NFL Prop Research

JW

Jaylen Wright RB

MIA vs CIN · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

1.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · All 20%5/25 Odds imply —

Season avg

0.0

Graph avg

2.1

Graph median

0.00–18

Over the close

0%0/2

2026 per game

Carries2.7▼-5.1

Rush Yds5.7▼-26.3

Rush TD0.0▼-0.2

Targets0.0▼-1.0

Rec0.0▼-0.6

Rec Yds0.0▼-4.9

Snaps6.3▼-6.8

Snap %14.3%▼-7.8

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

• Home 27% 3/11 · avg 2.4
• Away 14% 2/14 · avg 1.9
• vs CIN 100% 1/1 · avg 18.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

• O 1.5 Today 20% 5/25
• O 6.5 12% 3/25
• O 11.5 8% 2/25

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs CIN

What CIN allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rush Yds90.2#21
• Yds/Carry5.1#2
• Rush TD0.6#20
• Targets5.3#17
• Rec Yds38.3#7

RBs vs CIN · 2026

Each main RB who faced CIN this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+2.6

Avg diff %+2%

Beat their average50% (2/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	JAX Bhayshul Tuten	18	12.0	+50%
Sep 27	PIT Jaylen Warren	49	31.3	+56%
Sep 20	HOU David Montgomery	14	17.7	-21%
Sep 13	TB Kenny Gainwell	3	12.8	-76%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

MIA offense

MIA offense: Share of MIA pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%8.0 yds	7%12.7 yds	8%11.9 yds
Short	32%6.7 yds	14%7.6 yds	30%4.9 yds

Share of MIA pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

CIN defense

CIN defense: Throws CIN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%8.6 yds#23	3%10.0 yds#29	9%3.2 yds#32
Short	28%8.4 yds#1	21%8.3 yds#8	31%7.7 yds#1

Throws CIN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 5 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	33%10.3 yds	11%0.0 yds	56%2.6 yds

Last 5 games · Yds/target

Target share · MIA 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of MIA targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Malik Washington WR	4	7.0	28	27.3%
2	Caleb Douglas WR	2	5.0	10	19.5%
3	De'Von Achane RB	3	4.0	12	15.8%
4	Kevin Coleman Jr. WR	3	3.3	10	14.1%
5	Greg Dulcich TE	3	4.0	12	13.5%
6	Chris Bell WR	4	3.2	13	12.4%
7	Ollie Gordon II RB	3	1.7	5	6.8%
8	DJ Herman RB	2	1.5	3	6.5%
9	Jalen Tolbert WR	1	1.0	1	5.9%
10	Will Kacmarek TE	4	1.0	4	5.0%

Game log · 25 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 1.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	@ MIN	0	Under	5.5	12 (31%)
2026-09-20	2	@ SF	0	Under	—	3 (5%)
2026-09-13	1	@ LV	0	Under	—	4 (7%)
2026-01-04	18	@ NE	17	Over	17.5	26 (46%)
2025-12-28	17	vs TB	0	Under	—	8 (15%)
2025-12-21	16	vs CIN	18	Over	—	18 (31%)
2025-12-15	15	@ PIT	9	Over	—	4 (8%)
2025-12-07	14	@ NYJ	0	Under	—	34 (52%)
2025-11-30	13	vs NO	0	Under	—	6 (10%)
2025-11-16	11	vs WAS	0	Under	—	1 (2%)
2025-11-09	10	vs BUF	0	Under	—	10 (19%)
2025-10-26	8	@ ATL	0	Under	—	11 (16%)
2025-01-05	18	@ NYJ	0	Under	—	9 (13%)
2024-12-15	15	@ HOU	0	Under	—	3 (4%)
2024-12-08	14	vs NYJ	6	Over	—	14 (19%)
2024-11-24	12	vs NE	0	Under	—	13 (19%)
2024-11-17	11	vs LV	2	Over	—	18 (26%)
2024-11-11	10	@ LA	0	Under	—	9 (17%)
2024-11-03	9	@ BUF	0	Under	—	9 (15%)
2024-10-27	8	vs ARI	0	Under	—	3 (5%)
2024-10-20	7	@ IND	0	Under	—	6 (9%)
2024-10-06	5	@ NE	0	Under	—	25 (32%)
2024-09-30	4	vs TEN	0	Under	—	28 (47%)
2024-09-22	3	@ SEA	0	Under	—	13 (21%)
2024-09-12	2	vs BUF	0	Under	—	18 (24%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 12m ago.