Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
MIN vs NO ·
19.5 Rec Yds
O -115U -115
- Season avg
- 17.0
- Graph avg
- 18.2
- Graph median
- 18.00–44
- Over the close
- 27%4/15
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2024
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 19.5
- Home 50% 8/16 · avg 18.2
- Away 56% 10/18 · avg 22.0
- vs NO No games
Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared
- O 9.5 75% 15/20
- O 14.5 60% 12/20
- O 19.5 Today 50% 10/20
- O 24.5 35% 7/20
- O 29.5 30% 6/20
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · RBs vs NO
What NO allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rush Yds113.1#7
- Yds/Carry4.4#16
- Rush TD1.2#3
- Targets4.1#31
- Rec Yds24.1#28
RBs vs NO · 2026
Each main RB who faced NO this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 05 |
Bijan Robinson | 2 | 39.3 | -95% |
| Sep 27 |
Ashton Jeanty | 37 | 42.7 | -13% |
| Sep 20 |
Justice Hill | 12 | 10.7 | +13% |
| Sep 13 |
Jahmyr Gibbs | 30 | 52.3 | -43% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
MIN offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 10%14.4 yds | 2%11.2 yds | 8%6.9 yds |
| Short | 26%4.6 yds | 18%7.0 yds | 35%5.2 yds |
Share of MIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
NO defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 9%7.7 yds#26 | 2%16.0 yds#15 | 7%12.2 yds#10 |
| Short | 33%6.3 yds#9 | 13%6.7 yds#17 | 37%4.6 yds#29 |
Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Short | 22%3.9 yds | 20%4.5 yds | 58%4.1 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · MIN 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of MIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Jefferson WR | 3 | 5.7 | 17 | 26.2% |
| 2 | T.J. Hockenson TE | 4 | 6.5 | 26 | 24.5% |
| 3 | Jordan Addison WR | 4 | 5.5 | 22 | 22.3% |
| 4 | Aaron Jones RB | 4 | 3.8 | 15 | 13.1% |
| 5 | Josh Oliver TE | 3 | 1.7 | 5 | 7.6% |
| 6 | Tai Felton WR | 2 | 1.5 | 3 | 5.5% |
| 7 | Jauan Jennings WR | 3 | 1.3 | 4 | 5.1% |
| 8 | DeeJay Dallas RB | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 3.2% |
| 9 | Gavin Bartholomew TE | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 3.0% |
| 10 | Myles Price WR | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 2.8% |
Game log · 20 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Rec Yds | vs 19.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | vs MIA | 34 | Over | 19.5 | 57 (73%) |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | @ TB | 34 | Over | 12.5 | 47 (80%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | @ CHI | 0 | Under | 15.5 | 42 (81%) |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | vs GB | 0 | Under | 14.5 | 30 (46%) |
| 2025-12-25 | 17 | vs DET | 10 | Under | 20.5 | 35 (65%) |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ NYG | 8 | Under | 8.5 | 39 (64%) |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ DAL | 31 | Over | 31.5 | 32 (58%) |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs WAS | 0 | Under | 0.5 | 29 (45%) |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | @ SEA | 22 | Over | 30.5 | 19 (37%) |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | @ GB | 16 | Under | — | 29 (66%) |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | vs CHI | 11 | Under | 11.5 | 37 (67%) |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | vs BAL | 22 | Over | 15.5 | 46 (71%) |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ DET | 20 | Over | 25.5 | 26 (42%) |
| 2025-10-23 | 8 | @ LAC | 15 | Under | 15.5 | 26 (53%) |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs ATL | 0 | Under | 10.5 | 20 (43%) |
| 2025-09-08 | 1 | @ CHI | 44 | Over | 35.5 | 28 (50%) |
| 2025-01-13 | 19 (P) | @ LA | 12 | Under | — | 53 (72%) |
| 2025-01-05 | 18 | @ DET | 30 | Over | — | 40 (62%) |
| 2024-12-29 | 17 | vs GB | 30 | Over | — | 37 (51%) |
| 2024-12-22 | 16 | @ SEA | 26 | Over | — | 54 (82%) |
Pick’em lines: Underdog 18.5PrizePicks 19.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: BetMGM, updated 6m ago.