NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Bryce Young QB

CAR vs PHI · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

20.5 Completions O -128U +100

Hit rate · All 37%13/35 Odds imply 52.9% Over

Season avg: 25.2
Graph avg: 18.9
Graph median: 18.02–35
Over the close: 50%10/20

2026 per game

Pass Yds317.0▲+124.4

Att40.5▲+10.0

Cmp%62.3%▼-0.4

Pass TD2.2▲+0.8

INT0.5▼-0.2

Rush Yds4.8▼-9.4

Snaps68.8▲+8.1

Snap %96.0%▼-0.9

20.5

2024

13

Sep 08
18

Sep 15
4

Oct 06
2

Oct 20
24

Oct 27
16

Nov 03
15

Nov 10
21

Nov 24
26

Dec 01
19

Dec 08
19

Dec 15
17

Dec 22
15

Dec 29
25

Jan 05
2025

18

Sep 07
35

Sep 14
16

Sep 21
18

Sep 28
19

Oct 05
17

Oct 12
15

Oct 19
11

Nov 02
17

Nov 09
31

Nov 16
18

Nov 24
15

Nov 30
15

Dec 14
21

Dec 21
14

Dec 28
24

Jan 03
21

Jan 10
2026

23

Sep 13
23

Sep 20
26

Sep 27
29

Oct 04
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 20.5

Home 35% 6/17 · avg 19.1
Away 39% 7/18 · avg 18.7
vs PHI 0% 0/1 · avg 19.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 18.5 46% 16/35
O 19.5 37% 13/35
O 20.5 Today 37% 13/35
O 21.5 29% 10/35
O 22.5 29% 10/35

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs PHI

What PHI allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds209.9#24
Yds/Att6.7#22
Cmp%61.5%#26
Pass TD0.9#30
Pass Att31.4#21

QBs vs PHI · 2026

Each main QB who faced PHI this season: completions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+1.8

Avg diff %+11%

Beat their average75% (3/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Trevor Lawrence	24	18.0	+33%
Oct 04	Matthew Stafford	32	26.8	+20%
Sep 20	Cam Ward	13	21.2	-39%
Sep 13	Jayden Daniels	18	14.0	+29%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CAR offense

CAR offense: Share of CAR pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%9.2 yds	4%16.7 yds	6%17.1 yds
Short	33%5.0 yds	15%8.5 yds	34%5.1 yds

Share of CAR pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PHI defense

PHI defense: Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%10.4 yds#15	3%21.6 yds#3	7%11.8 yds#14
Short	33%5.7 yds#17	20%6.3 yds#22	32%5.2 yds#23

Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.2 yds	4%16.7 yds	7%17.1 yds
Short	33%5.1 yds	15%8.5 yds	34%5.1 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of CAR targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Tetairoa McMillan WR	4	9.8	39	26.9%
2	Jalen Coker WR	3	7.3	22	21.4%
3	Darren Waller TE	4	4.8	19	12.4%
4	Tommy Tremble TE	4	3.8	15	10.2%
5	Xavier Legette WR	2	3.0	6	9.2%
6	John Metchie III WR	3	3.3	10	8.2%
7	Chuba Hubbard RB	4	2.8	11	7.4%
8	Brycen Tremayne WR	4	2.2	9	5.5%
9	Mitchell Evans TE	4	1.8	7	4.7%
10	Jonathon Brooks RB	2	1.5	3	4.5%

Game log · 35 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Completions	vs 20.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	vs DET	29	Over	21.5	75 (100%)
2026-09-27	3	@ CLE	26	Over	19.5	77 (100%)
2026-09-20	2	@ ATL	23	Over	19.5	62 (94%)
2026-09-13	1	vs CHI	23	Over	19.5	61 (90%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	vs LA	21	Over	21.5	67 (100%)
2026-01-03	18	@ TB	24	Over	18.5	51 (100%)
2025-12-28	17	vs SEA	14	Under	19.5	53 (100%)
2025-12-21	16	vs TB	21	Over	20.5	54 (100%)
2025-12-14	15	@ NO	15	Under	14.5	57 (100%)
2025-11-30	13	vs LA	15	Under	16.5	64 (100%)
2025-11-24	12	@ SF	18	Under	20.5	46 (100%)
2025-11-16	11	@ ATL	31	Over	18.5	80 (100%)
2025-11-09	10	vs NO	17	Under	20.5	53 (100%)
2025-11-02	9	@ GB	11	Under	—	58 (100%)
2025-10-19	7	@ NYJ	15	Under	18.5	49 (69%)
2025-10-12	6	vs DAL	17	Under	20.5	67 (100%)
2025-10-05	5	vs MIA	19	Under	20.5	70 (100%)
2025-09-28	4	@ NE	18	Under	20.5	56 (81%)
2025-09-21	3	vs ATL	16	Under	20.5	57 (98%)
2025-09-14	2	@ ARI	35	Over	19.5	85 (100%)
2025-09-07	1	@ JAX	18	Under	17.5	64 (100%)
2025-01-05	18	@ ATL	25	Over	—	67 (100%)
2024-12-29	17	@ TB	15	Under	—	47 (100%)
2024-12-22	16	vs ARI	17	Under	—	68 (100%)
2024-12-15	15	vs DAL	19	Under	—	55 (100%)
2024-12-08	14	@ PHI	19	Under	—	71 (100%)
2024-12-01	13	vs TB	26	Over	—	70 (100%)
2024-11-24	12	vs KC	21	Over	—	62 (100%)
2024-11-10	10	vs NYG	15	Under	—	60 (100%)
2024-11-03	9	vs NO	16	Under	—	53 (100%)
2024-10-27	8	@ DEN	24	Over	—	61 (100%)
2024-10-20	7	@ WAS	2	Under	—	3 (7%)
2024-10-06	5	@ CHI	4	Under	—	9 (15%)
2024-09-15	2	vs LAC	18	Under	—	48 (100%)
2024-09-08	1	@ NO	13	Under	—	54 (92%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 20.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.