NFL Prop Research

DY

Dareke Young WR

LV vs NE · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

4.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

BookCaesars · 4.5DraftKings · 2.5

Hit rate · Last 20 20%4/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg

9.0

Graph avg

4.2

Graph median

0.00–36

2026 per game

Targets0.8▲+0.5

Rec0.5▲+0.3

Rec Yds9.0▲+4.6

Rec TD0.0+0.0

Snaps11.5▲+5.4

Snap %16.2%▲+6.1

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

• Home 25% 3/12 · avg 4.8
• Away 10% 1/10 · avg 2.7
• vs NE 0% 0/1 · avg 0.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

• O 4.5 Today 20% 4/20
• O 9.5 15% 3/20
• O 14.5 10% 2/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs NE

What NE allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rec Yds119.1#29
• Receptions11.7#10
• Targets20.5#5
• Yds/Target5.8#32
• Rec TD0.8#20

WRs vs NE · 2026

Each main WR who faced NE this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-15.2

Avg diff %-23%

Beat their average38% (3/8)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	BUF DJ Moore	11	55.7	-80%
Oct 04	BUF Josh Palmer	3	38.5	-92%
Sep 27	JAX Parker Washington	40	62.7	-36%
Sep 27	JAX Jakobi Meyers	64	33.7	+90%
Sep 20	PIT DK Metcalf	27	62.0	-56%
Sep 20	PIT Roman Wilson	28	53.3	-48%
Sep 09	SEA Jaxon Smith-Njigba	122	119.7	+2%
Sep 09	SEA Cooper Kupp	35	26.3	+33%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LV offense

LV offense: Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%13.4 yds	3%5.3 yds	6%8.0 yds
Short	28%6.1 yds	19%6.3 yds	36%5.6 yds

Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NE defense

NE defense: Throws NE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%4.0 yds#32	4%10.5 yds#28	5%9.4 yds#24
Short	31%5.3 yds#24	17%7.0 yds#16	37%4.2 yds#32

Throws NE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 5 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	17%36.0 yds	0%	0%
Short	50%16.0 yds	0%	33%0.0 yds

Last 5 games · Yds/target

Target share · LV 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of LV targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Brock Bowers TE	2	12.0	24	33.1%
2	Ashton Jeanty RB	4	6.0	24	17.9%
3	Michael Mayer TE	4	6.0	24	17.2%
4	Tre Tucker WR	4	5.8	23	17.0%
5	Jalen Nailor WR	3	3.7	11	12.5%
6	Jack Bech WR	2	3.0	6	10.3%
7	Cody White WR	4	2.5	10	7.2%
8	Ian Thomas TE	2	1.5	3	3.8%
9	Malik Benson WR	4	1.0	4	3.4%
10	Dareke Young WR	4	0.8	3	1.9%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 4.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	vs KC	9	Over	—	12 (14%)
2026-09-27	3	@ NO	0	Under	—	12 (17%)
2026-09-20	2	@ LAC	27	Over	—	12 (19%)
2026-09-13	1	vs MIA	0	Under	—	10 (15%)
2026-02-08	22 (P)	@ NE	0	Under	—	4 (6%)
2026-01-25	21 (P)	vs LA	0	Under	—	1 (1%)
2026-01-17	20 (P)	vs SF	0	Under	—	11 (21%)
2025-12-28	17	@ CAR	0	Under	—	11 (17%)
2025-12-18	16	vs LA	0	Under	—	—
2025-10-20	7	vs HOU	0	Under	—	1 (1%)
2025-10-12	6	@ JAX	0	Under	—	3 (5%)
2025-10-05	5	vs TB	36	Over	—	4 (7%)
2025-09-25	4	@ ARI	0	Under	—	2 (3%)
2025-09-21	3	vs NO	12	Over	—	16 (28%)
2025-09-14	2	@ PIT	0	Under	—	8 (12%)
2024-12-26	17	@ CHI	0	Under	—	1 (2%)
2024-12-22	16	vs MIN	0	Under	—	—
2024-12-15	15	vs GB	0	Under	—	3 (5%)
2024-12-08	14	@ ARI	0	Under	—	—
2024-11-24	12	vs ARI	0	Under	—	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Caesars, updated 15m ago.