NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Jordan Love QB

GB vs DAL · Sun Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET

21.5 Completions O -116U -110

Hit rate · All 32%12/37 Odds imply 50.6% Over

Season avg: 22.4
Graph avg: 19.3
Graph median: 19.07–32
Over the close: 71%5/7

2026 per game

Pass Yds281.6▲+50.1

Att37.0▲+6.7

Cmp%60.5%▼-4.4

Pass TD2.0▲+0.3

INT0.6▲+0.2

Rush Yds-0.4▼-13.5

Snaps62.4▲+2.1

Snap %99.4%▲+4.8

21.5

2024

17

Sep 06
32

Sep 29
15

Oct 06
22

Oct 13
24

Oct 20
14

Oct 27
23

Nov 03
13

Nov 17
13

Nov 24
21

Nov 28
12

Dec 05
20

Dec 15
16

Dec 23
19

Dec 29
7

Jan 05
20

Jan 12
2025

16

Sep 07
19

Sep 11
18

Sep 21
31

Sep 28
19

Oct 12
19

Oct 19
29

Oct 26
26

Nov 02
20

Nov 10
13

Nov 16
14

Nov 23
18

Nov 27
17

Dec 07
24

Dec 14
8

Dec 20
24

Jan 10
2026

21

Sep 13
16

Sep 20
28

Sep 24
22

Oct 04
25

Oct 11
?

Oct 19

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 21.5

Home 41% 7/17 · avg 20.1
Away 25% 5/20 · avg 18.6
vs DAL 100% 1/1 · avg 31.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 19.5 46% 17/37
O 20.5 38% 14/37
O 21.5 Today 32% 12/37
O 22.5 27% 10/37
O 23.5 24% 9/37

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs DAL

What DAL allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds244.6#10
Yds/Att8.7#1
Cmp%71.4%#2
Pass TD1.7#11
Pass Att28.0#31

QBs vs DAL · 2026

Each main QB who faced DAL this season: completions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.8

Avg diff %+8%

Beat their average25% (1/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 08	Jalon Daniels	19	9.5	+100%
Oct 04	C.J. Stroud	21	24.5	-14%
Sep 27	Lamar Jackson	15	17.7	-15%
Sep 20	Jayden Daniels	11	17.5	-37%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

GB offense

GB offense: Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%12.4 yds	5%19.9 yds	10%15.4 yds
Short	27%5.8 yds	16%6.1 yds	35%4.8 yds

Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

DAL defense

DAL defense: Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%13.5 yds#9	2%24.3 yds#1	9%10.6 yds#19
Short	27%7.4 yds#2	16%10.1 yds#1	37%6.7 yds#3

Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.2 yds	6%19.2 yds	11%13.7 yds
Short	27%5.8 yds	16%6.6 yds	32%4.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of GB targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Matthew Golden WR	5	8.8	44	24.0%
2	Christian Watson WR	5	8.0	40	22.7%
3	Tucker Kraft TE	5	5.8	29	16.1%
4	Pierre Strong RB	1	4.0	4	12.9%
5	Jayden Reed WR	2	4.0	8	10.5%
6	MarShawn Lloyd RB	5	2.6	13	7.7%
7	Skyy Moore WR	5	2.8	14	7.3%
8	Mark Redman TE	1	2.0	2	6.7%
9	Jonnu Smith TE	3	2.3	7	5.6%
10	Bo Melton WR	5	1.6	8	4.8%

Game log · 37 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Completions	vs 21.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs CHI	25	Over	21.5	59 (97%)
2026-10-04	4	@ TB	22	Over	21.5	60 (100%)
2026-09-24	3	vs ATL	28	Over	19.5	66 (100%)
2026-09-20	2	@ NYJ	16	Under	20.5	59 (100%)
2026-09-13	1	@ MIN	21	Under	20.5	68 (100%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	@ CHI	24	Over	15.5	71 (100%)
2025-12-20	16	@ CHI	8	Under	19.5	26 (36%)
2025-12-14	15	@ DEN	24	Over	—	66 (100%)
2025-12-07	14	vs CHI	17	Under	—	53 (100%)
2025-11-27	13	@ DET	18	Under	—	63 (100%)
2025-11-23	12	vs MIN	14	Under	—	60 (91%)
2025-11-16	11	@ NYG	13	Under	—	48 (87%)
2025-11-10	10	vs PHI	20	Under	—	68 (100%)
2025-11-02	9	vs CAR	26	Over	—	65 (100%)
2025-10-26	8	@ PIT	29	Over	—	64 (100%)
2025-10-19	7	@ ARI	19	Under	—	56 (100%)
2025-10-12	6	vs CIN	19	Under	—	61 (100%)
2025-09-28	4	@ DAL	31	Over	—	83 (100%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CLE	18	Under	—	65 (100%)
2025-09-11	2	vs WAS	19	Under	—	68 (100%)
2025-09-07	1	vs DET	16	Under	—	48 (100%)
2025-01-12	19 (P)	@ PHI	20	Under	—	66 (100%)
2025-01-05	18	vs CHI	7	Under	—	23 (35%)
2024-12-29	17	@ MIN	19	Under	—	63 (100%)
2024-12-23	16	vs NO	16	Under	—	60 (87%)
2024-12-15	15	@ SEA	20	Under	—	64 (100%)
2024-12-05	14	@ DET	12	Under	—	50 (100%)
2024-11-28	13	vs MIA	21	Under	—	54 (100%)
2024-11-24	12	vs SF	13	Under	—	68 (94%)
2024-11-17	11	@ CHI	13	Under	—	46 (100%)
2024-11-03	9	vs DET	23	Over	—	65 (100%)
2024-10-27	8	@ JAX	14	Under	—	44 (63%)
2024-10-20	7	vs HOU	24	Over	—	58 (100%)
2024-10-13	6	vs ARI	22	Over	—	73 (100%)
2024-10-06	5	@ LA	15	Under	—	59 (100%)
2024-09-29	4	vs MIN	32	Over	—	76 (100%)
2024-09-06	1	@ PHI	17	Under	—	65 (97%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 21.5Underdog 21.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 2m ago.