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Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Michael Penix Jr. QB

ATL vs CHI ·

20.5 Completions O +100U -127
Hit rate · Last 10 20%2/10 Odds imply 47.2% Over
Season avg
17.3
Graph avg
17.8
Graph median
18.512–22
Over the close
20%2/10
2026 per game
Pass Yds239.7â–²+19.4
Att25.7â–¼-5.0
Cmp%67.5%â–²+7.4
Pass TD1.0+0.0
INT0.3+0.0
Rush Yds1.3â–¼-6.4
Snaps63.0â–²+1.6
Snap %98.3%â–²+5.1
Under 20.5 in 5 straight
Michael Penix Jr. pass completions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 20.5.
20.5
  1. 2025
    18
  2. 20
  3. 20
  4. 21
  5. 22
  6. 12
  7. 13
  8. 2026
    18
  9. 15
  10. 19
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 20.5

  • Home 25% 2/8 · avg 17.4
  • Away 22% 2/9 · avg 15.6
  • vs CHI No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 18.5 50% 5/10
  • O 19.5 40% 4/10
  • O 20.5 Today 20% 2/10
  • O 21.5 10% 1/10
  • O 22.5 0% 0/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs CHI

What CHI allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds255.6#6
  • Yds/Att8.1#4
  • Cmp%61.5%#25
  • Pass TD1.5#16
  • Pass Att31.7#17

QBs vs CHI · 2026

Each main QB who faced CHI this season: completions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-4.4
Avg diff %-19%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 11 Jordan Love2521.8+15%
Oct 04 Geno Smith823.5-66%
Sep 28 Jalen Hurts1618.2-12%
Sep 13 Bryce Young2326.0-12%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

ATL offense

ATL offense: Share of ATL pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%10.1 yds3%11.8 yds9%11.8 yds
Short33%6.4 yds19%6.6 yds29%5.6 yds

Share of ATL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

CHI defense

CHI defense: Throws CHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%12.1 yds#124%21.1 yds#59%15.2 yds#5
Short31%4.9 yds#3019%8.5 yds#630%6.2 yds#6

Throws CHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep10%16.1 yds3%12.4 yds10%9.4 yds
Short37%5.7 yds10%7.2 yds30%6.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · ATL 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of ATL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Drake London WR57.23628.6%
2Bijan Robinson RB55.02521.0%
3Jahan Dotson WR53.41713.7%
4Kyle Pitts TE53.01511.3%
5Austin Hooper TE32.378.9%
6Zachariah Branch WR51.686.2%
7Olamide Zaccheaus WR51.475.7%
8Charlie Woerner TE31.344.7%
9Brian Robinson RB50.842.9%
10Chris Blair WR40.832.4%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppCompletionsvs 20.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-115vs BAL19Under18.561 (95%)
2026-10-054@ NO15Under20.557 (100%)
2026-09-243@ GB18Under19.571 (100%)
2025-11-1611vs CAR13Under19.541 (62%)
2025-11-0910@ IND12Under13.563 (100%)
2025-11-029@ NE22Over22.556 (100%)
2025-10-197@ SF21Over23.565 (100%)
2025-10-136vs BUF20Under20.570 (100%)
2025-09-284vs WAS20Under19.565 (100%)
2025-09-213@ CAR18Under19.551 (77%)

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.