NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Jayden Daniels QB

WAS vs NYG · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

29.5 Pass Att O -122U -105

Hit rate · All 55%16/29 Odds imply 51.8% Over

Season avg: 25.5
Graph avg: 28.7
Graph median: 30.02–48
Over the close: 14%1/7

2026 per game

Pass Yds130.0▼-50.3

Att25.5▼-1.4

Cmp%56.9%▼-3.8

Pass TD1.5▲+0.4

INT0.0▼-0.4

Rush Yds50.0▲+10.3

Snaps54.5▼-3.4

Snap %77.5%▼-12.8

2024

24

Sep 08
29

Sep 15
23

Sep 23
30

Sep 29
25

Oct 06
35

Oct 13
2

Oct 20
38

Oct 27
22

Nov 03
34

Nov 10
32

Nov 14
38

Nov 24
30

Dec 01
31

Dec 15
39

Dec 22
36

Dec 29
12

Jan 05
35

Jan 12
31

Jan 18
48

Jan 26
2025

30

Sep 07
42

Sep 11
26

Oct 05
26

Oct 13
22

Oct 19
22

Nov 02
20

Dec 07
2026

34

Sep 13
17

Sep 20
?

Oct 11

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 29.5

Home 58% 7/12 · avg 29.1
Away 53% 9/17 · avg 28.5
vs NYG 33% 1/3 · avg 27.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 27.5 59% 17/29
O 28.5 59% 17/29
O 29.5 Today 55% 16/29
O 30.5 45% 13/29
O 31.5 38% 11/29

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs NYG

What NYG allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds211.6#23
Yds/Att6.9#18
Cmp%66.2%#9
Pass TD1.5#16
Pass Att30.5#24

QBs vs NYG · 2026

Each main QB who faced NYG this season: pass att in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-3.5

Avg diff %-6%

Beat their average25% (1/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Jacoby Brissett	35	39.0	-10%
Sep 27	Cam Ward	36	27.7	+30%
Sep 21	Matthew Stafford	31	43.7	-29%
Sep 13	Dak Prescott	34	39.5	-14%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

WAS offense

WAS offense: Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%13.0 yds	4%13.5 yds	12%5.9 yds
Short	30%5.2 yds	14%5.8 yds	33%5.4 yds

Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYG defense

NYG defense: Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%8.2 yds#25	3%15.8 yds#17	8%10.5 yds#18
Short	30%5.8 yds#15	16%7.6 yds#12	35%5.8 yds#11

Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 9 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%13.6 yds	1%16.7 yds	11%9.9 yds
Short	29%5.4 yds	17%6.3 yds	37%4.8 yds

Last 9 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of WAS targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Stefon Diggs WR	4	7.8	31	24.3%
2	Terry McLaurin WR	3	7.3	22	23.4%
3	Antonio Williams WR	4	4.8	19	14.5%
4	Chig Okonkwo TE	2	3.5	7	10.7%
5	Dyami Brown WR	4	3.2	13	9.7%
6	Rachaad White RB	3	3.0	9	9.3%
7	John Bates TE	2	2.0	4	6.8%
8	Treylon Burks WR	3	2.0	6	6.0%
9	Austin Ekeler RB	1	2.0	2	5.6%
10	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB	4	1.8	7	5.2%

Game log · 29 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass Att	vs 29.5	Close	Snaps
2026-09-20	2	@ DAL	17	Under	30.5	39 (55%)
2026-09-13	1	@ PHI	34	Over	28.5	70 (100%)
2025-12-07	14	@ MIN	20	Under	33.5	39 (75%)
2025-11-02	9	vs SEA	22	Under	—	57 (88%)
2025-10-19	7	@ DAL	22	Under	39.5	46 (69%)
2025-10-13	6	vs CHI	26	Under	27.5	65 (100%)
2025-10-05	5	@ LAC	26	Under	33.5	59 (100%)
2025-09-11	2	@ GB	42	Over	—	69 (100%)
2025-09-07	1	vs NYG	30	Over	30.5	70 (100%)
2025-01-26	21 (P)	@ PHI	48	Over	—	75 (95%)
2025-01-18	20 (P)	@ DET	31	Over	—	75 (100%)
2025-01-12	19 (P)	@ TB	35	Over	—	73 (100%)
2025-01-05	18	@ DAL	12	Under	—	26 (45%)
2024-12-29	17	vs ATL	36	Over	—	83 (100%)
2024-12-22	16	vs PHI	39	Over	—	68 (100%)
2024-12-15	15	@ NO	31	Over	—	78 (100%)
2024-12-01	13	vs TEN	30	Over	—	83 (100%)
2024-11-24	12	vs DAL	38	Over	—	70 (100%)
2024-11-14	11	@ PHI	32	Over	—	66 (100%)
2024-11-10	10	vs PIT	34	Over	—	64 (100%)
2024-11-03	9	@ NYG	22	Under	—	62 (100%)
2024-10-27	8	vs CHI	38	Over	—	74 (100%)
2024-10-20	7	vs CAR	2	Under	—	10 (14%)
2024-10-13	6	@ BAL	35	Over	—	59 (100%)
2024-10-06	5	vs CLE	25	Under	—	58 (87%)
2024-09-29	4	@ ARI	30	Over	—	72 (100%)
2024-09-23	3	@ CIN	23	Under	—	59 (100%)
2024-09-15	2	vs NYG	29	Under	—	71 (99%)
2024-09-08	1	@ TB	24	Under	—	59 (100%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 29.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 15m ago.