NFL Prop Research

JKD

J.K. Dobbins RB

DEN vs LAC · Sun Oct 11 · 4:05 PM ET

2.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · Last 20 65%13/20 Odds imply —

Season avg

4.0

Graph avg

5.0

Graph median

4.5-2–19

Over the close

31%4/13

2026 per game

Carries11.5▼-3.8

Rush Yds40.2▼-37.0

Rush TD0.0▼-0.4

Targets1.0▼-0.4

Rec0.8▼-0.4

Rec Yds4.0▲+0.3

Snaps24.2▼-9.8

Snap %39.5%▼-11.6

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

• Home 85% 11/13 · avg 7.8
• Away 60% 9/15 · avg 7.0
• vs LAC 0% 0/1 · avg 0.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

• O 2.5 Today 65% 13/20
• O 7.5 25% 5/20
• O 12.5 5% 1/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs LAC

What LAC allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rush Yds88.3#24
• Yds/Carry3.8#25
• Rush TD0.4#30
• Targets4.9#21
• Rec Yds29.6#17

RBs vs LAC · 2026

Each main RB who faced LAC this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-15.8

Avg diff %-68%

Beat their average0% (0/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	SEA Brady Russell	0	20.0	-100%
Sep 27	BUF James Cook	0	8.0	-100%
Sep 20	LV Ashton Jeanty	15	50.0	-70%
Sep 13	ARI Jeremiyah Love	9	9.0	+0%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

DEN offense

DEN offense: Share of DEN pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%13.7 yds	2%8.2 yds	6%9.9 yds
Short	34%5.7 yds	11%4.5 yds	38%4.8 yds

Share of DEN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LAC defense

LAC defense: Throws LAC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%13.3 yds#7	3%9.6 yds#30	5%12.7 yds#8
Short	33%6.0 yds#12	16%7.3 yds#13	32%6.4 yds#5

Throws LAC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	57%3.9 yds	14%3.0 yds	29%0.5 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · DEN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of DEN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	RJ Harvey RB	3	7.0	21	21.2%
2	Jaylen Waddle WR	4	6.5	26	21.0%
3	Courtland Sutton WR	4	5.5	22	17.7%
4	Evan Engram TE	4	3.2	13	10.4%
5	Pat Bryant WR	4	3.0	12	10.0%
6	Adam Trautman TE	2	2.0	4	6.9%
7	Tyler Badie RB	3	2.0	6	6.3%
8	Nate Adkins TE	3	1.7	5	5.6%
9	Jonah Coleman RB	2	1.5	3	5.2%
10	Troy Franklin WR	3	1.3	4	4.6%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 2.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	@ SF	12	Over	2.5	21 (32%)
2026-09-27	3	vs LA	4	Over	1.5	33 (49%)
2026-09-20	2	vs JAX	0	Under	7.5	21 (34%)
2026-09-14	1	@ KC	0	Under	3.5	22 (43%)
2025-11-06	10	vs LV	7	Over	10.5	32 (52%)
2025-11-02	9	@ HOU	-2	Under	3.5	29 (46%)
2025-10-26	8	vs DAL	10	Over	2.5	33 (52%)
2025-10-19	7	vs NYG	-1	Under	0.5	40 (49%)
2025-10-12	6	@ NYJ	0	Under	5.5	30 (50%)
2025-10-05	5	@ PHI	5	Over	4.5	39 (53%)
2025-09-29	4	vs CIN	4	Over	10.5	36 (44%)
2025-09-21	3	@ LAC	0	Under	—	35 (67%)
2025-09-14	2	@ IND	9	Over	10.5	26 (45%)
2025-09-07	1	vs TEN	5	Over	10.5	40 (53%)
2025-01-11	19 (P)	@ HOU	0	Under	—	34 (61%)
2025-01-05	18	@ LV	12	Over	—	49 (65%)
2024-12-28	17	@ NE	7	Over	—	42 (53%)
2024-11-25	12	vs BAL	19	Over	—	21 (30%)
2024-11-17	11	vs CIN	3	Over	—	49 (73%)
2024-11-10	10	vs TEN	5	Over	—	39 (66%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 2.5Underdog 9.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 13m ago.