NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Patrick Mahomes QB

KC vs LAC ·

225.5 Pass Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · This season 50%2/4 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
259.2
Graph avg
259.2
Graph median
235.5184–382
Over the close
50%2/4
2026 per game
Pass Yds259.2â–²+3.0
Att32.0â–¼-3.9
Cmp%64.1%â–²+1.3
Pass TD2.2â–²+0.7
INT0.5â–¼-0.3
Rush Yds10.2â–¼-19.9
Snaps65.2â–¼-1.5
Snap %100.0%â–²+2.6
Patrick Mahomes passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 225.5.
225.5
  1. 2026
    184
  2. 382
  3. 246
  4. 225
  5. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 225.5

  • Home 65% 13/20 · avg 254.7
  • Away 65% 11/17 · avg 243.4
  • vs LAC 50% 2/4 · avg 225.5

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

  • O 205.5 75% 3/4
  • O 215.5 75% 3/4
  • O 225.5 Today 50% 2/4
  • O 235.5 50% 2/4
  • O 245.5 50% 2/4

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs LAC

What LAC allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds214.4#23
  • Yds/Att7.5#8
  • Cmp%62.9%#20
  • Pass TD1.2#24
  • Pass Att28.6#30

QBs vs LAC · 2026

Each main QB who faced LAC this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-20.0
Avg diff %-9%
Beat their average20% (1/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 11 Bo Nix123185.2-34%
Oct 04 Sam Darnold168216.2-22%
Sep 27 Josh Allen204261.2-22%
Sep 20 Kirk Cousins253254.0+0%
Sep 13 Jacoby Brissett277208.2+33%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

KC offense

KC offense: Share of KC pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep5%13.9 yds5%10.5 yds8%12.4 yds
Short28%5.9 yds17%4.9 yds38%5.3 yds

Share of KC pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LAC defense

LAC defense: Throws LAC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%16.8 yds#13%12.0 yds#264%12.9 yds#9
Short33%6.1 yds#1017%6.6 yds#1934%5.8 yds#13

Throws LAC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%14.2 yds6%13.7 yds10%10.1 yds
Short26%6.1 yds17%5.5 yds36%6.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · KC 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of KC targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Rashee Rice WR35.71720.4%
2Xavier Worthy WR45.52218.7%
3Travis Kelce TE45.52217.3%
4Kenneth Walker III RB44.81914.9%
5Tyquan Thornton WR43.81512.9%
6Noah Gray TE42.087.6%
7Emmett Johnson RB41.254.1%
8Jalen Royals WR41.254.1%
9Cyrus Allen WR21.023.9%
10Jake Briningstool TE30.722.8%

Game log · 4 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 225.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044@ LV225Under238.560 (100%)
2026-09-273@ MIA246Over235.552 (100%)
2026-09-202vs IND382Over222.580 (100%)
2026-09-141vs DEN184Under224.569 (100%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 224.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Caesars, updated 13m ago.