NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Tyler Huntley QB

BAL vs CLE · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

26.5 Pass Att O -108U -118

Hit rate · All 25%3/12 Odds imply 49.0% Over

Season avg: 20.5
Graph avg: 20.1
Graph median: 21.00–41
Over the close: 25%1/4

2026 per game

Pass Yds132.0▲+46.8

Att20.5▲+7.1

Cmp%78.0%▲+0.4

Pass TD1.0▲+0.6

INT0.0+0.0

Rush Yds18.0▼-12.2

Snaps53.5▲+14.1

Snap %74.0%▲+14.6

26.5

2024

22

Sep 30
31

Oct 06
13

Oct 20
26

Dec 29
41

Jan 05
2025

15

Oct 12
22

Oct 26
0

Dec 14
10

Dec 21
20

Dec 27
2026

9

Oct 04
32

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 26.5

Home 0% 0/5 · avg 15.6
Away 43% 3/7 · avg 23.3
vs CLE 0% 0/1 · avg 26.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 24.5 33% 4/12
O 25.5 33% 4/12
O 26.5 Today 25% 3/12
O 27.5 25% 3/12
O 28.5 25% 3/12

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs CLE

What CLE allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds209.2#25
Yds/Att6.4#28
Cmp%60.1%#28
Pass TD1.7#10
Pass Att32.8#12

QBs vs CLE · 2026

Each main QB who faced CLE this season: pass att in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+2.1

Avg diff %+5%

Beat their average80% (4/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Geno Smith	30	29.2	+3%
Oct 01	Aaron Rodgers	40	36.0	+11%
Sep 27	Bryce Young	48	38.0	+26%
Sep 20	Baker Mayfield	34	31.0	+10%
Sep 13	Trevor Lawrence	23	30.0	-23%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

BAL offense

BAL offense: Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%19.9 yds	3%14.1 yds	7%14.9 yds
Short	27%6.6 yds	24%9.8 yds	31%5.3 yds

Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

CLE defense

CLE defense: Throws CLE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%7.8 yds#26	5%16.4 yds#13	7%6.2 yds#30
Short	30%4.7 yds#31	14%7.0 yds#15	37%6.1 yds#8

Throws CLE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 6 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%5.0 yds	1%0.0 yds	5%19.0 yds
Short	36%6.8 yds	19%5.8 yds	36%5.1 yds

Last 6 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of BAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Zay Flowers WR	4	7.8	31	29.6%
2	Mark Andrews TE	5	6.0	30	22.8%
3	Rashod Bateman WR	5	4.2	21	15.3%
4	Ja'Kobi Lane WR	1	3.0	3	12.5%
5	Chris Moore WR	3	2.0	6	7.9%
6	Matthew Hibner TE	3	1.7	5	7.0%
7	Justice Hill RB	5	2.0	10	6.9%
8	Elijah Sarratt WR	1	2.0	2	6.9%
9	Derrick Henry RB	5	1.8	9	6.6%
10	Devontez Walker WR	4	1.8	7	6.3%

Game log · 12 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass Att	vs 26.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ ATL	32	Over	27.5	76 (100%)
2026-10-04	4	vs TEN	9	Under	—	31 (48%)
2025-12-27	17	@ GB	20	Under	24.5	76 (100%)
2025-12-21	16	vs NE	10	Under	10.5	29 (53%)
2025-12-14	15	@ CIN	0	Under	—	5 (12%)
2025-10-26	8	vs CHI	22	Under	23.5	62 (100%)
2025-10-12	6	vs LA	15	Under	—	25 (32%)
2025-01-05	18	@ NYJ	41	Over	—	70 (100%)
2024-12-29	17	@ CLE	26	Under	—	60 (100%)
2024-10-20	7	@ IND	13	Under	—	46 (67%)
2024-10-06	5	@ NE	31	Over	—	78 (100%)
2024-09-30	4	vs TEN	22	Under	—	60 (100%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 26.5Underdog 26.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 14m ago.