NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 170 players

Drake Maye QB

NE vs LV ·

29.5 Pass Att O -123U -103
Hit rate · This season 50%2/4 Odds imply 52.1% Over
Season avg
29.2
Graph avg
29.2
Graph median
29.022–37
Over the close
50%2/4
2026 per game
Pass Yds213.5â–¼-35.2
Att29.2â–²+0.1
Cmp%62.4%â–¼-6.9
Pass TD1.0â–¼-0.8
INT1.8â–²+1.2
Rush Yds34.0â–²+4.1
Snaps63.2â–²+0.7
Snap %95.2%â–¼-1.3
Drake Maye pass attempts by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 29.5.
  1. 2026
    33
  2. 22
  3. 25
  4. 37
  5. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 29.5

  • Home 42% 8/19 · avg 26.9
  • Away 53% 10/19 · avg 29.3
  • vs LV 100% 1/1 · avg 46.0

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

  • O 27.5 50% 2/4
  • O 28.5 50% 2/4
  • O 29.5 Today 50% 2/4
  • O 30.5 50% 2/4
  • O 31.5 50% 2/4

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs LV

What LV allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds201.2#28
  • Yds/Att6.7#20
  • Cmp%66.6%#5
  • Pass TD1.3#22
  • Pass Att29.9#29

QBs vs LV · 2026

Each main QB who faced LV this season: pass att in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-2.2
Avg diff %-6%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Patrick Mahomes3032.7-8%
Sep 27 Tyler Shough4246.0-9%
Sep 20 Justin Herbert2730.7-12%
Sep 13 Malik Willis2725.3+7%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NE offense

NE offense: Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep12%10.4 yds4%10.0 yds11%11.9 yds
Short30%6.1 yds16%7.9 yds28%6.1 yds

Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LV defense

LV defense: Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%15.4 yds#34%11.7 yds#276%5.0 yds#31
Short34%5.7 yds#1815%6.2 yds#2232%5.2 yds#22

Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep12%11.0 yds4%9.0 yds11%12.7 yds
Short30%5.9 yds16%7.9 yds28%6.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · NE 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NE targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Romeo Doubs WR45.02016.8%
2Mack Hollins WR45.02016.7%
3DeMario Douglas WR44.21714.3%
4Hunter Henry TE43.81513.5%
5Rhamondre Stevenson RB44.01613.2%
6A.J. Brown WR14.0412.9%
7Reggie Gilliam RB12.029.5%
8Efton Chism III WR32.377.5%
9Lan Larison RB12.026.5%
10Kyle Williams WR41.876.3%

Game log · 4 games

DateWkOppPass Attvs 29.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044@ BUF37Over31.576 (100%)
2026-09-273@ JAX25Under30.551 (81%)
2026-09-202vs PIT22Under29.555 (100%)
2026-09-091@ SEA33Over32.571 (100%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 29.5Underdog 29.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 15m ago.