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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Bo Nix QB

DEN vs LAC ·

1.5 Pass TDs O +111U -142
Hit rate · All 45%18/40 Odds imply 44.7% Over
Season avg
1.2
Graph avg
1.6
Graph median
1.00–4
Over the close
38%8/21
2026 per game
Pass Yds204.8â–¼-29.1
Att33.8â–¼-2.8
Cmp%60.0%â–¼-2.9
Pass TD1.2â–¼-0.3
INT0.8â–²+0.1
Rush Yds6.2â–¼-15.1
Snaps61.2â–¼-5.9
Snap %99.5%â–¼-0.2
Bo Nix passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 1.5.
  1. 2024
    0
  2. 0
  3. 0
  4. 1
  5. 2
  6. 2
  7. 0
  8. 3
  9. 0
  10. 2
  11. 4
  12. 2
  13. 1
  14. 3
  15. 2
  16. 3
  17. 4
  18. 1
  19. 2025
    1
  20. 3
  21. 1
  22. 2
  23. 1
  24. 1
  25. 2
  26. 4
  27. 2
  28. 1
  29. 0
  30. 1
  31. 0
  32. 4
  33. 1
  34. 1
  35. 0
  36. 3
  37. 2026
    1
  38. 1
  39. 2
  40. 1
  41. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

  • Home 60% 12/20 · avg 2.0
  • Away 30% 6/20 · avg 1.1
  • vs LAC 50% 2/4 · avg 1.2

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 80% 32/40
  • O 1.5 Today 45% 18/40
  • O 2.5 22% 9/40
  • O 3.5 10% 4/40

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs LAC

What LAC allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds226.1#18
  • Yds/Att7.6#9
  • Cmp%61.9%#20
  • Pass TD1.1#26
  • Pass Att29.9#28

QBs vs LAC · 2026

Each main QB who faced LAC this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.6
Avg diff %-32%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Sam Darnold22.0+0%
Sep 27 Josh Allen02.0-100%
Sep 20 Kirk Cousins32.7+13%
Sep 13 Jacoby Brissett11.7-40%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

DEN offense

DEN offense: Share of DEN pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%13.7 yds2%8.2 yds6%9.9 yds
Short34%5.7 yds11%4.5 yds38%4.8 yds

Share of DEN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LAC defense

LAC defense: Throws LAC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep10%13.3 yds#73%9.6 yds#305%12.7 yds#8
Short33%6.0 yds#1216%7.3 yds#1332%6.4 yds#5

Throws LAC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep10%12.9 yds1%9.8 yds5%8.6 yds
Short37%5.8 yds12%4.7 yds36%5.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · DEN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of DEN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1RJ Harvey RB37.02121.2%
2Jaylen Waddle WR46.52621.0%
3Courtland Sutton WR45.52217.7%
4Evan Engram TE43.21310.4%
5Pat Bryant WR43.01210.0%
6Adam Trautman TE22.046.9%
7Tyler Badie RB32.066.3%
8Nate Adkins TE31.755.6%
9Jonah Coleman RB21.535.2%
10Troy Franklin WR31.344.6%

Game log · 40 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 1.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044@ SF1Under1.565 (98%)
2026-09-273vs LA2Over1.567 (100%)
2026-09-202vs JAX1Under1.562 (100%)
2026-09-141@ KC1Under1.551 (100%)
2026-01-1720 (P)vs BUF3Over1.572 (100%)
2026-01-0418vs LAC0Under0.559 (100%)
2025-12-2517@ KC1Under0.572 (100%)
2025-12-2116vs JAX1Under1.566 (100%)
2025-12-1415vs GB4Over—68 (100%)
2025-12-0714@ LV0Under0.574 (100%)
2025-11-3013@ WAS1Under1.570 (100%)
2025-11-1611vs KC0Under0.562 (100%)
2025-11-0610vs LV1Under1.561 (100%)
2025-11-029@ HOU2Over1.563 (100%)
2025-10-268vs DAL4Over2.559 (94%)
2025-10-197vs NYG2Over1.581 (100%)
2025-10-126@ NYJ1Under1.560 (100%)
2025-10-055@ PHI1Under0.574 (100%)
2025-09-294vs CIN2Over1.581 (100%)
2025-09-213@ LAC1Under1.552 (100%)
2025-09-142@ IND3Over3.558 (100%)
2025-09-071vs TEN1Under1.576 (100%)
2025-01-1219 (P)@ BUF1Under—42 (100%)
2025-01-0518vs KC4Over—65 (88%)
2024-12-2817@ CIN3Over—60 (100%)
2024-12-1916@ LAC2Over—64 (100%)
2024-12-1515vs IND3Over—63 (100%)
2024-12-0213vs CLE1Under—66 (100%)
2024-11-2412@ LV2Over—68 (100%)
2024-11-1711vs ATL4Over—59 (95%)
2024-11-1010@ KC2Over—58 (100%)
2024-11-039@ BAL0Under—72 (100%)
2024-10-278vs CAR3Over—73 (100%)
2024-10-177@ NO0Under—63 (97%)
2024-10-136vs LAC2Over—55 (100%)
2024-10-065vs LV2Over—63 (100%)
2024-09-294@ NYJ1Under—61 (100%)
2024-09-223@ TB0Under—68 (100%)
2024-09-152vs PIT0Under—61 (100%)
2024-09-081@ SEA0Under—69 (100%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 0.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 12m ago.