NFL Prop Research

NH

Najee Harris RB

NYG vs WAS · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

2.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · All 67%16/24 Odds imply —

Season avg

0.0

Graph avg

14.5

Graph median

8.00–54

Over the close

0%0/2

2026 per game

Carries7.3▲+2.3

Rush Yds29.3▲+9.0

Rush TD0.0+0.0

Targets0.0▼-1.0

Rec0.0▼-1.0

Rec Yds0.0▼-8.3

Snaps11.3▼-3.0

Snap %18.0%▼-3.7

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

• Home 58% 7/12 · avg 10.8
• Away 75% 9/12 · avg 18.2
• vs WAS 0% 0/1 · avg 0.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

• O 2.5 Today 67% 16/24
• O 7.5 50% 12/24
• O 12.5 46% 11/24

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs WAS

What WAS allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rush Yds101.5#12
• Yds/Carry4.5#13
• Rush TD1.0#8
• Targets5.3#16
• Rec Yds26.6#24

RBs vs WAS · 2026

Each main RB who faced WAS this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-7.3

Avg diff %-33%

Beat their average50% (2/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	IND Jonathan Taylor	2	22.3	-91%
Sep 27	SEA Emanuel Wilson	0	13.0	-100%
Sep 20	DAL Javonte Williams	20	18.5	+8%
Sep 13	PHI Will Shipley	8	5.3	+50%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NYG offense

NYG offense: Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%12.4 yds	3%10.8 yds	8%9.1 yds
Short	34%6.3 yds	20%5.9 yds	26%5.5 yds

Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

WAS defense

WAS defense: Throws WAS faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%4.8 yds#30	4%19.6 yds#6	7%15.5 yds#4
Short	31%5.5 yds#21	16%9.6 yds#2	36%4.9 yds#25

Throws WAS faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

Target share · NYG 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NYG targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Isaiah Likely TE	4	8.8	35	31.0%
2	Malik Nabers WR	4	6.5	26	24.1%
3	Malachi Fields WR	4	3.8	15	13.1%
4	Darnell Mooney WR	4	2.5	10	9.4%
5	Cam Skattebo RB	4	2.2	9	8.7%
6	Devin Singletary RB	2	2.5	5	8.5%
7	Theo Johnson TE	3	2.0	6	6.5%
8	Patrick Ricard RB	2	1.5	3	5.2%
9	Odell Beckham Jr. WR	1	1.0	1	4.8%
10	Braxton Berrios WR	4	0.2	1	0.9%

Game log · 24 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 2.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	vs ARI	0	Under	2.5	12 (18%)
2026-09-27	3	vs TEN	0	Under	0.5	14 (22%)
2026-09-21	2	@ LA	0	Under	—	8 (14%)
2025-09-21	3	vs DEN	0	Under	—	11 (13%)
2025-09-15	2	@ LV	20	Over	—	20 (34%)
2025-09-05	1	vs KC	5	Over	—	12 (18%)
2025-01-11	19 (P)	@ BAL	41	Over	—	21 (46%)
2025-01-04	18	vs CIN	20	Over	—	30 (49%)
2024-12-25	17	vs KC	7	Over	—	34 (45%)
2024-12-21	16	@ BAL	0	Under	—	17 (28%)
2024-12-15	15	@ PHI	7	Over	—	14 (33%)
2024-12-08	14	vs CLE	0	Under	—	27 (42%)
2024-12-01	13	@ CIN	54	Over	—	36 (52%)
2024-11-21	12	@ CLE	13	Over	—	27 (39%)
2024-11-17	11	vs BAL	30	Over	—	45 (58%)
2024-11-10	10	@ WAS	0	Under	—	37 (47%)
2024-10-28	8	vs NYG	17	Over	—	39 (59%)
2024-10-20	7	vs NYJ	0	Under	—	33 (49%)
2024-10-13	6	@ LV	16	Over	—	31 (46%)
2024-10-06	5	vs DAL	35	Over	—	43 (74%)
2024-09-29	4	@ IND	54	Over	—	48 (69%)
2024-09-22	3	vs LAC	16	Over	—	40 (59%)
2024-09-15	2	@ DEN	5	Over	—	30 (45%)
2024-09-08	1	@ ATL	9	Over	—	38 (56%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 16m ago.