NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Dak Prescott QB

DAL vs GB · Sun Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET

36.5 Pass Att O -104U -122

Hit rate · All 50%15/30 Odds imply 48.1% Over

Season avg: 38.4
Graph avg: 35.9
Graph median: 36.511–52
Over the close: 53%10/19

2026 per game

Pass Yds276.2▲+8.4

Att38.4▲+3.1

Cmp%67.2%▼-0.1

Pass TD1.8+0.0

INT0.6+0.0

Rush Yds13.2▲+2.8

Snaps65.0▼-1.8

Snap %100.0%▲+4.9

36.5

2024

32

Sep 08
39

Sep 15
51

Sep 22
27

Sep 26
42

Oct 06
33

Oct 13
38

Oct 27
24

Nov 03
2025

34

Sep 04
52

Sep 14
40

Sep 21
40

Sep 28
29

Oct 05
34

Oct 12
30

Oct 19
31

Oct 26
39

Nov 03
33

Nov 17
36

Nov 23
39

Nov 27
47

Dec 04
38

Dec 14
30

Dec 21
37

Dec 25
11

Jan 04
2026

34

Sep 13
31

Sep 20
40

Sep 27
45

Oct 04
42

Oct 08
?

Oct 19

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 36.5

Home 64% 9/14 · avg 38.6
Away 38% 6/16 · avg 33.6
vs GB 100% 1/1 · avg 40.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 34.5 53% 16/30
O 35.5 53% 16/30
O 36.5 Today 50% 15/30
O 37.5 47% 14/30
O 38.5 40% 12/30

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs GB

What GB allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds225.6#18
Yds/Att7.0#18
Cmp%63.3%#16
Pass TD1.5#15
Pass Att32.4#14

QBs vs GB · 2026

Each main QB who faced GB this season: pass att in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.2

Avg diff %+12%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Tyson Bagent	21	21.5	-2%
Oct 04	Jalon Daniels	27	14.0	+93%
Sep 24	Michael Penix Jr.	25	26.0	-4%
Sep 20	Geno Smith	41	26.5	+55%
Sep 13	Kyler Murray	5	32.0	-84%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

DAL offense

DAL offense: Share of DAL pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.5 yds	5%21.2 yds	5%14.8 yds
Short	34%6.3 yds	16%5.7 yds	33%5.8 yds

Share of DAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

GB defense

GB defense: Throws GB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%14.1 yds#7	3%11.0 yds#30	7%7.5 yds#28
Short	26%5.3 yds#23	20%6.3 yds#23	34%6.1 yds#7

Throws GB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%9.3 yds	5%21.2 yds	5%15.6 yds
Short	34%6.3 yds	16%5.8 yds	32%5.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of DAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	CeeDee Lamb WR	5	10.2	51	27.3%
2	George Pickens WR	5	8.2	41	22.2%
3	Ryan Flournoy WR	5	5.4	27	14.8%
4	Javonte Williams RB	5	4.0	20	11.2%
5	Jake Ferguson TE	5	4.2	21	11.1%
6	Jonathan Mingo WR	3	2.3	7	5.8%
7	KaVontae Turpin WR	5	1.4	7	3.6%
8	Brevyn Spann-Ford TE	5	1.2	6	3.3%
9	Luke Schoonmaker TE	3	1.0	3	2.7%
10	Tyler Goodson RB	2	1.0	2	2.4%

Game log · 30 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass Att	vs 36.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-08	5	vs TB	42	Over	33.5	60 (100%)
2026-10-04	4	@ HOU	45	Over	35.5	78 (100%)
2026-09-27	3	vs BAL	40	Over	36.5	74 (100%)
2026-09-20	2	vs WAS	31	Under	34.5	55 (100%)
2026-09-13	1	@ NYG	34	Under	33.5	58 (100%)
2026-01-04	18	@ NYG	11	Under	—	28 (51%)
2025-12-25	17	@ WAS	37	Over	36.5	92 (100%)
2025-12-21	16	vs LAC	30	Under	38.5	53 (91%)
2025-12-14	15	vs MIN	38	Over	35.5	70 (100%)
2025-12-04	14	@ DET	47	Over	43.5	82 (100%)
2025-11-27	13	vs KC	39	Over	36.5	72 (100%)
2025-11-23	12	vs PHI	36	Under	38.5	74 (100%)
2025-11-17	11	@ LV	33	Under	32.5	67 (100%)
2025-11-03	9	vs ARI	39	Over	—	67 (100%)
2025-10-26	8	@ DEN	31	Under	37.5	65 (88%)
2025-10-19	7	vs WAS	30	Under	33.5	67 (100%)
2025-10-12	6	@ CAR	34	Under	38.5	55 (100%)
2025-10-05	5	@ NYJ	29	Under	34.5	60 (100%)
2025-09-28	4	vs GB	40	Over	—	69 (100%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CHI	40	Over	41.5	64 (86%)
2025-09-14	2	vs NYG	52	Over	33.5	89 (100%)
2025-09-04	1	@ PHI	34	Under	36.5	61 (100%)
2024-11-03	9	@ ATL	24	Under	—	47 (61%)
2024-10-27	8	@ SF	38	Over	—	62 (100%)
2024-10-13	6	vs DET	33	Under	—	51 (74%)
2024-10-06	5	@ PIT	42	Over	—	76 (100%)
2024-09-26	4	@ NYG	27	Under	—	56 (100%)
2024-09-22	3	vs BAL	51	Over	—	80 (100%)
2024-09-15	2	vs NO	39	Over	—	67 (96%)
2024-09-08	1	@ CLE	32	Under	—	62 (98%)

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 9m ago.