NFL Prop Research

TS

Tyler Shough QB

NO vs NYG · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

235.5 Pass Yds O -111U -113

BookESPN BET · 235.5DraftKings · 235.5Bally Bet · 235.5BetMGM · 236.5FanDuel · 232.5

Hit rate · All 69%11/16 Odds imply 49.8% Over

Season avg

259.8

Graph avg

230.2

Graph median

253.50–410

Over the close

60%9/15

2026 per game

Pass Yds259.8▲+43.1

Att41.0▲+11.3

Cmp%66.8%▼-0.8

Pass TD1.8▲+0.9

INT1.0▲+0.5

Rush Yds14.4▼-2.5

Snaps70.2▲+15.2

Snap %100.0%▲+16.5

Splits all logged games · over 235.5

• Home 71% 5/7 · avg 226.9
• Away 67% 6/9 · avg 232.8
• vs NYG No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

• O 215.5 69% 11/16
• O 225.5 69% 11/16
• O 235.5 Today 69% 11/16
• O 245.5 56% 9/16
• O 255.5 44% 7/16

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs NYG

What NYG allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Pass Yds203.6#28
• Yds/Att7.1#17
• Cmp%66.3%#7
• Pass TD1.3#21
• Pass Att28.8#29

QBs vs NYG · 2026

Each main QB who faced NYG this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-21.9

Avg diff %-3%

Beat their average60% (3/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	WAS Jayden Daniels	199	130.0	+53%
Oct 04	ARI Jacoby Brissett	166	236.0	-30%
Sep 27	TEN Cam Ward	181	178.8	+1%
Sep 21	LA Matthew Stafford	327	311.2	+5%
Sep 13	DAL Dak Prescott	175	301.5	-42%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NO offense

NO offense: Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%7.6 yds	3%18.2 yds	7%13.7 yds
Short	32%5.7 yds	15%8.7 yds	33%5.5 yds

Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYG defense

NYG defense: Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%7.6 yds#27	2%21.6 yds#4	8%8.9 yds#26
Short	30%5.9 yds#15	15%8.2 yds#9	36%6.0 yds#9

Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%7.6 yds	3%16.2 yds	7%13.7 yds
Short	32%5.7 yds	15%8.7 yds	33%5.5 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · NO 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NO targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Chris Olave WR	5	10.8	54	27.9%
2	Devaughn Vele WR	5	7.4	37	19.7%
3	Juwan Johnson TE	5	6.4	32	16.8%
4	Alvin Kamara RB	4	4.0	16	11.1%
5	Travis Etienne RB	3	4.3	13	9.5%
6	Bryce Lance WR	5	3.2	16	8.3%
7	Noah Fant TE	4	3.2	13	7.4%
8	Kendre Miller RB	4	1.5	6	3.5%
9	Kevin Austin Jr. WR	1	1.0	1	3.1%
10	CJ Donaldson RB	5	1.0	5	2.5%

Game log · 16 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass Yds	vs 235.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs MIN	96	Under	237.5	45 (100%)
2026-10-05	4	vs ATL	286	Over	259.5	74 (100%)
2026-09-27	3	vs LV	255	Over	252.5	74 (100%)
2026-09-20	2	@ BAL	252	Over	231.5	68 (100%)
2026-09-13	1	@ DET	410	Over	240.5	90 (100%)
2026-01-04	18	@ ATL	259	Over	264.5	68 (100%)
2025-12-28	17	@ TEN	333	Over	320.5	53 (98%)
2025-12-21	16	vs NYJ	308	Over	308.5	76 (97%)
2025-12-14	15	vs CAR	272	Over	185.5	68 (99%)
2025-12-07	14	@ TB	144	Under	215.5	58 (100%)
2025-11-30	13	@ MIA	239	Over	202.5	71 (99%)
2025-11-23	12	vs ATL	243	Over	202.5	76 (95%)
2025-11-09	10	@ CAR	282	Over	282.5	56 (82%)
2025-11-02	9	@ LA	176	Under	190.5	37 (90%)
2025-10-26	8	vs TB	128	Under	88.5	39 (54%)
2025-09-21	3	@ SEA	0	Under	—	3 (4%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 232.5Underdog 259.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 13m ago.