NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Jayden Daniels QB

WAS vs SF · Mon Oct 19 · 8:15 PM ET

30.5 Pass Att O -102U -125

Hit rate · All 43%13/30 Odds imply 47.6% Over

Season avg: 25.3
Graph avg: 28.6
Graph median: 30.02–48
Over the close: 12%1/8

2026 per game

Pass Yds153.0▼-27.3

Att25.3▼-1.5

Cmp%60.5%▼-0.1

Pass TD1.0▼-0.1

INT0.0▼-0.4

Rush Yds67.7▲+28.0

Snaps57.0▼-0.9

Snap %85.0%▼-5.3

30.5

2024

24

Sep 08
29

Sep 15
23

Sep 23
30

Sep 29
25

Oct 06
35

Oct 13
2

Oct 20
38

Oct 27
22

Nov 03
34

Nov 10
32

Nov 14
38

Nov 24
30

Dec 01
31

Dec 15
39

Dec 22
36

Dec 29
12

Jan 05
35

Jan 12
31

Jan 18
48

Jan 26
2025

30

Sep 07
42

Sep 11
26

Oct 05
26

Oct 13
22

Oct 19
22

Nov 02
20

Dec 07
2026

34

Sep 13
17

Sep 20
25

Oct 11
?

Oct 20

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 30.5

Home 38% 5/13 · avg 28.8
Away 47% 8/17 · avg 28.5
vs SF No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 28.5 57% 17/30
O 29.5 53% 16/30
O 30.5 Today 43% 13/30
O 31.5 37% 11/30
O 32.5 33% 10/30

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs SF

What SF allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds215.1#22
Yds/Att6.5#24
Cmp%64.2%#14
Pass TD1.1#25
Pass Att33.0#11

QBs vs SF · 2026

Each main QB who faced SF this season: pass att in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.1

Avg diff %+4%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Sam Darnold	29	30.0	-3%
Oct 04	Bo Nix	42	29.4	+43%
Sep 27	Jacoby Brissett	52	36.8	+41%
Sep 20	Malik Willis	23	26.8	-14%
Sep 10	Matthew Stafford	25	47.8	-48%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

WAS offense

WAS offense: Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%11.9 yds	4%17.9 yds	10%5.0 yds
Short	30%5.4 yds	14%6.5 yds	34%5.6 yds

Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

SF defense

SF defense: Throws SF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%7.0 yds#28	3%13.1 yds#21	10%11.0 yds#16
Short	35%6.9 yds#5	12%4.5 yds#32	34%5.0 yds#25

Throws SF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%11.6 yds	2%18.2 yds	11%9.5 yds
Short	29%5.7 yds	17%7.1 yds	37%4.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of WAS targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Stefon Diggs WR	4	7.8	31	24.3%
2	Terry McLaurin WR	4	6.5	26	21.9%
3	Chig Okonkwo TE	3	4.3	13	15.8%
4	Antonio Williams WR	5	4.4	22	14.2%
5	Treylon Burks WR	4	2.8	11	9.9%
6	Dyami Brown WR	5	3.0	15	9.5%
7	Rachaad White RB	4	2.5	10	8.1%
8	John Bates TE	3	1.7	5	6.0%
9	Austin Ekeler RB	2	1.5	3	5.0%
10	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB	5	1.4	7	4.2%

Game log · 30 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass Att	vs 30.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs NYG	25	Under	29.5	62 (100%)
2026-09-20	2	@ DAL	17	Under	30.5	39 (55%)
2026-09-13	1	@ PHI	34	Over	28.5	70 (100%)
2025-12-07	14	@ MIN	20	Under	33.5	39 (75%)
2025-11-02	9	vs SEA	22	Under	—	57 (88%)
2025-10-19	7	@ DAL	22	Under	39.5	46 (69%)
2025-10-13	6	vs CHI	26	Under	27.5	65 (100%)
2025-10-05	5	@ LAC	26	Under	33.5	59 (100%)
2025-09-11	2	@ GB	42	Over	—	69 (100%)
2025-09-07	1	vs NYG	30	Under	30.5	70 (100%)
2025-01-26	21 (P)	@ PHI	48	Over	—	75 (95%)
2025-01-18	20 (P)	@ DET	31	Over	—	75 (100%)
2025-01-12	19 (P)	@ TB	35	Over	—	73 (100%)
2025-01-05	18	@ DAL	12	Under	—	26 (45%)
2024-12-29	17	vs ATL	36	Over	—	83 (100%)
2024-12-22	16	vs PHI	39	Over	—	68 (100%)
2024-12-15	15	@ NO	31	Over	—	78 (100%)
2024-12-01	13	vs TEN	30	Under	—	83 (100%)
2024-11-24	12	vs DAL	38	Over	—	70 (100%)
2024-11-14	11	@ PHI	32	Over	—	66 (100%)
2024-11-10	10	vs PIT	34	Over	—	64 (100%)
2024-11-03	9	@ NYG	22	Under	—	62 (100%)
2024-10-27	8	vs CHI	38	Over	—	74 (100%)
2024-10-20	7	vs CAR	2	Under	—	10 (14%)
2024-10-13	6	@ BAL	35	Over	—	59 (100%)
2024-10-06	5	vs CLE	25	Under	—	58 (87%)
2024-09-29	4	@ ARI	30	Under	—	72 (100%)
2024-09-23	3	@ CIN	23	Under	—	59 (100%)
2024-09-15	2	vs NYG	29	Under	—	71 (99%)
2024-09-08	1	@ TB	24	Under	—	59 (100%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 30.5Underdog 30.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 11m ago.