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Game logs through Oct 18, 2026 · 113 players

Joe Burrow QB

CIN vs BAL ·

274.5 Pass Yds
Hit rate · Last 5 40%2/5 Odds imply —
Season avg
272.2
Graph avg
272.2
Graph median
254.0190–428
Over the close
40%2/5
2026 per game
Pass Yds272.2â–²+46.1
Att37.8â–²+5.4
Cmp%71.4%â–²+4.6
Pass TD2.2â–²+0.1
INT0.6-0.0
Rush Yds9.6â–²+4.5
Snaps64.4â–²+4.7
Snap %100.0%â–²+12.2
Joe Burrow passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 274.5.
274.5
  1. 2026
    254
  2. 207
  3. 282
  4. 428
  5. 190
  6. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 274.5

  • Home 43% 6/14 · avg 275.9
  • Away 44% 7/16 · avg 264.1
  • vs BAL 50% 2/4 · avg 326.5

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

  • O 254.5 40% 2/5
  • O 264.5 40% 2/5
  • O 274.5 Today 40% 2/5
  • O 284.5 20% 1/5
  • O 294.5 20% 1/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs BAL

What BAL allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds254.9#5
  • Yds/Att7.2#12
  • Cmp%66.5%#6
  • Pass TD0.9#30
  • Pass Att35.2#6

QBs vs BAL · 2026

Each main QB who faced BAL this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.2
Avg diff %+1%
Beat their average67% (4/6)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 18 Deshaun Watson164202.0-19%
Oct 11 Michael Penix Jr.240234.7+2%
Oct 04 Cam Ward222155.2+43%
Sep 27 Dak Prescott276272.6+1%
Sep 20 Tyler Shough252238.2+6%
Sep 13 Daniel Jones166224.8-26%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CIN offense

CIN offense: Share of CIN pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%14.4 yds3%15.0 yds7%11.0 yds
Short32%6.1 yds19%8.2 yds34%6.0 yds

Share of CIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

BAL defense

BAL defense: Throws BAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%12.5 yds#95%16.1 yds#146%15.7 yds#3
Short31%5.6 yds#1718%6.3 yds#2334%5.3 yds#20

Throws BAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%14.4 yds3%15.0 yds7%11.0 yds
Short32%6.1 yds19%8.4 yds35%6.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · CIN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of CIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Tee Higgins WR58.64322.4%
2Ja'Marr Chase WR57.63822.2%
3Chase Brown RB55.62814.6%
4Mitchell Tinsley WR17.0713.2%
5Mike Gesicki TE44.21711.1%
6Erick All TE23.069.7%
7Dohnte Meyers WR53.6188.6%
8Andrei Iosivas WR22.046.0%
9Drew Sample TE32.065.8%
10Samaje Perine RB52.0105.7%

Game log · 5 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 274.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-115@ MIA190Under258.565 (100%)
2026-10-044vs JAX428Over269.576 (100%)
2026-09-273@ PIT282Over253.557 (100%)
2026-09-202@ HOU207Under249.560 (100%)
2026-09-131vs TB254Under269.564 (100%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 274.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 12m ago.