Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players
Justin Herbert QB
LAC vs DEN ·
198.5 Pass Yds
O -114U —
- Season avg
- 204.0
- Graph avg
- 219.2
- Graph median
- 215.081–420
- Over the close
- 30%6/20
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 198.5
- Home 58% 11/19 · avg 228.3
- Away 70% 14/20 · avg 223.8
- vs DEN 100% 3/3 · avg 273.7
Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared
- O 178.5 75% 15/20
- O 188.5 75% 15/20
- O 198.5 Today 65% 13/20
- O 208.5 60% 12/20
- O 218.5 50% 10/20
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · QBs vs DEN
What DEN allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Pass Yds210.7#24
- Yds/Att6.1#31
- Cmp%57.1%#31
- Pass TD1.4#18
- Pass Att34.3#6
QBs vs DEN · 2026
Each main QB who faced DEN this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 |
Brock Purdy | 218 | 263.0 | -17% |
| Sep 27 |
Matthew Stafford | 390 | 266.3 | +46% |
| Sep 20 |
Trevor Lawrence | 189 | 218.0 | -13% |
| Sep 14 |
Patrick Mahomes | 184 | 284.3 | -35% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
LAC offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 10%12.9 yds | 2%13.6 yds | 9%6.5 yds |
| Short | 29%6.6 yds | 14%5.4 yds | 37%4.8 yds |
Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
DEN defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 10%4.4 yds#31 | 4%8.4 yds#32 | 8%7.7 yds#28 |
| Short | 29%7.6 yds#2 | 13%6.6 yds#18 | 36%5.1 yds#23 |
Throws DEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His throws
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 10%14.3 yds | 2%13.6 yds | 9%7.0 yds |
| Short | 28%7.3 yds | 15%5.3 yds | 36%5.2 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/att
Target share · LAC 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of LAC targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Harris WR | 4 | 5.2 | 21 | 17.8% |
| 2 | Quentin Johnston WR | 4 | 4.8 | 19 | 16.5% |
| 3 | David Njoku TE | 2 | 4.0 | 8 | 15.0% |
| 4 | Ladd McConkey WR | 4 | 4.2 | 17 | 14.8% |
| 5 | Oronde Gadsden II TE | 4 | 3.8 | 15 | 12.5% |
| 6 | Brenen Thompson WR | 1 | 3.0 | 3 | 11.5% |
| 7 | Keaton Mitchell RB | 4 | 2.5 | 10 | 8.1% |
| 8 | Kimani Vidal RB | 3 | 2.0 | 6 | 6.3% |
| 9 | Charlie Kolar TE | 2 | 1.5 | 3 | 5.8% |
| 10 | Omarion Hampton RB | 4 | 1.2 | 5 | 4.3% |
Game log · 20 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Pass Yds | vs 198.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | @ SEA | 189 | Under | 199.5 | 71 (100%) |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | @ BUF | 226 | Over | 225.5 | 69 (100%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | vs LV | 192 | Under | 223.5 | 68 (100%) |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | vs ARI | 209 | Over | 233.5 | 55 (100%) |
| 2026-01-11 | 19 (P) | @ NE | 159 | Under | 155.5 | 60 (100%) |
| 2025-12-27 | 17 | vs HOU | 236 | Over | 250.5 | 63 (100%) |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ DAL | 300 | Over | 285.5 | 64 (100%) |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ KC | 210 | Over | 210.5 | 66 (100%) |
| 2025-12-08 | 14 | vs PHI | 139 | Under | 165.5 | 74 (100%) |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | vs LV | 151 | Under | 140.5 | 57 (85%) |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ JAX | 81 | Under | 252.5 | 35 (73%) |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | vs PIT | 220 | Over | 252.5 | 73 (100%) |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ TEN | 250 | Over | 254.5 | 65 (100%) |
| 2025-10-23 | 8 | vs MIN | 227 | Over | 245.5 | 73 (100%) |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs IND | 420 | Over | 429.5 | 76 (100%) |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | @ MIA | 264 | Over | 235.5 | 64 (100%) |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | vs WAS | 166 | Under | 209.5 | 61 (91%) |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | @ NYG | 203 | Over | 251.5 | 63 (100%) |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | vs DEN | 300 | Over | 288.5 | 86 (100%) |
| 2025-09-15 | 2 | @ LV | 242 | Over | 254.5 | 58 (100%) |
Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 199.5Underdog 199.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Bally Bet, updated 10m ago.