NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Jordan Love QB

GB vs DAL · Sun Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET

34.5 Pass Att O -111U -115

Hit rate · All 27%10/37 Odds imply 49.6% Over

Season avg: 37.0
Graph avg: 30.5
Graph median: 30.012–54
Over the close: 43%3/7

2026 per game

Pass Yds281.6▲+50.1

Att37.0▲+6.7

Cmp%60.5%▼-4.4

Pass TD2.0▲+0.3

INT0.6▲+0.2

Rush Yds-0.4▼-13.5

Snaps62.4▲+2.1

Snap %99.4%▲+4.8

34.5

2024

34

Sep 06
54

Sep 29
26

Oct 06
32

Oct 13
33

Oct 20
22

Oct 27
39

Nov 03
17

Nov 17
23

Nov 24
28

Nov 28
20

Dec 05
27

Dec 15
28

Dec 23
30

Dec 29
12

Jan 05
33

Jan 12
2025

22

Sep 07
31

Sep 11
25

Sep 21
43

Sep 28
26

Oct 12
29

Oct 19
37

Oct 26
37

Nov 02
36

Nov 10
24

Nov 16
21

Nov 23
30

Nov 27
25

Dec 07
40

Dec 14
13

Dec 20
46

Jan 10
2026

42

Sep 13
29

Sep 20
53

Sep 24
30

Oct 04
31

Oct 11
?

Oct 19

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 34.5

Home 29% 5/17 · avg 31.2
Away 25% 5/20 · avg 29.9
vs DAL 100% 1/1 · avg 43.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 32.5 35% 13/37
O 33.5 30% 11/37
O 34.5 Today 27% 10/37
O 35.5 27% 10/37
O 36.5 24% 9/37

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs DAL

What DAL allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds244.6#10
Yds/Att8.7#1
Cmp%71.4%#2
Pass TD1.7#11
Pass Att28.0#31

QBs vs DAL · 2026

Each main QB who faced DAL this season: pass att in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-3.8

Avg diff %-4%

Beat their average25% (1/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 08	Jalon Daniels	25	15.0	+67%
Oct 04	C.J. Stroud	31	38.5	-19%
Sep 27	Lamar Jackson	20	25.3	-21%
Sep 20	Jayden Daniels	17	29.5	-42%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

GB offense

GB offense: Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%12.4 yds	5%19.9 yds	10%15.4 yds
Short	27%5.8 yds	16%6.1 yds	35%4.8 yds

Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

DAL defense

DAL defense: Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%13.5 yds#9	2%24.3 yds#1	9%10.6 yds#19
Short	27%7.4 yds#2	16%10.1 yds#1	37%6.7 yds#3

Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.2 yds	6%19.2 yds	11%13.7 yds
Short	27%5.8 yds	16%6.6 yds	32%4.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of GB targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Matthew Golden WR	5	8.8	44	24.0%
2	Christian Watson WR	5	8.0	40	22.7%
3	Tucker Kraft TE	5	5.8	29	16.1%
4	Pierre Strong RB	1	4.0	4	12.9%
5	Jayden Reed WR	2	4.0	8	10.5%
6	MarShawn Lloyd RB	5	2.6	13	7.7%
7	Skyy Moore WR	5	2.8	14	7.3%
8	Mark Redman TE	1	2.0	2	6.7%
9	Jonnu Smith TE	3	2.3	7	5.6%
10	Bo Melton WR	5	1.6	8	4.8%

Game log · 37 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass Att	vs 34.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs CHI	31	Under	34.5	59 (97%)
2026-10-04	4	@ TB	30	Under	33.5	60 (100%)
2026-09-24	3	vs ATL	53	Over	32.5	66 (100%)
2026-09-20	2	@ NYJ	29	Under	33.5	59 (100%)
2026-09-13	1	@ MIN	42	Over	32.5	68 (100%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	@ CHI	46	Over	28.5	71 (100%)
2025-12-20	16	@ CHI	13	Under	33.5	26 (36%)
2025-12-14	15	@ DEN	40	Over	—	66 (100%)
2025-12-07	14	vs CHI	25	Under	—	53 (100%)
2025-11-27	13	@ DET	30	Under	—	63 (100%)
2025-11-23	12	vs MIN	21	Under	—	60 (91%)
2025-11-16	11	@ NYG	24	Under	—	48 (87%)
2025-11-10	10	vs PHI	36	Over	—	68 (100%)
2025-11-02	9	vs CAR	37	Over	—	65 (100%)
2025-10-26	8	@ PIT	37	Over	—	64 (100%)
2025-10-19	7	@ ARI	29	Under	—	56 (100%)
2025-10-12	6	vs CIN	26	Under	—	61 (100%)
2025-09-28	4	@ DAL	43	Over	—	83 (100%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CLE	25	Under	—	65 (100%)
2025-09-11	2	vs WAS	31	Under	—	68 (100%)
2025-09-07	1	vs DET	22	Under	—	48 (100%)
2025-01-12	19 (P)	@ PHI	33	Under	—	66 (100%)
2025-01-05	18	vs CHI	12	Under	—	23 (35%)
2024-12-29	17	@ MIN	30	Under	—	63 (100%)
2024-12-23	16	vs NO	28	Under	—	60 (87%)
2024-12-15	15	@ SEA	27	Under	—	64 (100%)
2024-12-05	14	@ DET	20	Under	—	50 (100%)
2024-11-28	13	vs MIA	28	Under	—	54 (100%)
2024-11-24	12	vs SF	23	Under	—	68 (94%)
2024-11-17	11	@ CHI	17	Under	—	46 (100%)
2024-11-03	9	vs DET	39	Over	—	65 (100%)
2024-10-27	8	@ JAX	22	Under	—	44 (63%)
2024-10-20	7	vs HOU	33	Under	—	58 (100%)
2024-10-13	6	vs ARI	32	Under	—	73 (100%)
2024-10-06	5	@ LA	26	Under	—	59 (100%)
2024-09-29	4	vs MIN	54	Over	—	76 (100%)
2024-09-06	1	@ PHI	34	Under	—	65 (97%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 34Underdog 35.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 2m ago.