NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Jalon Daniels QB

TB vs PIT ·

0.5 Pass TDs O -227U +175
Hit rate · All 67%2/3 Odds imply 65.6% Over
Season avg
0.7
Graph avg
0.7
Graph median
1.00–1
Over the close
100%1/1
2026 per game
Pass Yds112.3
Att18.3
Cmp%69.1%
Pass TD0.7
INT1.0
Rush Yds29.0
Snaps46.3
Snap %68.7%
Over 0.5 in 2 straight
Jalon Daniels passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 0.5.
0.5
  1. 2026
    0
  2. 1
  3. 1
  4. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 0.5

  • Home 50% 1/2 · avg 0.5
  • Away 100% 1/1 · avg 1.0
  • vs PIT No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 Today 67% 2/3
  • O 1.5 0% 0/3
  • O 2.5 0% 0/3

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs PIT

What PIT allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds245.9#9
  • Yds/Att7.9#5
  • Cmp%66.1%#9
  • Pass TD1.5#14
  • Pass Att31.3#23

QBs vs PIT · 2026

Each main QB who faced PIT this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.6
Avg diff %-46%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 11 Daniel Jones00.8-100%
Oct 01 Deshaun Watson11.5-33%
Sep 27 Joe Burrow32.0+50%
Sep 20 Drake Maye02.0-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

TB offense

TB offense: Share of TB pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%8.6 yds4%15.1 yds8%9.4 yds
Short31%5.5 yds15%7.0 yds34%5.6 yds

Share of TB pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PIT defense

PIT defense: Throws PIT faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%16.4 yds#24%11.9 yds#285%19.2 yds#1
Short35%6.0 yds#1420%6.3 yds#2126%5.7 yds#15

Throws PIT faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 3 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%7.0 yds0% 7%21.2 yds
Short29%4.4 yds13%4.0 yds46%5.3 yds

Last 3 games · Yds/att

Target share · TB 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of TB targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Emeka Egbuka WR56.63322.9%
2Cade Otton TE55.42718.6%
3Chris Godwin Jr. WR54.22114.9%
4Ted Hurst III WR44.01613.1%
5Bucky Irving RB53.61812.3%
6Kenny Gainwell RB53.21610.8%
7Tez Johnson WR52.0106.6%
8Payne Durham TE21.023.4%
9Jalen McMillan WR11.012.9%
10Kameron Johnson WR50.421.5%

Game log · 3 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 0.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-085@ DAL1Over0.572 (100%)
2026-10-044vs GB1Over—63 (100%)
2026-09-273vs MIN0Under—4 (6%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.