Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players
Kirk Cousins QB
LV vs BUF ·
1.5 Pass TDs
O -149U +116
- Season avg
- 2.4
- Graph avg
- 2.4
- Graph median
- 3.01–3
- Over the close
- 80%4/5
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 1.5
- Home 29% 4/14 · avg 1.2
- Away 47% 7/15 · avg 1.5
- vs BUF No games
Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared
- O 0.5 100% 5/5
- O 1.5 Today 80% 4/5
- O 2.5 60% 3/5
- O 3.5 0% 0/5
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · QBs vs BUF
What BUF allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Pass Yds229.2#15
- Yds/Att6.5#26
- Cmp%62.5%#21
- Pass TD2.2#3
- Pass Att35.5#6
QBs vs BUF · 2026
Each main QB who faced BUF this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 |
Matthew Stafford | 3 | 1.5 | +100% |
| Oct 04 |
Drake Maye | 3 | 1.2 | +140% |
| Sep 27 |
Justin Herbert | 1 | 1.0 | +0% |
| Sep 17 |
Jared Goff | 4 | 2.0 | +100% |
| Sep 13 |
C.J. Stroud | 2 | 1.0 | +100% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
LV offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 8%14.5 yds | 3%5.3 yds | 5%7.0 yds |
| Short | 30%5.6 yds | 19%7.0 yds | 35%5.8 yds |
Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
BUF defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 7%11.5 yds#14 | 4%8.1 yds#32 | 9%9.2 yds#25 |
| Short | 30%5.5 yds#22 | 16%6.5 yds#20 | 35%5.4 yds#16 |
Throws BUF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His throws
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 8%11.3 yds | 3%5.4 yds | 7%7.4 yds |
| Short | 31%6.3 yds | 22%7.4 yds | 28%6.4 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/att
Target share · LV 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of LV targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock Bowers TE | 3 | 11.3 | 34 | 31.3% |
| 2 | Ashton Jeanty RB | 5 | 6.0 | 30 | 17.6% |
| 3 | Tre Tucker WR | 5 | 5.6 | 28 | 16.4% |
| 4 | Michael Mayer TE | 5 | 5.0 | 25 | 14.3% |
| 5 | Jalen Nailor WR | 3 | 3.7 | 11 | 12.5% |
| 6 | Jack Bech WR | 2 | 3.0 | 6 | 10.3% |
| 7 | Cody White WR | 5 | 2.8 | 14 | 8.0% |
| 8 | Malik Benson WR | 5 | 1.6 | 8 | 5.0% |
| 9 | Ian Thomas TE | 3 | 1.3 | 4 | 3.5% |
| 10 | Deven Thompkins WR | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 2.8% |
Game log · 5 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Pass TDs | vs 1.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | 5 | @ NE | 1 | Under | 1.5 | 50 (83%) |
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | vs KC | 2 | Over | 1.5 | 84 (100%) |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | @ NO | 3 | Over | 1.5 | 70 (100%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | @ LAC | 3 | Over | 1.5 | 63 (100%) |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | vs MIA | 3 | Over | 1.5 | 68 (100%) |
Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.
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