NFL Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 170 players

Jalen Hurts QB

PHI vs JAX ·

186.5 Pass Yds O -113U -113
Hit rate · Last 10 40%4/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
178.2
Graph avg
182.1
Graph median
180.093–264
Over the close
40%4/10
2026 per game
Pass Yds178.2â–¼-21.3
Att28.5â–¼-0.3
Cmp%59.6%â–¼-4.6
Pass TD1.8â–²+0.2
INT0.8â–²+0.4
Rush Yds26.2â–²+0.7
Snaps59.5â–¼-1.6
Snap %98.0%â–²+0.2
Jalen Hurts passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 186.5.
  1. 2025
    230
  2. 240
  3. 175
  4. 185
  5. 110
  6. 168
  7. 2026
    203
  8. 264
  9. 153
  10. 93
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 186.5

  • Home 52% 11/21 · avg 197.2
  • Away 42% 8/19 · avg 189.1
  • vs JAX 100% 1/1 · avg 230.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 166.5 70% 7/10
  • O 176.5 50% 5/10
  • O 186.5 Today 40% 4/10
  • O 196.5 40% 4/10
  • O 206.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs JAX

What JAX allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds242.7#10
  • Yds/Att6.9#19
  • Cmp%65.9%#11
  • Pass TD0.7#31
  • Pass Att35.2#4

QBs vs JAX · 2026

Each main QB who faced JAX this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+65.1
Avg diff %+30%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Joe Burrow428247.7+73%
Sep 27 Drake Maye199218.3-9%
Sep 20 Bo Nix288177.0+63%
Sep 13 Deshaun Watson205216.7-5%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

PHI offense

PHI offense: Share of PHI pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%5.3 yds2%10.1 yds10%11.3 yds
Short30%5.7 yds14%7.1 yds35%4.5 yds

Share of PHI pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

JAX defense

JAX defense: Throws JAX faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%9.7 yds#183%17.9 yds#99%12.1 yds#12
Short35%6.0 yds#1413%5.2 yds#2931%5.3 yds#18

Throws JAX faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%8.1 yds3%9.9 yds10%10.9 yds
Short30%5.4 yds15%6.8 yds34%4.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · PHI 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of PHI targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1DeVonta Smith WR39.02732.5%
2Dontayvion Wicks WR45.02019.0%
3Makai Lemon WR43.81515.3%
4Dallas Goedert TE23.5714.3%
5Zach Ertz TE23.0612.0%
6Darius Cooper WR42.5109.2%
7Saquon Barkley RB41.876.7%
8Will Shipley RB41.565.6%
9Johnny Mundt TE31.344.3%
10Tank Bigsby RB41.043.5%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 186.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs LA93Under187.561 (100%)
2026-09-283@ CHI153Under217.546 (92%)
2026-09-202@ TEN264Over206.576 (100%)
2026-09-131vs WAS203Over214.555 (100%)
2026-01-1119 (P)vs SF168Under169.573 (100%)
2025-12-2817@ BUF110Under117.554 (100%)
2025-12-2016@ WAS185Under200.566 (94%)
2025-12-1415vs LV175Under166.552 (75%)
2025-12-0814@ LAC240Over185.571 (100%)
2025-11-2813vs CHI230Over166.554 (100%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 186.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 10m ago.