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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 170 players

Justice Hill RB

BAL vs ATL ·

8.5 Rec Yds O -111U -113
Hit rate · All 68%21/31 Odds imply 49.8% Over
Season avg
11.0
Graph avg
19.9
Graph median
13.00–78
Over the close
36%5/14
2026 per game
Carries3.5â–²+1.7
Rush Yds15.0â–²+5.7
Rush TD0.0â–¼-0.2
Targets1.5â–¼-1.2
Rec1.2â–¼-0.9
Rec Yds11.0â–¼-5.9
Snaps25.8â–²+3.9
Snap %41.0%â–²+3.9
Justice Hill receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 8.5.
  1. 2024
    52
  2. 10
  3. 21
  4. 78
  5. 8
  6. 2
  7. 44
  8. 14
  9. 43
  10. 0
  11. 28
  12. 7
  13. 15
  14. 61
  15. 0
  16. 13
  17. 7
  18. 2025
    3
  19. 18
  20. 45
  21. 41
  22. 9
  23. 28
  24. 0
  25. 13
  26. 12
  27. 0
  28. 2026
    10
  29. 12
  30. 0
  31. 22
  32. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 8.5

  • Home 69% 11/16 · avg 18.4
  • Away 67% 10/15 · avg 21.4
  • vs ATL No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 3.5 77% 24/31
  • O 8.5 Today 68% 21/31
  • O 13.5 45% 14/31
  • O 18.5 36% 11/31

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs ATL

What ATL allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds74.0#28
  • Yds/Carry4.0#21
  • Rush TD0.4#28
  • Targets5.7#11
  • Rec Yds23.5#30

RBs vs ATL · 2026

Each main RB who faced ATL this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.7
Avg diff %+87%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 05 Alvin Kamara356.0+483%
Sep 24 MarShawn Lloyd714.0-50%
Sep 20 Chuba Hubbard1124.3-55%
Sep 13 Jaylen Warren2738.7-30%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

BAL offense

BAL offense: Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%20.4 yds4%11.0 yds8%12.3 yds
Short26%6.9 yds25%10.6 yds29%5.2 yds

Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ATL defense

ATL defense: Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep11%9.8 yds#172%18.7 yds#710%10.7 yds#16
Short31%6.0 yds#1314%5.7 yds#2631%4.6 yds#31

Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep0% 0% 0% 
Short36%6.7 yds26%7.0 yds39%6.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · BAL 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of BAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Zay Flowers WR37.32229.8%
2Mark Andrews TE46.02423.7%
3Rashod Bateman WR43.81514.3%
4Ja'Kobi Lane WR13.0312.5%
5Chris Moore WR32.067.9%
6Matthew Hibner TE31.757.0%
7Elijah Sarratt WR12.026.9%
8Derrick Henry RB41.876.6%
9Devontez Walker WR31.756.3%
10Justice Hill RB41.565.4%

Game log · 31 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 8.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs TEN22Over10.524 (38%)
2026-09-273@ DAL0Under13.521 (33%)
2026-09-202vs NO12Over13.527 (47%)
2026-09-131@ IND10Over11.531 (46%)
2025-11-2312vs NYJ0Under10.516 (25%)
2025-11-0910@ MIN12Over15.519 (27%)
2025-10-309@ MIA13Over17.511 (20%)
2025-10-268vs CHI0Under13.519 (31%)
2025-10-126vs LA28Over15.535 (45%)
2025-10-055vs HOU9Over15.513 (30%)
2025-09-284@ KC41Over36.532 (58%)
2025-09-223vs DET45Over10.529 (51%)
2025-09-142vs CLE18Over12.522 (39%)
2025-09-071@ BUF3Under10.523 (45%)
2025-01-1920 (P)@ BUF7Under—24 (41%)
2025-01-1119 (P)vs PIT13Over—29 (39%)
2024-12-2116vs PIT0Under—7 (11%)
2024-12-1515@ NYG61Over—22 (37%)
2024-12-0113vs PHI15Over—36 (50%)
2024-11-2512@ LAC7Under—26 (40%)
2024-11-1711@ PIT28Over—30 (49%)
2024-11-0710vs CIN0Under—22 (35%)
2024-11-039vs DEN43Over—19 (33%)
2024-10-278@ CLE14Over—34 (50%)
2024-10-217@ TB44Over—27 (46%)
2024-10-136vs WAS2Under—26 (38%)
2024-10-065@ CIN8Under—41 (53%)
2024-09-294vs BUF78Over—20 (35%)
2024-09-223@ DAL21Over—26 (41%)
2024-09-152vs LV10Over—35 (54%)
2024-09-051@ KC52Over—43 (54%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 8.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 8m ago.