NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Tyler Shough QB

NO vs NYG · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

1.5 Pass TDs O -102U -125

Hit rate · All 31%5/16 Odds imply 47.6% Over

Season avg: 1.8
Graph avg: 1.2
Graph median: 1.00–4
Over the close: 40%6/15

2026 per game

Pass Yds259.8▲+43.1

Att41.0▲+11.3

Cmp%66.8%▼-0.8

Pass TD1.8▲+0.9

INT1.0▲+0.5

Rush Yds14.4▼-2.5

Snaps70.2▲+15.2

Snap %100.0%▲+16.5

1.5

2025

0

Sep 21
0

Oct 26
1

Nov 02
2

Nov 09
0

Nov 23
2

Nov 30
0

Dec 07
1

Dec 14
1

Dec 21
2

Dec 28
1

Jan 04
2026

3

Sep 13
1

Sep 20
4

Sep 27
1

Oct 05
0

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

Home 14% 1/7 · avg 1.0
Away 44% 4/9 · avg 1.3
vs NYG No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 69% 11/16
O 1.5 Today 31% 5/16
O 2.5 12% 2/16
O 3.5 6% 1/16

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs NYG

What NYG allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds203.6#28
Yds/Att7.1#17
Cmp%66.3%#7
Pass TD1.3#21
Pass Att28.8#29

QBs vs NYG · 2026

Each main QB who faced NYG this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.5

Avg diff %+50%

Beat their average80% (4/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Jayden Daniels	0	1.5	-100%
Oct 04	Jacoby Brissett	2	1.8	+14%
Sep 27	Cam Ward	1	0.5	+100%
Sep 21	Matthew Stafford	4	1.2	+220%
Sep 13	Dak Prescott	2	1.8	+14%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NO offense

NO offense: Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%7.6 yds	3%18.2 yds	7%13.7 yds
Short	32%5.7 yds	15%8.7 yds	33%5.5 yds

Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYG defense

NYG defense: Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%7.6 yds#27	2%21.6 yds#4	8%8.9 yds#26
Short	30%5.9 yds#15	15%8.2 yds#9	36%6.0 yds#9

Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%7.6 yds	3%16.2 yds	7%13.7 yds
Short	32%5.7 yds	15%8.7 yds	33%5.5 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of NO targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Chris Olave WR	5	10.8	54	27.9%
2	Devaughn Vele WR	5	7.4	37	19.7%
3	Juwan Johnson TE	5	6.4	32	16.8%
4	Alvin Kamara RB	4	4.0	16	11.1%
5	Travis Etienne RB	3	4.3	13	9.5%
6	Bryce Lance WR	5	3.2	16	8.3%
7	Noah Fant TE	4	3.2	13	7.4%
8	Kendre Miller RB	4	1.5	6	3.5%
9	Kevin Austin Jr. WR	1	1.0	1	3.1%
10	CJ Donaldson RB	5	1.0	5	2.5%

Game log · 16 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass TDs	vs 1.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs MIN	0	Under	1.5	45 (100%)
2026-10-05	4	vs ATL	1	Under	1.5	74 (100%)
2026-09-27	3	vs LV	4	Over	1.5	74 (100%)
2026-09-20	2	@ BAL	1	Under	1.5	68 (100%)
2026-09-13	1	@ DET	3	Over	1.5	90 (100%)
2026-01-04	18	@ ATL	1	Under	0.5	68 (100%)
2025-12-28	17	@ TEN	2	Over	1.5	53 (98%)
2025-12-21	16	vs NYJ	1	Under	1.5	76 (97%)
2025-12-14	15	vs CAR	1	Under	0.5	68 (99%)
2025-12-07	14	@ TB	0	Under	0.5	58 (100%)
2025-11-30	13	@ MIA	2	Over	1.5	71 (99%)
2025-11-23	12	vs ATL	0	Under	1.5	76 (95%)
2025-11-09	10	@ CAR	2	Over	2.5	56 (82%)
2025-11-02	9	@ LA	1	Under	1.5	37 (90%)
2025-10-26	8	vs TB	0	Under	0.5	39 (54%)
2025-09-21	3	@ SEA	0	Under	—	3 (4%)

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.