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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 170 players

Drake Maye QB

NE vs LV ·

1.5 Pass TDs O -124U -103
Hit rate · All 47%18/38 Odds imply 52.2% Over
Season avg
1.0
Graph avg
1.5
Graph median
1.00–5
Over the close
32%8/25
2026 per game
Pass Yds213.5â–¼-35.2
Att29.2â–²+0.1
Cmp%62.4%â–¼-6.9
Pass TD1.0â–¼-0.8
INT1.8â–²+1.2
Rush Yds34.0â–²+4.1
Snaps63.2â–²+0.7
Snap %95.2%â–¼-1.3
Drake Maye passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 1.5.
  1. 2024
    0
  2. 3
  3. 2
  4. 0
  5. 1
  6. 1
  7. 2
  8. 1
  9. 1
  10. 1
  11. 2
  12. 1
  13. 0
  14. 2025
    1
  15. 2
  16. 2
  17. 2
  18. 0
  19. 3
  20. 2
  21. 3
  22. 2
  23. 2
  24. 1
  25. 1
  26. 2
  27. 0
  28. 2
  29. 5
  30. 1
  31. 1
  32. 3
  33. 0
  34. 2
  35. 2026
    1
  36. 0
  37. 0
  38. 3
  39. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

  • Home 47% 9/19 · avg 1.4
  • Away 47% 9/19 · avg 1.5
  • vs LV 0% 0/1 · avg 1.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 79% 30/38
  • O 1.5 Today 47% 18/38
  • O 2.5 16% 6/38
  • O 3.5 3% 1/38

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs LV

What LV allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds201.2#28
  • Yds/Att6.7#20
  • Cmp%66.6%#5
  • Pass TD1.3#22
  • Pass Att29.9#29

QBs vs LV · 2026

Each main QB who faced LV this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.4
Avg diff %+6%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Patrick Mahomes22.3-14%
Sep 27 Tyler Shough41.7+140%
Sep 20 Justin Herbert11.0+0%
Sep 13 Malik Willis00.3-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NE offense

NE offense: Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep12%10.4 yds4%10.0 yds11%11.9 yds
Short30%6.1 yds16%7.9 yds28%6.1 yds

Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LV defense

LV defense: Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%15.4 yds#34%11.7 yds#276%5.0 yds#31
Short34%5.7 yds#1815%6.2 yds#2232%5.2 yds#22

Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep12%11.0 yds4%9.0 yds11%12.7 yds
Short30%5.9 yds16%7.9 yds28%6.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · NE 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NE targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Romeo Doubs WR45.02016.8%
2Mack Hollins WR45.02016.7%
3DeMario Douglas WR44.21714.3%
4Hunter Henry TE43.81513.5%
5Rhamondre Stevenson RB44.01613.2%
6A.J. Brown WR14.0412.9%
7Reggie Gilliam RB12.029.5%
8Efton Chism III WR32.377.5%
9Lan Larison RB12.026.5%
10Kyle Williams WR41.876.3%

Game log · 38 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 1.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044@ BUF3Over1.576 (100%)
2026-09-273@ JAX0Under1.551 (81%)
2026-09-202vs PIT0Under1.555 (100%)
2026-09-091@ SEA1Under1.571 (100%)
2026-02-0822 (P)vs SEA2Over1.571 (100%)
2026-01-2521 (P)@ DEN0Under1.564 (100%)
2026-01-1820 (P)vs HOU3Over1.565 (100%)
2026-01-1119 (P)vs LAC1Under1.564 (100%)
2026-01-0418vs MIA1Under1.545 (76%)
2025-12-2817@ NYJ5Over2.552 (79%)
2025-12-2116@ BAL2Over1.574 (100%)
2025-12-1415vs BUF0Under0.552 (100%)
2025-12-0113vs NYG2Over2.565 (100%)
2025-11-2312@ CIN1Under1.571 (100%)
2025-11-1311vs NYJ1Under1.567 (100%)
2025-11-0910@ TB2Over2.561 (100%)
2025-11-029vs ATL2Over2.568 (100%)
2025-10-268vs CLE3Over1.568 (100%)
2025-10-197@ TEN2Over1.555 (85%)
2025-10-126@ NO3Over3.564 (100%)
2025-10-055@ BUF0Under0.560 (100%)
2025-09-284vs CAR2Over1.543 (88%)
2025-09-213vs PIT2Over2.574 (100%)
2025-09-142@ MIA2Over2.560 (100%)
2025-09-071vs LV1Under1.571 (100%)
2025-01-0518vs BUF0Under—3 (5%)
2024-12-2817vs LAC1Under—43 (81%)
2024-12-2216@ BUF2Over—73 (100%)
2024-12-1515@ ARI1Under—51 (100%)
2024-12-0113vs IND1Under—71 (99%)
2024-11-2412@ MIA1Under—69 (100%)
2024-11-1711vs LA2Over—76 (100%)
2024-11-1010@ CHI1Under—64 (100%)
2024-11-039@ TEN1Under—69 (100%)
2024-10-278vs NYJ0Under—20 (30%)
2024-10-207@ JAX2Over—60 (100%)
2024-10-136vs HOU3Over—66 (100%)
2024-09-193@ NYJ0Under—16 (31%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 13m ago.