-04	9	@ KC	16	Over	—	34 (62%)
2024-10-27	8	vs ATL	38	Over	—	41 (56%)
2024-10-21	7	vs BAL	71	Over	—	39 (48%)
2024-10-03	5	@ ATL	-6	Under	—	34 (64%)
2024-09-29	4	vs PHI	35	Over	—	45 (58%)
2024-09-22	3	vs DEN	18	Over	—	42 (74%)
2024-09-15	2	@ DET	5	Under	—	34 (71%)
2024-09-08	1	vs WAS	75	Over	—	45 (70%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 9.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 13m ago.