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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Jaylen Warren RB

PIT vs IND ·

17.5 Rec Yds O -113U -111
Hit rate · Last 5 80%4/5 Odds imply 50.2% Over
Season avg
35.8
Graph avg
29.4
Graph median
33.04–49
Over the close
100%5/5
2026 per game
Carries13.8â–²+0.6
Rush Yds77.2â–²+18.4
Rush TD0.0â–¼-0.4
Targets5.0â–²+2.3
Rec3.2â–²+0.8
Rec Yds35.8â–²+15.9
Snaps50.2â–²+20.0
Snap %73.8%â–²+23.3
Jaylen Warren receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 17.5.
  1. 2025
    4
  2. 2026
    27
  3. 34
  4. 49
  5. 33
  6. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 17.5

  • Home 39% 7/18 · avg 20.3
  • Away 68% 13/19 · avg 23.4
  • vs IND 0% 0/1 · avg -2.0

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

  • O 7.5 80% 4/5
  • O 12.5 80% 4/5
  • O 17.5 Today 80% 4/5
  • O 22.5 80% 4/5
  • O 27.5 60% 3/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs IND

What IND allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds97.0#16
  • Yds/Carry4.2#20
  • Rush TD0.7#16
  • Targets4.8#24
  • Rec Yds24.9#26

RBs vs IND · 2026

Each main RB who faced IND this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+7.9
Avg diff %+496%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Jacory Croskey-Merritt351.7+2000%
Sep 27 David Montgomery1517.3-13%
Sep 20 Emmett Johnson2018.0+11%
Sep 13 Justice Hill1011.3-12%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

PIT offense

PIT offense: Share of PIT pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%8.8 yds4%14.4 yds9%7.4 yds
Short28%5.0 yds18%7.8 yds34%5.0 yds

Share of PIT pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

IND defense

IND defense: Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%12.5 yds#103%12.3 yds#2410%11.7 yds#13
Short27%6.2 yds#1020%9.0 yds#433%6.0 yds#7

Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep0% 0% 0% 
Short32%3.2 yds16%13.0 yds53%7.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · PIT 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of PIT targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1DK Metcalf WR48.23322.6%
2Roman Wilson WR46.02416.8%
3Jaylen Warren RB45.02013.8%
4Pat Freiermuth TE44.81913.2%
5Michael Pittman WR34.01211.5%
6Germie Bernard WR33.71110.0%
7Rico Dowdle RB23.579.5%
8Darnell Washington TE43.2139.1%
9Ben Skowronek WR31.343.7%
10Robert Tonyan TE11.013.2%

Game log · 5 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 17.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-014@ CLE33Over25.570 (97%)
2026-09-273vs CIN49Over25.556 (90%)
2026-09-202@ NE34Over18.550 (71%)
2026-09-131vs ATL27Over19.525 (37%)
2026-01-1219 (P)vs HOU4Under0.526 (46%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 14.5PrizePicks 17.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 6m ago.