NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Jordan Love QB

GB vs DAL · Sun Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET

1.5 Pass TDs O -172U +134

Hit rate · This season 100%5/5 Odds imply 59.7% Over

Season avg: 2.0
Graph avg: 2.0
Graph median: 2.02–2
Over the close: 100%5/5

2026 per game

Pass Yds281.6▲+50.1

Att37.0▲+6.7

Cmp%60.5%▼-4.4

Pass TD2.0▲+0.3

INT0.6▲+0.2

Rush Yds-0.4▼-13.5

Snaps62.4▲+2.1

Snap %99.4%▲+4.8

1.5

2026

2

Sep 13
2

Sep 20
2

Sep 24
2

Oct 04
2

Oct 11
?

Oct 19

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

Home 59% 10/17 · avg 1.6
Away 55% 11/20 · avg 1.7
vs DAL 100% 1/1 · avg 3.0

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 100% 5/5
O 1.5 Today 100% 5/5
O 2.5 0% 0/5
O 3.5 0% 0/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs DAL

What DAL allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds244.6#10
Yds/Att8.7#1
Cmp%71.4%#2
Pass TD1.7#11
Pass Att28.0#31

QBs vs DAL · 2026

Each main QB who faced DAL this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.4

Avg diff %+54%

Beat their average75% (3/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 08	Jalon Daniels	1	0.5	+100%
Oct 04	C.J. Stroud	2	1.0	+100%
Sep 27	Lamar Jackson	2	1.3	+50%
Sep 20	Marcus Mariota	1	1.5	-33%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

GB offense

GB offense: Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%12.4 yds	5%19.9 yds	10%15.4 yds
Short	27%5.8 yds	16%6.1 yds	35%4.8 yds

Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

DAL defense

DAL defense: Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%13.5 yds#9	2%24.3 yds#1	9%10.6 yds#19
Short	27%7.4 yds#2	16%10.1 yds#1	37%6.7 yds#3

Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.2 yds	6%19.2 yds	11%13.7 yds
Short	27%5.8 yds	16%6.6 yds	32%4.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of GB targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Matthew Golden WR	5	8.8	44	24.0%
2	Christian Watson WR	5	8.0	40	22.7%
3	Tucker Kraft TE	5	5.8	29	16.1%
4	Pierre Strong RB	1	4.0	4	12.9%
5	Jayden Reed WR	2	4.0	8	10.5%
6	MarShawn Lloyd RB	5	2.6	13	7.7%
7	Skyy Moore WR	5	2.8	14	7.3%
8	Mark Redman TE	1	2.0	2	6.7%
9	Jonnu Smith TE	3	2.3	7	5.6%
10	Bo Melton WR	5	1.6	8	4.8%

Game log · 5 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass TDs	vs 1.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs CHI	2	Over	1.5	59 (97%)
2026-10-04	4	@ TB	2	Over	1.5	60 (100%)
2026-09-24	3	vs ATL	2	Over	1.5	66 (100%)
2026-09-20	2	@ NYJ	2	Over	1.5	59 (100%)
2026-09-13	1	@ MIN	2	Over	1.5	68 (100%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 11m ago.