NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Bryce Young QB

CAR vs PHI · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

34.5 Pass Att O -105U -121

Hit rate · All 34%12/35 Odds imply 48.3% Over

Season avg: 40.5
Graph avg: 30.4
Graph median: 30.02–55
Over the close: 45%9/20

2026 per game

Pass Yds317.0▲+124.4

Att40.5▲+10.0

Cmp%62.3%▼-0.4

Pass TD2.2▲+0.8

INT0.5▼-0.2

Rush Yds4.8▼-9.4

Snaps68.8▲+8.1

Snap %96.0%▼-0.9

34.5

2024

30

Sep 08
26

Sep 15
7

Oct 06
2

Oct 20
37

Oct 27
26

Nov 03
25

Nov 10
35

Nov 24
46

Dec 01
34

Dec 08
28

Dec 15
26

Dec 22
28

Dec 29
34

Jan 05
2025

35

Sep 07
55

Sep 14
24

Sep 21
30

Sep 28
30

Oct 05
25

Oct 12
25

Oct 19
20

Nov 02
25

Nov 09
45

Nov 16
29

Nov 24
20

Nov 30
24

Dec 14
32

Dec 21
24

Dec 28
35

Jan 03
40

Jan 10
2026

37

Sep 13
36

Sep 20
48

Sep 27
41

Oct 04
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 34.5

Home 29% 5/17 · avg 30.0
Away 39% 7/18 · avg 30.8
vs PHI 0% 0/1 · avg 34.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 32.5 40% 14/35
O 33.5 40% 14/35
O 34.5 Today 34% 12/35
O 35.5 26% 9/35
O 36.5 23% 8/35

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs PHI

What PHI allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds209.9#24
Yds/Att6.7#22
Cmp%61.5%#26
Pass TD0.9#30
Pass Att31.4#21

QBs vs PHI · 2026

Each main QB who faced PHI this season: pass att in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+5.5

Avg diff %+24%

Beat their average75% (3/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Trevor Lawrence	39	26.0	+50%
Oct 04	Matthew Stafford	51	41.2	+24%
Sep 20	Cam Ward	20	33.8	-41%
Sep 13	Jayden Daniels	34	21.0	+62%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CAR offense

CAR offense: Share of CAR pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%9.2 yds	4%16.7 yds	6%17.1 yds
Short	33%5.0 yds	15%8.5 yds	34%5.1 yds

Share of CAR pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PHI defense

PHI defense: Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%10.4 yds#15	3%21.6 yds#3	7%11.8 yds#14
Short	33%5.7 yds#17	20%6.3 yds#22	32%5.2 yds#23

Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.2 yds	4%16.7 yds	7%17.1 yds
Short	33%5.1 yds	15%8.5 yds	34%5.1 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of CAR targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Tetairoa McMillan WR	4	9.8	39	26.9%
2	Jalen Coker WR	3	7.3	22	21.4%
3	Darren Waller TE	4	4.8	19	12.4%
4	Tommy Tremble TE	4	3.8	15	10.2%
5	Xavier Legette WR	2	3.0	6	9.2%
6	John Metchie III WR	3	3.3	10	8.2%
7	Chuba Hubbard RB	4	2.8	11	7.4%
8	Brycen Tremayne WR	4	2.2	9	5.5%
9	Mitchell Evans TE	4	1.8	7	4.7%
10	Jonathon Brooks RB	2	1.5	3	4.5%

Game log · 35 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass Att	vs 34.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	vs DET	41	Over	35.5	75 (100%)
2026-09-27	3	@ CLE	48	Over	32.5	77 (100%)
2026-09-20	2	@ ATL	36	Over	31.5	62 (94%)
2026-09-13	1	vs CHI	37	Over	30.5	61 (90%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	vs LA	40	Over	38.5	67 (100%)
2026-01-03	18	@ TB	35	Over	30.5	51 (100%)
2025-12-28	17	vs SEA	24	Under	30.5	53 (100%)
2025-12-21	16	vs TB	32	Under	32.5	54 (100%)
2025-12-14	15	@ NO	24	Under	29.5	57 (100%)
2025-11-30	13	vs LA	20	Under	22.5	64 (100%)
2025-11-24	12	@ SF	29	Under	29.5	46 (100%)
2025-11-16	11	@ ATL	45	Over	29.5	80 (100%)
2025-11-09	10	vs NO	25	Under	28.5	53 (100%)
2025-11-02	9	@ GB	20	Under	—	58 (100%)
2025-10-19	7	@ NYJ	25	Under	29.5	49 (69%)
2025-10-12	6	vs DAL	25	Under	32.5	67 (100%)
2025-10-05	5	vs MIA	30	Under	31.5	70 (100%)
2025-09-28	4	@ NE	30	Under	32.5	56 (81%)
2025-09-21	3	vs ATL	24	Under	24.5	57 (98%)
2025-09-14	2	@ ARI	55	Over	36.5	85 (100%)
2025-09-07	1	@ JAX	35	Over	33.5	64 (100%)
2025-01-05	18	@ ATL	34	Under	—	67 (100%)
2024-12-29	17	@ TB	28	Under	—	47 (100%)
2024-12-22	16	vs ARI	26	Under	—	68 (100%)
2024-12-15	15	vs DAL	28	Under	—	55 (100%)
2024-12-08	14	@ PHI	34	Under	—	71 (100%)
2024-12-01	13	vs TB	46	Over	—	70 (100%)
2024-11-24	12	vs KC	35	Over	—	62 (100%)
2024-11-10	10	vs NYG	25	Under	—	60 (100%)
2024-11-03	9	vs NO	26	Under	—	53 (100%)
2024-10-27	8	@ DEN	37	Over	—	61 (100%)
2024-10-20	7	@ WAS	2	Under	—	3 (7%)
2024-10-06	5	@ CHI	7	Under	—	9 (15%)
2024-09-15	2	vs LAC	26	Under	—	48 (100%)
2024-09-08	1	@ NO	30	Under	—	54 (92%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 33.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 11m ago.