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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Joe Burrow QB

CIN vs MIA ·

1.5 Pass TDs O -182U +142
Hit rate · All 69%20/29 Odds imply 61.0% Over
Season avg
1.8
Graph avg
2.3
Graph median
2.00–5
Over the close
42%5/12
2026 per game
Pass Yds292.8â–²+66.6
Att39.2â–²+6.9
Cmp%71.3%â–²+4.5
Pass TD1.8â–¼-0.4
INT0.8â–²+0.1
Rush Yds9.5â–²+4.4
Snaps64.2â–²+4.5
Snap %100.0%â–²+12.2
Joe Burrow passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 1.5.
  1. 2024
    0
  2. 2
  3. 3
  4. 2
  5. 5
  6. 0
  7. 2
  8. 1
  9. 5
  10. 4
  11. 3
  12. 3
  13. 3
  14. 3
  15. 3
  16. 3
  17. 1
  18. 2025
    1
  19. 1
  20. 2
  21. 4
  22. 0
  23. 4
  24. 2
  25. 3
  26. 2026
    1
  27. 2
  28. 3
  29. 1
  30. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

  • Home 57% 8/14 · avg 2.2
  • Away 80% 12/15 · avg 2.4
  • vs MIA 100% 1/1 · avg 4.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 90% 26/29
  • O 1.5 Today 69% 20/29
  • O 2.5 48% 14/29
  • O 3.5 17% 5/29

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs MIA

What MIA allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds244.5#9
  • Yds/Att7.9#5
  • Cmp%73.3%#1
  • Pass TD1.8#6
  • Pass Att31.1#21

QBs vs MIA · 2026

Each main QB who faced MIA this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.4
Avg diff %-34%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Kyler Murray00.5-100%
Sep 27 Patrick Mahomes22.3-14%
Sep 20 Brock Purdy23.0-33%
Sep 13 Kirk Cousins32.7+13%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CIN offense

CIN offense: Share of CIN pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%13.4 yds3%14.9 yds7%11.7 yds
Short32%5.5 yds20%8.2 yds34%6.2 yds

Share of CIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

MIA defense

MIA defense: Throws MIA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%12.1 yds#114%14.5 yds#198%11.2 yds#14
Short29%6.5 yds#615%8.6 yds#537%6.3 yds#6

Throws MIA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%13.4 yds3%14.9 yds7%11.7 yds
Short32%5.5 yds20%8.4 yds34%6.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · CIN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of CIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Tee Higgins WR49.83924.8%
2Ja'Marr Chase WR47.02819.7%
3Chase Brown RB46.02415.0%
4Mitchell Tinsley WR17.0713.2%
5Mike Gesicki TE35.01512.7%
6Erick All TE13.039.7%
7Dohnte Meyers WR44.0169.2%
8Drew Sample TE22.557.1%
9Andrei Iosivas WR22.046.0%
10Samaje Perine RB42.085.5%

Game log · 29 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 1.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs JAX1Under1.576 (100%)
2026-09-273@ PIT3Over1.557 (100%)
2026-09-202@ HOU2Over1.560 (100%)
2026-09-131vs TB1Under2.564 (100%)
2026-01-0418vs CLE3Over2.567 (99%)
2025-12-2817vs ARI2Over2.564 (83%)
2025-12-2116@ MIA4Over3.555 (90%)
2025-12-1415vs BAL0Under0.576 (100%)
2025-12-0714@ BUF4Over2.560 (100%)
2025-11-2713@ BAL2Over2.583 (100%)
2025-09-142vs JAX1Under2.521 (30%)
2025-09-071@ CLE1Under1.552 (100%)
2025-01-0418@ PIT1Under—74 (100%)
2024-12-2817vs DEN3Over—90 (100%)
2024-12-2216vs CLE3Over—55 (98%)
2024-12-1515@ TEN3Over—69 (100%)
2024-12-0914@ DAL3Over—71 (100%)
2024-12-0113vs PIT3Over—62 (100%)
2024-11-1711@ LAC3Over—82 (100%)
2024-11-0710@ BAL4Over—82 (100%)
2024-11-039vs LV5Over—73 (99%)
2024-10-278vs PHI1Under—55 (95%)
2024-10-207@ CLE2Over—55 (100%)
2024-10-136@ NYG0Under—53 (100%)
2024-10-065vs BAL5Over—67 (100%)
2024-09-294@ CAR2Over—67 (100%)
2024-09-233vs WAS3Over—62 (100%)
2024-09-152@ KC2Over—64 (100%)
2024-09-081vs NE0Under—51 (100%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 17m ago.