Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players
Drake Maye QB
NE vs LV ·
1.5 Pass TDs
O -124U -103
- Season avg
- 1.0
- Graph avg
- 1.6
- Graph median
- 1.00–5
- Over the close
- 40%4/10
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 1.5
- Home 47% 9/19 · avg 1.4
- Away 47% 9/19 · avg 1.5
- vs LV 0% 0/1 · avg 1.0
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 0.5 70% 7/10
- O 1.5 Today 40% 4/10
- O 2.5 30% 3/10
- O 3.5 10% 1/10
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · QBs vs LV
What LV allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Pass Yds201.2#28
- Yds/Att6.7#20
- Cmp%66.6%#5
- Pass TD1.3#22
- Pass Att29.9#29
QBs vs LV · 2026
Each main QB who faced LV this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 |
Patrick Mahomes | 2 | 2.3 | -14% |
| Sep 27 |
Tyler Shough | 4 | 1.7 | +140% |
| Sep 20 |
Justin Herbert | 1 | 1.0 | +0% |
| Sep 13 |
Malik Willis | 0 | 0.3 | -100% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
NE offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 12%10.4 yds | 4%10.0 yds | 11%11.9 yds |
| Short | 30%6.1 yds | 16%7.9 yds | 28%6.1 yds |
Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
LV defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 9%15.4 yds#3 | 4%11.7 yds#27 | 6%5.0 yds#31 |
| Short | 34%5.7 yds#18 | 15%6.2 yds#22 | 32%5.2 yds#22 |
Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His throws
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 12%11.0 yds | 4%9.0 yds | 11%12.7 yds |
| Short | 30%5.9 yds | 16%7.9 yds | 28%6.0 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/att
Target share · NE 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of NE targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romeo Doubs WR | 4 | 5.0 | 20 | 16.8% |
| 2 | Mack Hollins WR | 4 | 5.0 | 20 | 16.7% |
| 3 | DeMario Douglas WR | 4 | 4.2 | 17 | 14.3% |
| 4 | Hunter Henry TE | 4 | 3.8 | 15 | 13.5% |
| 5 | Rhamondre Stevenson RB | 4 | 4.0 | 16 | 13.2% |
| 6 | A.J. Brown WR | 1 | 4.0 | 4 | 12.9% |
| 7 | Reggie Gilliam RB | 1 | 2.0 | 2 | 9.5% |
| 8 | Efton Chism III WR | 3 | 2.3 | 7 | 7.5% |
| 9 | Lan Larison RB | 1 | 2.0 | 2 | 6.5% |
| 10 | Kyle Williams WR | 4 | 1.8 | 7 | 6.3% |
Game log · 10 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Pass TDs | vs 1.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | @ BUF | 3 | Over | 1.5 | 76 (100%) |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | @ JAX | 0 | Under | 1.5 | 51 (81%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | vs PIT | 0 | Under | 1.5 | 55 (100%) |
| 2026-09-09 | 1 | @ SEA | 1 | Under | 1.5 | 71 (100%) |
| 2026-02-08 | 22 (P) | vs SEA | 2 | Over | 1.5 | 71 (100%) |
| 2026-01-25 | 21 (P) | @ DEN | 0 | Under | 1.5 | 64 (100%) |
| 2026-01-18 | 20 (P) | vs HOU | 3 | Over | 1.5 | 65 (100%) |
| 2026-01-11 | 19 (P) | vs LAC | 1 | Under | 1.5 | 64 (100%) |
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs MIA | 1 | Under | 1.5 | 45 (76%) |
| 2025-12-28 | 17 | @ NYJ | 5 | Over | 2.5 | 52 (79%) |
Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 1.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.