NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Malik Washington WR

MIA vs CIN · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

44.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 20 20%4/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 54.8
Graph avg: 25.8
Graph median: 22.50–67
Over the close: 50%10/20

2026 per game

Targets7.0▲+3.2

Rec4.2▲+1.5

Rec Yds54.8▲+36.1

Rec TD0.0▼-0.2

Snaps48.8▲+15.7

Snap %86.0%▲+29.0

2025

2

Sep 14
12

Sep 18
13

Sep 29
0

Oct 05
22

Oct 12
30

Oct 19
36

Oct 26
48

Oct 30
9

Nov 09
42

Nov 16
30

Nov 30
10

Dec 07
10

Dec 15
23

Dec 21
4

Dec 28
6

Jan 04
2026

53

Sep 13
43

Sep 20
56

Sep 27
67

Oct 04
?

Oct 11

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 44.5

Home 12% 2/16 · avg 18.6
Away 21% 4/19 · avg 24.3
vs CIN 0% 0/1 · avg 23.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 34.5 35% 7/20
O 39.5 30% 6/20
O 44.5 Today 20% 4/20
O 49.5 15% 3/20
O 54.5 10% 2/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs CIN

What CIN allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds104.4#32
Receptions7.6#32
Targets13.8#32
Yds/Target7.6#26
Rec TD0.7#22

WRs vs CIN · 2026

Each main WR who faced CIN this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-18.2

Avg diff %-33%

Beat their average25% (2/8)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Parker Washington	7	73.7	-90%
Oct 04	Jakobi Meyers	33	44.0	-25%
Sep 27	DK Metcalf	31	60.7	-49%
Sep 27	Roman Wilson	60	42.7	+41%
Sep 20	Jaylin Noel	31	51.7	-40%
Sep 20	Xavier Hutchinson	37	43.0	-14%
Sep 13	Chris Godwin Jr.	40	34.8	+15%
Sep 13	Tez Johnson	0	34.5	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

MIA offense

MIA offense: Share of MIA pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%8.0 yds	7%12.7 yds	8%11.9 yds
Short	32%6.7 yds	14%7.6 yds	30%4.9 yds

Share of MIA pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

CIN defense

CIN defense: Throws CIN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%8.6 yds#23	3%10.0 yds#29	9%3.2 yds#32
Short	28%8.4 yds#1	21%8.3 yds#8	31%7.7 yds#1

Throws CIN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	13%6.7 yds	9%13.5 yds	11%3.4 yds
Short	30%6.2 yds	11%6.8 yds	26%5.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of MIA targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Malik Washington WR	4	7.0	28	27.3%
2	Caleb Douglas WR	2	5.0	10	19.5%
3	De'Von Achane RB	3	4.0	12	15.8%
4	Kevin Coleman Jr. WR	3	3.3	10	14.1%
5	Greg Dulcich TE	3	4.0	12	13.5%
6	Chris Bell WR	4	3.2	13	12.4%
7	Ollie Gordon II RB	3	1.7	5	6.8%
8	DJ Herman RB	2	1.5	3	6.5%
9	Jalen Tolbert WR	1	1.0	1	5.9%
10	Will Kacmarek TE	4	1.0	4	5.0%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 44.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	@ MIN	67	Over	40.5	34 (87%)
2026-09-27	3	vs KC	56	Over	38.5	63 (86%)
2026-09-20	2	@ SF	43	Under	34.5	43 (73%)
2026-09-13	1	@ LV	53	Over	27.5	55 (98%)
2026-01-04	18	@ NE	6	Under	23.5	39 (70%)
2025-12-28	17	vs TB	4	Under	10.5	35 (64%)
2025-12-21	16	vs CIN	23	Under	17.5	31 (53%)
2025-12-15	15	@ PIT	10	Under	10.5	28 (56%)
2025-12-07	14	@ NYJ	10	Under	25.5	34 (52%)
2025-11-30	13	vs NO	30	Under	22.5	36 (60%)
2025-11-16	11	vs WAS	42	Under	45.5	28 (50%)
2025-11-09	10	vs BUF	9	Under	10.5	24 (45%)
2025-10-30	9	vs BAL	48	Over	40.5	45 (70%)
2025-10-26	8	@ ATL	36	Under	26.5	43 (62%)
2025-10-19	7	@ CLE	30	Under	17.5	37 (64%)
2025-10-12	6	vs LAC	22	Under	16.5	26 (44%)
2025-10-05	5	@ CAR	0	Under	10.5	32 (58%)
2025-09-29	4	vs NYJ	13	Under	15.5	28 (48%)
2025-09-18	3	@ BUF	12	Under	12.5	33 (54%)
2025-09-14	2	vs NE	2	Under	24.5	35 (61%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 44.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 11m ago.