NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Rashid Shaheed WR

SEA vs SF · Sun Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET

20.5 Rec Yds O -116U -108

Hit rate · Last 20 50%10/20 Odds imply 50.8% Over

Season avg: 18.2
Graph avg: 27.5
Graph median: 23.50–75
Over the close: 40%8/20

2026 per game

Targets3.8▼-1.1

Rec1.8▼-1.2

Rec Yds18.2▼-18.2

Rec TD0.0▼-0.1

Snaps34.8▼-3.6

Snap %57.0%▼-2.6

2025

28

Oct 12
40

Oct 19
75

Oct 26
68

Nov 02
3

Nov 09
27

Nov 16
0

Nov 23
7

Nov 30
67

Dec 07
74

Dec 14
0

Dec 18
8

Dec 28
2

Jan 03
0

Jan 17
51

Jan 25
27

Feb 08
2026

4

Sep 09
35

Sep 20
14

Sep 27
20

Oct 04
?

Oct 11

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 20.5

Home 50% 8/16 · avg 34.1
Away 73% 11/15 · avg 42.8
vs SF 33% 1/3 · avg 18.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 10.5 60% 12/20
O 15.5 55% 11/20
O 20.5 Today 50% 10/20
O 25.5 50% 10/20
O 30.5 35% 7/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs SF

What SF allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds124.3#26
Receptions10.2#22
Targets16.4#24
Yds/Target7.6#24
Rec TD0.7#23

WRs vs SF · 2026

Each main WR who faced SF this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-20.5

Avg diff %-33%

Beat their average25% (2/8)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Jaylen Waddle	35	50.0	-30%
Oct 04	Pat Bryant	47	28.7	+64%
Sep 27	Michael Wilson	89	56.3	+58%
Sep 27	Kendrick Bourne	22	43.0	-49%
Sep 20	Malik Washington	43	58.7	-27%
Sep 20	Chris Bell	0	30.7	-100%
Sep 10	Davante Adams	26	121.3	-79%
Sep 10	Konata Mumpfield	0	37.3	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

SEA offense

SEA offense: Share of SEA pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%5.0 yds	3%11.7 yds	8%15.9 yds
Short	32%6.9 yds	19%7.4 yds	32%6.7 yds

Share of SEA pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

SF defense

SF defense: Throws SF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%5.4 yds#29	3%15.8 yds#16	10%11.0 yds#15
Short	34%7.0 yds#5	12%4.4 yds#32	35%4.8 yds#26

Throws SF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%0.0 yds	11%0.0 yds	21%11.8 yds
Short	14%1.2 yds	14%10.8 yds	32%4.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of SEA targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR	4	10.5	42	37.3%
2	Rashid Shaheed WR	4	3.8	15	14.3%
3	AJ Barner TE	4	3.8	15	11.8%
4	Cooper Kupp WR	4	3.0	12	10.3%
5	Jadarian Price RB	3	2.3	7	7.6%
6	George Holani RB	4	2.0	8	6.0%
7	Emanuel Wilson RB	4	1.2	5	6.0%
8	Tory Horton WR	2	2.0	4	5.8%
9	Elijah Arroyo TE	1	1.0	1	3.8%
10	Brady Russell RB	3	1.0	3	3.5%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 20.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	vs LAC	20	Under	23.5	36 (60%)
2026-09-27	3	@ WAS	14	Under	28.5	31 (46%)
2026-09-20	2	@ ARI	35	Over	24.5	39 (56%)
2026-09-09	1	vs NE	4	Under	31.5	33 (66%)
2026-02-08	22 (P)	@ NE	27	Over	21.5	41 (57%)
2026-01-25	21 (P)	vs LA	51	Over	22.5	38 (57%)
2026-01-17	20 (P)	vs SF	0	Under	23.5	22 (42%)
2026-01-03	18	@ SF	2	Under	27.5	33 (48%)
2025-12-28	17	@ CAR	8	Under	20.5	12 (18%)
2025-12-18	16	vs LA	0	Under	10.5	37 (54%)
2025-12-14	15	vs IND	74	Over	49.5	41 (68%)
2025-12-07	14	@ ATL	67	Over	20.5	31 (51%)
2025-11-30	13	vs MIN	7	Under	10.5	32 (48%)
2025-11-23	12	@ TEN	0	Under	32.5	27 (56%)
2025-11-16	11	@ LA	27	Over	25.5	45 (54%)
2025-11-09	10	vs ARI	3	Under	34.5	21 (34%)
2025-11-02	9	@ LA	68	Over	44.5	34 (83%)
2025-10-26	8	vs TB	75	Over	48.5	56 (78%)
2025-10-19	7	@ CHI	40	Over	40.5	43 (77%)
2025-10-12	6	vs NE	28	Over	46.5	34 (61%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 20.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 15m ago.